Sports. Honestly. Since 2011

EPL: Essential Notes on Current Top Four

Every week I look at the current top 4 in the EPL, keeping track of how we got to where we are, and looking at the matches ahead for the clubs.  Why Top 4?  Simple, that is where you need to finish to have a shot at a UEFA Champions League spot next season.

Chelsea (Last Week #1 This Week #1)

Chelsea hold on to top spot by a single point after what will be a much talked about defeat to title rivals Manchester United. After going two down within 15 minutes Chelsea turned up late in the first half with a wonderful Juan Mata free kick, furthering his claim for the form player in the league right now. Two red cards to Fernando Torres and Branislav Ivanovic followed in what has been a much talked about end to the game. Some may argue the Spaniard should have been sent off for his foot into Tom Cleverley’s chest in the first half but the second yellow was clearly a bad call nonetheless.

The performance of referee Mark Clattenburg could easily be talked about all day but its best to focus on the players.  Chelsea noticeably turned up to the game thirty minutes late, played off the park by a free-flowing United. Until the brilliance of Mata, Hazard and Oscar took control yet again. However, one Chelsea player that can be criticised is David Luiz. The Brazilian loves going forward, but often is found out of position which was seen during Robin Van Persie’s goal although he was unlucky to get in the way of the deflection for the first. He was also twelve or so yards out of position during the Ivanovic red card which put more pressure on the Serbian to bring down Ashley Young. With rumours circulating around the future of John Terry, Chelsea are in trouble in central defence as I don’t see David Luiz becoming defender or leader Terry once was.

Expect Chelsea to come out firing and determined after this weekend’s loss. Take a moment to feel a bit sorry for Swansea who are going to be on the receiving end of an angry yet determined Chelsea side.

My Prediction: Swansea 0 – Chelsea 3

Manchester United (Last Week #2 This Week #2)

United picked up an important and controversial three points and move one step closer to the number one spot with the 3-2 win over league leaders Chelsea. The same defensive frailties were evident with a soft second goal through Ramires scoring a header that should have been dealt with earlier in the attacking move. Again, the referee steals the spotlight away from great individual performances like Robin Van Persies, but the Dutchman can hardly complain as his team took vital points back to Old Trafford.

As lucky as some would say the Red Devils were to win, they looked their old selves going forward. The Link up play down both flanks between Rafael and Valencia while Young and Evra were equally impressive on the left showed why they play their best football playing fast and fluent football down the wings instead of the recently tested diamond formation. Although the diamond formation closed down the middle of the park against the Magpies and an impressive 3-0 win, it was refreshing to see the old United style back after a lucky escape against Braga midweek. Was also good to see Ashley Young return to the starting line – up, with Smalling and Jones nearning full fitness the backlines issues are hopefully a week closer to that much-needed change.

United will likely catch the attention again this week with Robin Van Persies old club coming to town. I don’t expect another 8-2 thrashing but based off the Gunners lacklustre performance against QPR I still think a good wins coming.

My Prediction: Manchester United 2 – Arsenal 1

Manchester City (Last Week #3 This Week #3)

The Defending champions scraped through with a 1-0 against Swansea thanks to a magic moment from Carlos Tevez.  In a game with only four shots on target from City they continue to keep pace with United and Chelsea despite their growing injury list.

With Zabeleta, Richards, Garcia, Maicon, Silva and Rodwell all out injured this is a testing time for Roberto Mancini. After a defeat that all but put his side out of the Champions League, the Italian is in need of impressive results. With the quality squad at his disposal top performances and trophies are expected from here forward, and if City continues to play without that fire they had last year, Mancini could find himself out of a job. Time will tell of course, the team is full of match winners. Only problem is nobody is stepping forward of late, apart from Tevez long distance winner the champions have to find the form that lifted the trophy last year to take the top spot again.

Manchester City face a tough away trip to London to face a Hammers team that won’t give Mancini any favours. However, I expect City to rediscover their quality sooner rather than later.

My Prediction:  West Ham 1 Manchester City 3

Tottenham Hotspurs (Last Week #5 This Week #4)

Everton’s hold on to fourth spot comes to an end as an improving Spurs takes their spot after a 2-1 win at Southampton. Spurs horrible run at St Mary’s finally came to an end as Gareth Bale scored his first goal since leaving in 2007. Bale showed his love for the club that gave him his first opportunity with a muted celebration once he scored which led to the three points.

Spurs have been impressive of late, but questions are raised over the selection of certain players. Jermaine Defoe is one of the in form strikers in the league so far, but Emmanuel Adebayor is becoming somewhat of a forgotten man since his permanent move. The former Arsenal man signed an expensive contract and has yet to feature prominently in Villas Boas plans. Another example is France No.1 Hugo Lloris. After his move from Lyon, he still finds himself behind the 41-year-old Brad Friedel. Although the American has rarely put a foot wrong a player of Lloris quality can only grow frustrated waiting for an opportunity where a player of his calibre would walk into many teams across Europe. It is refreshing however to see loyalty towards the existing players, especially as they continue to perform but the managers player management skills will be tested as they grow tired of watching from the bench.

I don’t expect to see Spurs run of form come to an end here, should be a comfortable win. Hopefully Adebayor gets a chance, perhaps alongside Defoe.

My Prediction: Tottenham 3 – Wigan 0

NFL Gamechangers, Week 8

NFL Gamechangers, the column that brings you the biggest plays that you won’t see on the highlights.  These are the plays and players that changed the outcome of the games this weekend, but really don’t get the fanfare or hype that they deserve given their key role in the outcome of the game.  Of course, touchdowns are important, but these are plays that help to set up those touchdowns and give a team momentum throughout the course of the day.

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (Ryan Tannehill injury, Matt Moore to the rescue)

In the first quarter, Calvin Pace pasted Ryan Tannehill, who went down with an injured quad and banged-up knee not even half-way through the first quarter.  Enter the Dolphins backup quarterback Matt Moore.  Moore came in and picked up right where Tannehill left off the last few weeks.  As a back-up he would have little first team time in comparison, and has had few snaps in important situations, yet he came in off the bench completely prepared.  Kudos to Miami’s coaching for having their back-up playing so well, and kudos to Matt Moore for understanding his role, the playbook and being prepared at a moments notice.  Moore had an efficient day as he finished 11 of 19, for 131 yards, 1 touchdown, no turnovers and a 96.6 quarterback rating.  He helped the Dolphins stay hot, winning their third straight game, this one a whitewashing 30-9 of fellow AFC East rival, the New York Jets.

Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions (11 yard pas to Joique Bell)
Every highlight show in the country will show you the game winning 1-yard Touchdown Pass from Matthew Stafford to Titus Young with just 20 seconds left in the game.  Rightly so, we should see this play as it won the game for the Lions. However the big play that you might not see on the highlights occurred just two plays earlier.  Lets remember that the score was 24-21 for Seattle at the time, and the Lions had the ball, 3rd and 10 on the Seahawks 12 yard line.  A stop by the Seahawks would surely lead to Detroit sending Jason Hanson on the field to kick the field goal, tie the game, and give us yet another overtime game when the last two weeks of NFL action have been full of them.  Instead, we saw a gamechanger.  Matthew Stafford, unable to find an open receiver in the endzone threw a little “check down” pass to Lions running back Joique Bell up the middle.  Bell took the ball and made a couple nice moves to get by defenders and get the first down at the 1 yard line. The Lions made their first down, got another chance at the endzone, and as they say, the rest is history.

Carolina Panthers @ Chicago Bears (Cutler/Marshall Connection)
After a field goal by Justin Medlock gave the Panthers a 22-20 lead, the Chicago Bears took the kickoff back to their own 22 yard line and began looking for a game winning drive. There was just 2;20 left and so it was time to see the Bears in the two minute drill. Jay Cutler and Brandon Marshall showed the chemistry that goes back to their Denver days. On the game winning drive Cutler hit Marshall 4 different times, for completions getting the Bears 8 yards, 7 yards, 11 yards and finally 10 yards to the Carolina 26.  This game of “pitch and catch” was very important as three of Marshall’s receptions on the final drive led directly to Bears’ first downs. As the Cutler/Marshall connection took the Bears down the field, they did so quickly and efficiently despite the fact that the Panthers defense had to know Cutler was looking to his number 1 receiver on nearly every key play. Their work on this drive was clutch, and they helped to set up Robbie Goulds’ 41 yard Game Winning Field Goal, that curled through the posts with no time left on the clock.

New York Giants at Dallas (Dez Bryant’s difficuties)
Most of the time we look at Gamechangers as being particular plays that affect a game’s outcome, but sometimes we need to consider a player as having been instrumental in a team’s win, or loss as in this case. In this game we are sure to see that Dez Bryant was a little bit unlucky as an apparent game winning touchdown for the young reciever was called incomplete as he had a finger touch the back line of the endzone after his leaping catch. However that isn’t the play we want to talk about on Gamechangers. We hate to dog on Dez Bryant as the stat sheet seems to indicate that he had a pretty good day with 110 yards recieving even without the potential game winner. However it was a couple of Dez Bryant plays in the first half of this football game that helped lead to an early 23-0 score in favour of the Giants.  Early in the first quarter, with the Giants up by 3 and the Cowboys looking to answer back quickly, Bryant and quarterback Tony Romo were clearly not on the same page.  Bryant  appeared to run the wrong route on a timing pattern leading to an easy interception for Stevie Brown.  The Giants would add a field goal to take a 6-0 lead.  Later in the quarter, with his team down by 13, Bryant fumbled on a punt return, leading to 3 more points for the Giants.

A special shootout goes out to Stevie Brown who came up with two more turnovers in this game, and a guy who seems to be a regular name in NFL game changers.  It seems that he is making a huge play for the Giants defence every week.

New England Patriots vs St. Louis Rams in London England
The St. Louis Rams faced a number of problems in this game. Firstly, much to the chagrin of most Rams fans, Lambert International Airport has a reasonably good efficiency rating. As such the team was able to fly out of St. Louis and head across the pond to play this game on time. Since the Rams arrived in England with plenty of time to spare, this game could not be postponed, forfeited, or cancelled in some way to save the Rams the embarrassment. These type of front office mistakes are just inexusable!

The Rams were also up against a horrendous transit system in the UK. Apparently when the Rams defense boarded the team bus and told the driver that they needed to head for the football stadium, he thought they were fans of soccer and drove them to Stamford Bridge to watch the key matchup between Chelsea and Manchester United. The entire Rams defense missed the first half and had an American highschool team, which just happened to be touring England, suit up against the Pats. This allowed Tom Brady to hook up with Rob Gronkowski on several nice plays, and Steven Ridley to run wild, allowing the Patriots to score on their first five possessions of the game. When the Rams eventually did show up, they got some stops, but not many, and the team was so far behind that it didn’t really matter.

What’s that you say? This didn’t really happen? Yeah, yeah, we know. But I thought it was a nicer explanation than just flat out saying that the Rams SUCKED and were completely outclassed in this lopsided game.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (CFL EDITION)
We seldom combine the NFL and CFL in one article, but this game had important meaning as it was a very important CFL clash.  The Hamilton Tiger-Cats, one of two most historic franchises in football, far, far older than any America franchise, was closing the doors to one of the oldest stadiums and most beloved in existence in North America – Ivor Wynne Stadium.  The Tiger-Cats have had a rough season, and a big win in the final game at Ivor Wynne could be a bright spot for fans of this club.

Early in the game, the two teams weren’t so far apart on the scoreboard as it was just 7-0 Hamilton.  That was until the Tiger-Cat defensive line converged on Winnipeg Quarterback Buck Pierce.  It was a devastating sack, which forced Pierce to fumble deep in Bomber territory.  And the fumble was scooped up by Greg Peach and returned for six points.  The Touchdown gave the Cats the momentum, and they never looked back en route to a huge rout of the Winnipeg team that has had their number in recent years.  It seems fitting that in closing the Stadium, the boys from Steeltown whose glory years were all about a tough, hard hitting, blue collar defence, where able to come up with a huge defensive play.  And a little unexpected this season, as the team is last in the league in sacks and total defense this year.

Thanks for reading and tune in to our show, NFL Sunday Blitz every Sunday night at 7:30 pm, on the blogtalkradio.com/lastwordradio.  Also tune in to Beyond the Field on Mondays on Live365 radio as I’ll be joining their hosts “the Priest” and “Saint Peter” in running down NFL Game Changers.

The James Harden Break Up

Sometimes one trade is all it takes determine the fate of a franchise. Some moves are more obvious than others. Lakers getting Pau Gasol for Kwame Brown is one of those moves. Some moves are not as obvious. The draft day trade that sent Kevin Love to the Timberwolves and allowed the Grizzlies to build a team that revitalized Zach Randolph’s career is an example of one.

The James Harden trade is a huge deal for Oklahoma City, and with ‘No Shave November’ coming up, it’s very possible that Thunder fans will grow James Harden tribute beards for one of the most dynamic players in the franchise’s young history. In my whole-hearted opinion, this is a great trade for Houston, and a lateral move by the Thunder, but with huge potential to become great.

I’ll start with what this trade means for the Rockets, the team that the general public cares about less. While I think the Rockets will finish the season floating around .500, many people have them dwelling near the bottom of the Western Conference, if not the league. This trade is a clear improvement for the Rockets, who have gotten their hands on the best acquirable player in the league below the age of 25. Huge props are given to Daryl Morey for having the initiative to pull the trade off.

On court and chemistry wise, Harden is a great fit. The Rockets went from having their whole season rely on Jeremy Lin to having him split the duties with the league’s best young shooting guard. Harden’s strengths and weaknesses complement Lin better than Chris Tucker complements Jackie Chan in Rush Hour. Jeremy Lin’s turnover problem last season, had to do with his incredibly high usage- his actual turnover ratios relative to the amount of possessions he had is comparable to other good to great NBA point guards. With James Harden in the mix, Harden becomes the secondary ball-handler that Lin never had to take some pressure off the young point guard.

As a result of this trade, the Rockets have now assembled a reasonable young core that could really be pushed over the top by a good draft score, with the obvious prospects being big men Nerlens Noel and Cody Zeller.

For the Thunder—the trade is a bit of a head scratcher for many NBA fans. From a financial standpoint, we can tell why the Thunder made the trade. They needed financial flexibility, and they saw Harden as the most expendable of their core of four players. A contract they were willing to pay was offered, and as soon as Harden declined, the Thunder were quick to cut ties. Great move in the sense that they weren’t dragging the Harden saga out, eliminating any ‘Melo Drama’ or ‘Dwightmare’ scenarios, and now they are fully committed to moving forward without him.

In reality, or at least what I think happened, the Thunder offered Harden a contract, Harden and his agent wanted more. Harden wanted to be in a Thunder jersey all along, and felt that the feeling was mutual with the organization. The Thunder gave James an ultimatum, stating that if he didn’t take this offer they would trade him. Harden and his agent read this as a bluff and played on, but it was no bluff, and now the Beard is headed to Houston.

Which sucks for Harden, maybe not that much for the Thunder. Putting finances aside, there are a few reasons why James Harden was expendable. As the Thunder’s sixth man, Harden was the third gear on offense. Harden ran the pick-and-roll masterfully and was able to get other teammates involved. He is great at getting to the rim, and is a great knockdown shooter.

There has been a lot of talk this offseason that Westbrook improved his game by tightening up his shot selection, and Kevin Durant is expanding his offense by being more of a facilitator.

If Westbrook and Durant have improved their playmaking abilities, the need for Harden diminishes, as that was his greatest skill. The only part of Harden’s shoes that need filling up now is the scoring, and Kevin Martin could become a much more effective scorer than Harden within the Thunder offense. Martin is a guy that could be classified as a pure shooter, and he will give the Thunder someone who can knock down threes at a high volume. Whereas Harden made almost 2 a game last season, Kevin Martin could easily go into the realm of making 4 threes a game. Missing Harden’s presence is still a huge blow to the Thunder, who have relied on him to close out many basketball games, but they aren’t losing as much as others think they are. The Thunder might have utilized Harden’s potential to around 70% of what he’s capable of. 100% of Kevin Martin is comparable to 70% of Harden.

So from a basketball perspective in the short term, it appears to be a lateral move- at least for now. We can’t forget the inclusion of Jeremy Lamb, who might have the potential to grow into a Harden-type player over the course of the next few years. Financially the Thunder are now in better position to secure Ibaka and maybe pick up some veteran free agents along the road.

But what does this mean for their championship hopes?

There’s a saying that goes “You can never have too much talent.” Going way back to the Bad Boys Pistons years, there is an eerily similar situation to the Harden trade. In the 1985-1986 NBA season, the Pistons dropped their first round series against the Hawks. In the 2009-2010 season, The Thunder were bounced in the first round against the Lakers. The next season, the Pistons acquired prolific scorer Adrian Dantley. He became a go-to option on offense, and the Pistons saw themselves competing in the Eastern Conference Finals. In the 2010-2011 season, Harden started to embrace his role as a Sixth Man, and with a new dimension to the Thunder offense, Oklahoma City became a host of the Western Conference Finals.

In the subsequent season, Dantley and Harden both found themselves helping their teams to the NBA Finals, but the season ended with them watching the other team celebrate. Although they didn’t win, there was a lot of positive momentum. The Bad Boy Pistons and the Thunder were knocking on a championship’s door.

The 1988-1989 NBA season saw the Pistons trade away Adrian Dantley for Mark Aguirre midseason. Hated rival Michael Jordan was quick to note that the Pistons were now missing a vital part of their offense. In the Pistons locker room, the trade was not well received. Joe Dumars lost his favorite teammate; John Salley lost his mentor; and in their first season playing at The Palace of Auburn Hills, Pistons fans lost their fan favorite. Their leading scorer was gone for a guy that ended up becoming their third option on offense. Even the biggest Mark Aguirre fan would have told you that at that point in time, in terms of straight talent, the Pistons were not getting “better” with that trade. But because the trade happened, the pieces fell together. Rodman saw an increase in minutes and was able to defend at full force and clean up the glass. Joe Dumars found a bigger role on offense, stepping up his scoring and assist numbers with the increased offensive responsibility. After the Pistons dropped their first two games with Aguirre in the lineup, they went on to go 30-4 to finish the regular season, then went 15-2 overall in the playoffs, and of course, captured the NBA championship.

Looking back, Pistons fans think they still could have won it all had Dantley stayed, but whatever happened happened, and no one can argue with the two championships that happened as a result of the trade. Call this Harden trade addition by subtraction, maybe even getting rid of dead weight—the Thunder are a successful organization dedicated to winning. If Joe Dumars had a Twitter back when the Dantley trade happened, he might have tweeted “Wow” as well. The only thing that Kevin Durant and the Thunder can do right now is continue to play hard, and hope that with a shakeup like this, it will allow the right pieces to fall in the right place, at the right time.

Last Word College Football Rankings, October 28

1. Alabama- still no explanation necessary, I hope.

2. Kansas State- still unbeaten, still dominating.

3. Oregon- hung 70 on a woeful Colorado team.

4. Notre Dame- that’s a good Oklahoma team they beat soundly.

5. LSU- they didn’t play, but losses by other teams necessitate moving the Tigers up.

6. Florida State- moving them ahead of some sloppy/inconsistent SEC teams.

7. Georgia- terrible first half, rebounded enough after halftime to knock off Florida.

8. Florida- really bad game, but it was their first loss.

9. South Carolina- emotional, close win after Lattimore injury.

10. Oregon State- lost a game, but it was a close one.

11. Louisville- it’s the Big East, but they’re still undefeated.

12. Clemson- solid team, only one bad game.

13. Stanford- 10 sacks in their win over Washington St.

14. Oklahoma- good team, bad loss.

15. Mississippi State- losing to Alabama, even by 31, is nothing to be ashamed of.

16. Texas A&M- everyone beats Auburn, but not by 42 points.

17. Texas Tech- lost to Kansas State, but so has everyone else on the Wildcats’ slate.

18. USC- Arizona’s not a bad team, but USC should have been able to win that game.

19. Nebraska- big win for the Huskers, even with a backup QB in.

20. West Virginia- I hate to drop a team that didn’t play.

21. Boise State- lower level of competition, but they have one loss, by four points.

22. Arizona- the only ranked three-loss team; win over USC was that big.

23. Oklahoma State- 6th-ranked passing offense; both losses to ranked teams.

24. Louisiana Tech- haven’t found any of their games on TV in the Northeast, but they’re 7-1 and ranked in BCS, USA Today, AP, so…

25. Texas- hard to believe they’re ranked after Oklahoma debacle, but they’re better than they looked that day.

Euro Football Rundown

This week was very special and eventful with Luis Suarez headlining and taunting. Bayern Munich experienced their first loss of the season in the Bundesliga. More controversy follows Juventus and Lazio. In the EPL, the top of the table clash between Chelsea and Manchester United was also marred with controversy. Finally, I end with a special note on technology in football.

5) Liverpool’s Suarez in spotlight in Everton comeback draw

It was a fantastic game and atmosphere inside of Goodison Park Sunday for the 219th edition of the Merseyside derby between Everton and Liverpool. Luis Suarez was again the man for the Reds, as he is always, after he collected his sixth goal in eight league matches. John Aldridge, a Liverpool legend, critically commented Suarez before this fixture stating that the Uruguayan would never become a natural goal scorer. Pretty ironic comment seeing that Luis leads the team in goals scored.

Suarez was the hero for the first goal, although credit does go to Everton defender Leighton Baines for unintentionally deflecting the striker’s drilled cross-shot, that was going well wide, into the back of the net – thus deeming this an own goal. He then proceeded with his taunting goal celebration which was quite comedic as he raced toward Everton’s bench and dove full-length in response to Toffees’ coach David Moyes’ pre-match comments about players simulating. Were these statements targeting Suarez? Perhaps.

Six minutes later, Suarez made it 2-0 for the visitors. Reds captain Steven Gerard curled in a free-kick with precision to the on-running Uruguayan who got the slightest of touches to re-direct the ball to the bottom left-corner.

Everton were not down-and-out and proved that they are capable of remaining near the top this season with a sensational comeback. At the 22 minute mark, Leon Osman collected a rebound from a corner at the edge of the area and unleashed an absolute screamer that curled low and into the corner of the net – 2-1.

Although Liverpool is in much dire need of the three points, it was not meant to be on this day. The Toffees equalised with ten minutes remaining when Marouane Fellaini crossed into the area for Steven Naismith to get a touch on the ball and turn it in – 2-2.

Matches when teams are ahead 2-0 should always end that way and allowing Everton to comeback to draw level in a derby must really sting. Of course it stung and it must have really angered Luis Suarez seeing that the crazy-man was lucky to escape with only a yellow after standing on Sylvain Distin’s Achilles after the ball had gone out of play. Like I said, Suarez is the man for Liverpool and he stole the spotlight on Sunday. Ridiculous.

Everton are in fifth place with 16 points. Liverpool are in 12th spot with 10 points.

4) Bayer halts Bayern’s Bundesliga winning streak

After an astonishing eight straight league wins for Bayern Munich, the league leaders fell short for the first time this season at the Allianz Arena losing a heartbreaker to Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 with a cheap late own-goal.

The visitors had taken the lead three minutes before half time. Munich defender Philipp Lahm attempted to clear a cross but Stefan Kiebling was there to deflect the ball past Manuel Neuer.

On 77 minutes, it was the Bundesliga leading goal scorer Mario Mandzukic grabbing the equalizer after Claudio Pizarro’s cross met the Croatian’s head for an easy one. Mandzukic now leads with seven goals.

Late in the game, luck did not go Bayern’s way as Sidney Sam headed Gonzalo Castro’s cross from the right, off the face of Boateng and past Manuel Neuer for the game winner.

This result does not change much as Bayern Munich continue to lead the German league with 24 points. Bayer Leverkusen are now tied for fourth with15 points with Borussia Dortmund.

Match facts: This encounter was dominated by the home side who gathered a total of 23 shots with six shots on target compared to Bayer’s total of five shots and five shots on net. Reynckes’ men also enjoyed 68% percentage possession compared to the visitors’ 32%. They are still the team to beat and were very unlucky not to walk away with full points.

3) Referees ruin Serie A Sunday

You wouldn’t think it but Catania v Juventus could have been an exciting match in the Italian top flight. It was a balanced affair with the Sicilians playing defensive and counter-attacking against a lacklustre Bianconeri attack.

The hosts took the lead on 25 minutes when Gonzalo Bergessio tapped in the rebound off of Francesco Lodi’s looping header had come back off the post. After the goal was scored, the Juventus players lamented for an offside that was not called while the ref and the Catania players were returning to the centre of field. After consulting with the linesman and the fourth official over the headsets, the ref overturned the goal deeming it offside thus disallowing the goal. Video replays clearly show that Bergessio was a step behind the last man before he turned the ball into the back of the net.

Things took a turn for the worst in the second half for the Catania. At the 57 minute, Mirko Vucinic spotted Nicklas Bendtner at the edge of the area who hammered a shot at Mariano Andujar who gave up a rebound to Arturo Vidal who netted in the eventual winner for the visitors. However, replays show that Bendtner was a step offside. Close call.

To make matters even worse, Giovanni Marchese was justifiably sent off for a second bookable offence after he handled the ball intentionally leaving Catania to 10-men. The ref however maybe made up for this record as, near the end of the game, Sebastian Giovinco was sent clear on goal was fouled by last man Nicola Legrottaglie who escaped even a yellow card warning let alone a red card expulsion. After the match, Catania’s president claimed that it was not the first controversial call to go against his team seeing there were others in the games against Parma and Inter as well.The game ended 1-0 in favour of Juventus who extend their undefeated Serie A record to 48 games and continue to lead the league with 25 points.

After the game, the referee designator for the Serie A commented on these happenings and said that these are human errors. We are people and people can make mistakes. I agree with him because we, as television viewers, have the benefit of video replay and the imaginary black line and shading that is shown in the above images to help us judge the situation as offside or not. Even so, the Catania goal was much easier to detect as onside even with the naked eye. Juve’s goal, in my opinion, is a case of human error. It looks pretty tight even in the images. Last season against Genoa, Juve scored a similar goal to that of Catania and it was called offside when Pepe, the goal scorer, was in fact onside.

There was also controversy in the Fiorentina-Lazio match where Lazio’s Stefano Mauri placed a wonderful diving header into the back of the net which was flagged offside. Replays suggest it was a terrible decision from the linesman as Juan Cuadrado kept Mauri onside.

Opinion: Although many Juve fans were probably delighted to see that their team was not losing, I, on the other hand (if you’ve been following my articles, you should know by now that I am a Juventus ultra), would have rather seen the Old Lady down 1-0 simply because it was a legitimate goal. We all know that interim coach Angelo Alessio would have made crucial changes in the second half in addition to give the Juve players a pep talk at halftime boosting the team with confidence in the second portion of the game. This has been the trend this year with the Old Lady. Call me arrogant or cocky, but I am fully confident that the Bianconeri would have come from behind to collect the three points anyway. In addition, it would have made it a much more entertaining game to watch and it would be something to be proud of rather than having to hide our faces even though it is not Juve’s fault by any means. The fault belongs only to the linesman and the system in which football is governed.

2) What?! Controversy strikes the EPL too? Man U defeats Chelsea in controversial style

For the most part, this was a balanced affair between league leaders Chelsea and followers Manchester United which ended 3-2 for the Red Devils at Stamford Bridge. It got really heated though as Roberto Di Matteo and the usually calm-and-collected Sir Alex Ferguson had to be separated after controversy struck even this match-up when the Blues ended the match with 9-men. A very popular word these days – controversy.

Four minutes into the match, David Luiz unfortunately bagged an own-goal after Robin van Persie smashed the post with a shot that rebounded off the Chelsea defender and into the net. Eight minutes later, the Red Devils extended their lead to 2-0 with RvP scoring his ninth of the season.

The Blues would not sit back and watch the three points head to Manchester when they levelled the encounter through Spanish wizard Juan Mata and Brazilian international Ramires.

Man U took the lead with a controversial goal when Javier Hernandez, a.k.a Chicharito, snatched the winner 15 minutes from time from an offside position. Replays clearly show that the Mexican was offside.

The controversy did not begin there however. Before this occurred, Fernando Torres received a second yellow for diving although the replays, in fact, clearly depict Evans clipping the Spaniard. This infuriated Torres who complained to the fourth official who was then forced to distance the two coaches away from one another on the touchline as things were getting ugly.

But again prior to this happening, Blues defender Branislav Ivanovic was already expelled when he brought Ashley Young down who had been played cleanly through by RvP. Replays suggest there was indeed contact, therefore it was a justified red card.

The Kicker: Even a deaf and blind person could predict that this would be a heated battle seeing that in pre-match interviews, Ferguson claimed that the team built from Jose Mourinho seven years back was better than the current Chelsea which Di Matteo decided to ignore displaying a fine act of class in my opinion.

The ref’s interpretation of Fernando Torres’ foul to be simulation is not a surprise to me at all. In previous articles, I pointed out that Torres does sometimes have the tendency to dive which was probably known by the man in charge. In this case however, Torres was correct as there was contact. Fernando, don’t ever dive and you’ll get the obvious calls.

This was Man United’s first victory over Chelsea at Stamford Bridge in the EPL in 10 years.

Chelsea continues to lead with 22 points. Man U follows closely with 21.

1) Instant Replay and Goal-line technology a must in today’s football

As a result of the two aforementioned events, the number one important fact of this week’s edition of Euro Football Rundown has to be that FIFA needs to invest and allow instant replay to be a part of the game. It is encouraging to know though that recently FIFA has claimed to be considering the implementation of goal-line technology in the form of the Falcon Eye which is what is used in Tennis for close calls. This would inevitably eliminate the phantom goal phenomenon.

But something more needs to be done for goals that are incorrectly flagged for offside or that are obviously offside and are allowed in addition to fouls that may be considered simulations when they are or are not.

The argument here is that it would slowdown the game as it is somewhat played at a slower pace than other major sports such as hockey and basketball (which is obvious considering soccer is played on such a larger surface). A suggestion/solution would be to hand the fourth official a monitor, table and chair so that he or she can sit and review plays while the match continues. Referees are now equipped with microphone headsets. Therefore, the fourth official would be able to communicate the result of the play under review via the headset and once the play stops either for a free-kick, penalty, goal kick, corner kick or throw-in, the ref could announce to the fans the result of the play under review. The alternative to this could be that the message of the result of the play under review is displayed on a large screen with which most stadiums are equipped anyway. I have complete faith that if this were to be implemented it would certainly help to abolish these unfortunate controversial events that we read every week and would surely help clean up the corruption in this sport.

Nothing is for certain though as seen through the NFL volunteer refs that completely screwed over the Green Bay Packers against the Seattle Seahawks. During the last play of the game, a Packer defender clearly caught the ball in the end-zone for an interception which was overturned and ruled a touchdown for the Seahawks handing them a victory. It was complete and utter nonsense.

What are your thoughts on the implementation of instant replay in European football?

Can the Detroit Tigers Mount a World Series Comeback?

2012 was a banner year for the Detroit Tigers. After making some key off-season moves, including one of the biggest signings of the year in Prince Fielder (9 years, $214 million) they Tigers seemed poised for a shot at 2012 World Series. Strong individual years from a number of players helped to make this vision a reality. However, after a bulldozer run through the playoffs, the Tigers now find themselves at the mercy of the San Francisco Giants going into game 4 of the World Series Championship.The question now is: Can the Tigers mount a historic comeback?

Coming back from a 3-0 deficit is a monster order to ask of the Detroit Tigers – but, it’s not altogether unheard of. While no team has ever rebounded from being down 3-0 in the World Series, everyone will remember the Boston Red Sox historic comeback in the 2004 ALCS; the Red Sox would go on to win the World Series that year in dramatic fashion by sweeping the St. Louis Cardinals. This being said, no other team in the history of the MLB has comeback to win a single game in the World Series after being down 0-3 since 1970 (the Cincinnati Reds – who still lost the series). Regardless, to discount the Tigers altogether at this point just because they find themselves in such a deep hole would be negligent of us. Sports playoffs were designed for drama and cinderella stories.

World Series statistics aside can this 2012 Detroit Tigers squad make an epic comeback? To say that there is one aspect on the Tigers team that needs to turnaround would be false; both the pitching and hitting have been struggling through this series thus far. However, one aspect in particular has been having greater troubles than the other.

The Tigers pitching has definitely struggled – but, I would not place much of the blame on them. Justin Verlander, arguably one of the best pitchers in the majors, had his worst start of the 2012 playoff in Game 1, giving up 5 runs over 4 innings. If I had told you that Verlander would be pulled after four innings in the World Series a week ago you would never have believed me. Despite Verlander’s performance, Doug Fister and Anibal Sanchez were actually pretty solid overall in their respective outing. You cannot point the finger at your pitching when they only gave up 4 runs in two nights. If the Tigers pitching can avoid performances like Verlander, and maintain strong outings like those seen by Fister and Sanchez, there really is no reason the Tigers shouldn’t be able to come back.

Where the root of the Tigers problems have lie are in the impotence of the hitting line-up. Prince Fielder has been unable to really make contact with the ball, only recording 1 hit thus far against the Giants. Likely AL MVP Miguel Cabrera has only had 2 hits in the series so far, and only 1 RBI. Delmon Young was an RBI machine in the ALDS and ALCS, and has since been able to bring anyone home in the series so far. Even team workhorse players like, Jhonny Peralta haven’t been able to solve the Giants pitching.

How do the Tigers figure out the Giants pitching? There is no real easy answer to this. The key for them at this point will be patience. When down in a series like this, teams tend to play with a sense of desperation – swinging at anything that comes their way. The Tigers will need to show patience with the Giants pitching, and not get trigger happy at the plate. When you have runners in scoring position and you’re down two-runs late in the game, like last night, you can’t afford to pop-out on a bad pitch Extra time on the field in batting practice probably wouldn’t hurt this underwhelmed hitting team.

If the batting comes alive, and the pitching that we’ve seen in the last two games can come alive, there really is no reason that the Tigers can’t at least make this series interesting to watch. Let’s be honest, the Detroit needs to also have a hope and a prayer that the Giants implode at this point. The Giants aren’t winning because Detroit it playing so poorly – San Francisco really is playing some fantastic baseball right now and has every right to be in the position they’re in. For the Tigersto come back and win the series, divine intervention may be the only solution at this point.

Things We Learned In College, Week 10

A great day of college football makes it much easier to forget (or at least ignore) a hurricane bearing down on you. Here’s what we learned:

-The injury to Marcus Lattimore is devastating to the Gamecocks, to Lattimore himself, and to all of college football. He’s a tremendously exciting player to watch, and the number of rival fans, players, schools, and coaches wishing him well on Twitter yesterday leads me to believe he must be a really nice kid as well. Clearly he’s very respected by the college football community. Best wishes to him from all of us at LWOS.

-Tennessee RB Marlin Lane did a nice job stepping in for Rajon Neal. The Vols came closer than many would have expected to beating South Carolina. LB Herman Lathers also played an excellent game for the Vols, with 15 total tackles, a sack, and an interception.

-While they eventually pulled out the win, Texas trailed Kansas 14-7 in the first half. It was the first time the Jayhawks have had a lead on the ‘Horns since November 2004.

-Texas switched from David Ash to Case McCoy at QB in the 4th quarter. McCoy drove the Longhorns down the field for the go-ahead score. Could a QB controversy be brewing in Austin?

-Northwestern led Iowa 14-3 at halftime. In the first half, Northwestern had just five pass attempts. In other words, Iowa’s run defense is not very good. (Northwestern won 28-17).

-Congrats to the NCAA-sanctioned North Carolina Tar Heels on beating in-state rival NC State for the first time since 2006.

-Georgia and Florida played one of the sloppiest good-weather football games I’ve ever seen. Turnovers and penalties galore. The Gators were penalized 10 times, but not to be outdone, Georgia racked up its most single-game penalty yards in eight years (132, on 14 penalties). Aaron Murray threw three INTs in the first half to Jeff Driskell’s one, but the Gators also managed to lose two fumbles. Georgia got things together somewhat after halftime, while the Gators lost two more fumbles and Driskell threw another INT. That was the difference. Very sloppy, undisciplined game for both teams.

-The Big Ten is once again up for grabs as Nebraska knocked Denard Robinson out of the game last night with an elbow injury, and handed Michigan their first conference loss. What happens from here will depend at least in part on how long Robinson will be out; the Wolverines remaining games are against Minnesota, Northwestern, Iowa, and currently-unbeaten Ohio State. Minnesota might be beatable with freshman Russell Bellomy at the helm. The rest, probably not.

-Adding insult to injury in Ann Arbor this morning is Rich Rod’s huge win over USC. Combine that with Kansas State’s blowout of Texas Tech, and I think Collin Klein may have edged Matt Barkley in the Heisman race.

-Is it safe to say Manti Te’o punched his ticket to the Heisman Ceremony last night? 11 tackles, one sack, and a late INT with Notre Dame leading by seven to keep the Irish unbeaten.

-With a loss by Rutgers yesterday, it appears the Big East is now Louisville’s to lose.

Provided that Hurricane Sandy spares the electricity here, stay tuned for a special Wednesday edition of Game of the Week featuring the Alabama-LSU rematch of last year’s BCS Game, as well as the regular Thursday Game of the Week!

And remember to catch our Saturday morning “College Warm-Up” radio show on Last Word Radio starting at 9am!

UFC: The Future of Super Fights!

“Super Fight”. It has been a hot topic as of late with recent whispers and hints being dropped by UFC president Dana White. Despite denials and lack of interest from the involved fighters themselves, we have been hearing from the UFC brass that they will make these fights happen. The question now opens up: will we ever see the super fights? Or are these just more empty promises from the UFC?

A “super fight” is in reality a fight between two major headline contenders. The term has been more popularly attached to cross weight-class fights, but super fights can also happen within weight classes themselves. I harken back to UFC 75 when Dan Henderson and Rampage Jackson squared off for the light heavyweight title; the fight at the time was Henderson’s first fight in the UFC (from PRIDE) and it was champion versus champion. The more popular names that get thrown into the ring more recently are those of Georges St. Pierre, Anderson Silva, Jon Jones – and maybe even Junior Dos Santos. All tops in their divisions, and proven champions.

Why over the last few years has their been so much more discussion about super fights than in the past? Two key reasons come to mind:

  1. Never in the history of the UFC have their been such dominant champions within the top four weight classes all at the same time.
  2. Never in the history of the sport have fighters between weight classes been so close in size.
Let me back track by saying, there HAVE definitely been dominant champions in the UFC prior to this most recent batch. Tito Ortiz, Matt Hughes, even Royce Gracie were all dominant when they were in their prime – and many of their respective records still stood until recently. What makes the current state of affairs in the UFC so interesting, is that the UFC has champions that are on a rinse cycle within their respective divisions (fighting the same challengers more than once) across four different divisions: welterweight, middleweight, light heavyweight and heavyweight. All four champions look unbeatable every fight they take.
What makes things even more interesting is that we now have fighters who are bigger than ever before. Georges St. Pierre and Anderson Silva ten or fifteen years ago would have likely fought at a higher weight class than they do now, but with the evolution of the weight-cut fighters can trim ten-to-twenty pounds in a day before they weigh-in. The reason for doing this, is so fighters can go in much larger than they weighed-in at on their actual fight day and man-handle their opponents; Rich Franklin claimed this was the reason he fought at middleweight for so many years. The significance of this to the super fight, is that we now have champions between weight classes who are very similar in size, and could feasibly fight each other.
So where would the best opportunity for a super fight within the UFC lie? Anderson Silva is the focal point for any super fight discussion, because he could reasonably fight against Georges St. Pierre or Jon Jones. Silva has repeatedly said that he refuses to fight Jon Jones at 205 lbs, and Silva is too big to fight at welterweight – so, St. Pierre moving up to middle weight seems like the most obvious option. St. Pierre has said that he would move up to middleweight in the past, and he definitely has the frame for it. Personally, I really do think St. Pierre has a legitimate chance of beating Silva. Silva has had difficulty with wrestlers in the past (re: Sonnen, Lutter), St. Pierre has one of the best ground games in the UFC today. I could honestly see this fight happening late 2013, as St. Pierre has publicly stated that he needs a year to properly move up to middleweight.
With Silva and St. Pierre fighting, I think this also leaves the door open for Jon Jones to Fight Junior Dos Santos at heavyweight. Jones is more than big enough to move up to heavyweight and has stated numerous times that he would consider doing it at some point. I don’t think Silva would ever fight Jones. Personally, as I think he sees Jones as a worse match-up (given size and skill set) compared to St. Pierre. Just my take.

Earlier I said that Dana White’s proposition of a super fight was nothing more than an “empty promise”. This may be harsh language to use, but you can really only dangle a carrot in front of the masses for so long before a sense of frustration on the behalf of the fan starts to settle in. Dana White in recent post-fight press conferences has “promised” that he will make a super fight happen in the coming months – do we believe him? I definitely want to, but I always cycle back in my head to when Dana White “promised” a super fight between Brock Lesnar and Fedor Emilianenko; the fight never happened and since that time it’s become a little harder to buy into the notion of Dana White’s promises.

I sincerely do hope that I see St. Pierre versus Silva, before Anderson gets too old and the fight becomes irrelevant. It would breathe new life into the a plateauing promotion, and remind us hardcore fans that have become disenchanted why we love the sport so much!

NFL Week 8: Win, Spread, Over/Under and Game Score Predictions

Welcome to another week of The Sports Savant NFL Picks, Week 8 Edition!

A Cincinnati loss to Pittsburgh.  That’s how close I was to every prognosticators dream; the perfect week.  Heading into Sunday night’s battle between the Bengals and Steelers last week, I was perfect, 11-0 in my week’s NFL picks for Week 7.  Only once in the 24 regular season weeks I have kept an official record of weekly NFL picks had I even only had one loss in a week, a 15-1 record in Week 14 of the 2011 season on a full slate of NFL games.  In that week, I had already suffered the sole blemish by the end of the 4:30 games; a 19-21 loss by the 49ers to the Cardinals.  This time I was still undefeated going into the night game.  The Bengals had control of the game early and I was primed for an undefeated run, but the Steelers came back and blew the dream.  By Monday morning I had suffered my first loss.

I ended up correctly picking the Monday Night Football game winner and settled with a 12-1 record for Week 7 and improved my already robust winning percentage to 66.3%.  Some would argue that the 15-1 record from last year is more impressive than a 13-0 record considering their were six teams on bye for Week 7 that didn’t have to be picked and no teams on bye in Week 14 last year when I reached the 15 win mark.  That may be true, but any prognosticator would tell you that there is something special about escaping a week of NFL picks without a blemish whether it is in a week of teams on bye or a full slate.  I’m still seeking that elusive perfect week, but as close I have come in just a season in a half, I am bound to hit it.  Maybe it will be this week!

In this week’s NFL picks, I have only one underdog covering the spread in a loss(Jacksonville) and I also have four dogs to win their respective games outright(Miami, Washington, Oakland and New Orleans).  I went mostly chalk and picked out the games that looked prime for an upset last week and nailed nearly every one of them.  I am using a similar formula this week and we’ll see what kind of results it brings me.

On the season, with last week’s explosion of winners, I was also on absolute fire in my spread and over/under picks finishing Week 7 with a 9-3-1 mark against the spread and 9-4 mark picking the over/under.  These marks lead to a personal record of seven trifectas in a single week, a feat that may never again go matched it’s is so unbelievably rare.  This blazing week brought me back to nearly even for the year on my spread picks(48.5%) after my brutal stretch of bad spread picks during the NFL Referee lockout when everything was so unpredictable.  My over/under picks have been scorching all year long though and half way through the season I have a 57.7% success rate on the over/under, a rate of success that only the most expert of prognosticators reaches for a full season.

Before we look at my picks for Week 8, let’s take a look at how last weeks picks shaped up and my overall records for the 2012 NFL season…

*WEEK 7 RESULTS*

Winner: 12-1   😀
Winner w/ Spread: 9-3-1  😀
Over/Under: 9-4 😀
———————————————
Trifecta: 7 (New Record!)
Strikeouts: 0
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 2 (St. Louis, Tampa Bay)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0
___________
*2012 Overall Record*
Winner: 69-35 (.663)
Winner w/ Spread: 49-52-3 (.485)
Over/Under: 58-43-3 (.574)
——————————————–

Trifecta: 27
Strikeouts:17
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 13   [Week 1]: New England  [Week 2]: Indianapolis, San Francisco [Week 3]: Chicago, Washington, New York(A)  [Week 4]: Cleveland, Philadelphia  [Week 5]: Green Bay, Seattle, San Diego  [Week 5]: St. Louis, Tampa Bay
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0
NOTE: The team with a negative number in parenthesis “(-3)” next to their name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as a winning bet.  The over/under for the game is represented by a number in parenthesis with the letters o and u “(o/u 46)”.  The number represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two team’s combined score will be in excess of or short of.  Official betting lines courtesy of www.footballlocks.com
LOCKS: Games that have a “*LOCK*” logo next to the score are my spread lock picks of the week.  I choose four games each week that I feel will be a lock to win the spread bet.  If I have an underdog winning against a favorite and it is a *LOCK* pick, it means it is a lock that the favorite will not cover the spread, not a lock that the underdog wins the game.

Don’t forget to visit therealsportssavant.blogspot.com to check my game picks or right here on lastwordonsports.com at The Sports Savant channel.  And now for my Week 8, NFL picks…

Tampa Bay @ Minnesota(-5.5)  (o/u 43)
Savant Spread Pick: Minnesota and the points to win ~ 23-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

St. Louis v. New England(-7)  (o/u 47)
Savant Spread Pick: New England and the points to win ~ 26-16 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Under

Indianapolis @ Tennessee(-3.5)  (o/u 47)
Savant Spread Pick: Tennessee and the points to win ~ 27-23
Over/Under Pick: Over

Jacksonville @ Green Bay(-15)  (o/u 43.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Jacksonville with the points; Green Bay to win ~ 27-13
Over/Under Pick: Under

Cleveland v. San Diego(-3)  (o/u 43.5)
Savant Spread Pick: San Diego and the points to win ~ 20-16
Over/Under Pick: Under

Atlanta @ Philadelphia(-3)  (o/u 43.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Philadelphia and the points to win ~ 26-23
Over/Under Pick: Over

Seattle @ Detroit(-2.5)  (o/u 42.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Detroit and the points to win ~ 24-16
Over/Under Pick: Under

Miami @ New York(A)(-2.5)  (o/u 40)
Savant Spread Pick: Miami to win ~ 21-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

Carolina @ Chicago(-7.5)  (o/u 43)
Savant Spread Pick: Chicago and the points to win ~ 28-20 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Over

Washington @ Pittsburgh(-4.5)  (o/u 46)
Savant Spread Pick: Washington to win ~ 29-27
Over/Under Pick: Over

Oakland @ Kansas City(-1.5)  (o/u 42)
Savant Spread Pick: Oakland to win ~ 20-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

Dallas v. New York(N)(-2)  (o/u 46.5)
Savant Spread Pick: New York and the points to win ~ 27-19 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Under

New Orleans @ Denver(-6)  (o/u 55)
Savant Spread Pick: New Orleans to win ~ 31-28
Over/Under Pick: Over

Arizona v. San Francisco(-7)  (o/u 38)
Savant Spread Pick: San Francisco and the points to win ~ 23-12 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Under