Welp, more of the same in Week 9 unfortunately. We’re looking for another bounce back in Week 10. One of my favorite aspects of fantasy football has become playing on DraftKings. Every week is like a new puzzle to figure out. Whether you are more of a cash game player or a tournament player, each presents a unique challenge. Let’s take a look at my favorite Week 10 DraftKings plays.
Week 10 DraftKings Plays
Week 9 Recap
It’s always good to be completely transparent and demonstrate accountability. That’s what I like to do with everything I do and that goes for fantasy football as well. Whether it’s bold takes or DraftKings recommendations, I always like to keep track of wins and losses. It’s not only good for the readers to know, but also helps me learn from mistakes moving forward.
🚨RECAP THREAD🚨
For full transparency each week I'll recap my suggested #DraftKings plays to see if they hit the 2.5x we generally shoot for each week!#FantasyFootball#Fantasy#FantasyFootballAdvice#NFL#NFLTwitter#DFS@BlazedRTs@MyFantasyLeague
https://t.co/n7locujYav— ✴️Rob Norton✴️ (@norton0723) November 9, 2020
Looking back at Week 9, it was decent in terms of the recommended plays. This week 50 percent of my recommendations hit the 2.5x value we look for in cash game lineups. This time quarterback was the best group at a perfect 100 percent success rate. Meanwhile, the running back group was last down at a 25 percent success rate. For me personally, it was another bad week to continue this rough season. We’ll look to get back on track with the Week 10 DraftKings plays.
- Week 9 – $393 → $65 ($328 LOSS)
- Year Total – $3,197 → $1,749 ($1,448 LOSS)
Week 10 DraftKings Plays
Quarterbacks
Kyler Murray (ARI) – $8,000 v BUF
Kyler Murray has been insane in the first half of 2020. So far he hasn’t had a game with less than 24 DraftKings points and is currently averaging 31.4 per game. That’s been aided by his eight rushing scores. Murray is currently on pace for 1,086 rushing yards and 16 rushing touchdowns not to mention his stats with his arm. He’s also on pace for 4,260 passing yards and 32 touchdowns. Murray is having a season like Lamar Jackson had last year. Anytime a quarterback is that prolific on the ground, it creates an incredibly high floor. This matchup also brings nice upside in that the Buffalo Bills should score and keep this game competitive. Both teams also run at a fast pace as this is the fastest combined pace-of-play game on the slate. Murray is expensive but he’s as safe as they come and with plenty of value plays on this slate, may be worth paying up for.
Last season, Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson won NFL MVP. Through the first half of this season, Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray has been even better. pic.twitter.com/yKf4MSNofk
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) November 12, 2020
Jared Goff (LAR) – $6,500 v SEA
Jared Goff is this week’s “quarterback to stream against the Seattle Seahawks” pick. Seattle is having a year in which they are one of the highest-scoring teams in the NFL but also allowing nearly the most points against as well. This is the perfect storm in fantasy because it’s led to shootout after shootout. This week’s lucky winner is Jared Goff and the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams have inexplicably gone from a pass-first team to a run-first team in 2020 but that should change in this one. Goff should need to pass 40+ times in this one to keep the Rams competitive. The Seahawks are allowing the most DraftKings points to opposing quarterbacks and this game is also in a dome as well. Goff looks like one of the best mid-range priced quarterbacks on the slate.
Carson Wentz (PHI) – $5,900 @ NYG
Carson Wentz and the Philadelphia Eagles have had a rollercoaster year so far. They’ve experienced their usual injury woes to their playmakers. Wentz himself has had some up-and-down play. Yet somehow, they are still leading the division despite a losing record. Before a down week last week, Wentz had two straight 30-point games, one of which was against the same New York Giants team that he’ll face this weekend. Wentz is also getting more weapons back as Miles Sanders, Dallas Goedert, and Alshon Jeffery all seem likely to suit up and rookie Jalen Reagor just returned recently as well. Wentz can also chip in bonus points with his legs as well as he’s amassed 202 yards and five scores on the ground so far. The matchup isn’t great as the Giants have been surprisingly good but that shouldn’t matter too much, especially at his price point making Wentz a great salary saving option at the quarterback position.
Others to Consider: Josh Allen (BUF) – $7,500 @ ARI, Justin Herbert (LAC) – $6,600 @ MIA, Deshaun Watson (HOU) – $6,900 @ CLE
Running Backs
Mike Davis (CAR) – $4,000 v TB
Well if this isn’t the lock of the week year. Mike Davis got priced down with the return of Christian McCaffrey last week. McCaffrey had a monster game in his return but got injured again, this time with a shoulder injury. The severity of the injury wasn’t known when pricing was released and alas, Davis is the stone minimum. McCaffrey is now out for this week so we get a starting running back that should see 80+ percent of the snaps and touches and we get said running back for the cheapest price possible. The matchup isn’t great, but it doesn’t even matter at this point. Just take that volume of touches for that price. Davis should see plenty of usage in the passing game as well which will help mitigate the rough rushing matchup. If you aren’t starting your cash build with Davis, then it’s time to re-evaluate your cash lineup building process.
Aaron Jones (GB) – $7,100 v JAX
Aaron Jones is just too cheap, plain and simple. He checks all the boxes when looking for a running back to play in your lineup. Jones has seen at least 15 carries in every game besides one in which he still saw 10 carries. He’s also seen at least five targets in every game besides one and he saw four targets in that one. Jones is currently averaging 5.5 targets per game which ranks him sixth among all running backs in the NFL. He’s also averaging 21.8 DraftKings points per game which is fourth among all running backs. This week he gets to play at home against a terrible Jacksonville Jaguars defense. The Green Bay Packers have the highest implied total on the entire slate at 33 points. What’s not to like about plugging in Aaron Jones?
Duke Johnson (HOU) – $5,000 @ CLE
Don’t get it twisted, Duke Johnson can handle a full workload. As mentioned in my Stream Team article, Johnson has been wrongly typecast as a scat-back in his career. It was exciting to see him handle a full workload last week as he handled 20 touches after David Johnson left with a concussion. This week should be more of the same for Duke Johnson with David Johnson likely to miss again. This week’s matchup is more encouraging than not against the Cleveland Browns. The Browns allow the 10th-most DraftKings points to running backs. There’s also the revenge-game narrative if you’re one for narratives. Either way, Duke Johnson is likely to see at least 15 carries and five targets in a good matchup which makes his price way too cheap. Take advantage and get him into your cash game lineups.
Miles Sanders (PHI) – $6,400 @ NYG
Miles Sanders is a bell cow. For those that needed to hear that, there it is. He’s seen the majority of snaps and touches in every game he’s been healthy this year. For those worried about his workload coming back from an injury, don’t be. The same scenario occurred back in Week 2 after Sanders missed Week 1. There was concern he would be eased in and Boston Scott would split the snaps and workload and that just didn’t happen as Sanders saw 23 touches. Sanders has scored double-digit DraftKings points in every game besides one (9.6) and he’s averaging 16.9 per game. The matchup against the New York Giants this week is a good one as well as they allow the ninth most DraftKings points to running backs. Scott just dropped 18.2 points on this same team two weeks ago. Fire Sanders up, especially in GPPs where his ownership will be lower than it should be.
Just a reminder that Miles Sanders will be returning this week. 🔥 pic.twitter.com/Fu53bAX6gV
— Word On The Birds (@WordOnTheBirds) November 10, 2020
Others to Consider: Alvin Kamara (NO) – $8,200 v SF, James Robinson (JAX) – $6,600 @ GB, Josh Jacobs (LV) – $6,500 v DEN, James Conner (PIT) – $6,900 v CIN
Wide Receivers
Keenan Allen (LAC) – $7,100 @ MIA
Keenan Allen continues to be priced too cheap. He’s seeing elite volume since Justin Herbert took over at quarterback. Allen is averaging 10.8 targets per game which are second to only Davante Adams. That number includes the Tyrod Taylor start and also the game he left in the first half with only two targets. If those games are eliminated, he’s averaging a whopping 12.7 targets per game. He’s been producing each week as well with double-digit DraftKings points in all games besides the first game and with 21.7+ in three straight now. This type of volume and production should get Allen priced in the $8,000-$8,500 range but he’s still priced just over $7,100. Keep taking advantage of the mispricing on Keenan Allen while you still can.
Davante Adams (GB) – $9,000 v JAX
Moving to another target hog, Davante Adams is absolutely destroying opposing defenses right now. He currently leads the NFL in all meaningful categories. Adams is averaging 11.5 targets per game, 8.8 receptions per game, 112.5 yards per game, and 1.3 touchdowns per game, all of which lead the NFL. Those numbers also include a game in Week 2 in which he only put up 6.6 DraftKings points while playing hurt. Adams has scored double-digits in every other game, including 30+ in three straight games now. He’s also scored 44+ in two games this year as well. This guy is #good at football. The matchup this week against the Jacksonville Jaguars is a juicy one. The Jaguars are the worst defense in the NFL against the pass according to efficiency metrics. Unlike Keenan Allen, Adams has been priced up but there’s enough value on this slate to be able to fit Adams in if you feel so inclined.
Davante Adams might go for 200 yards vs. JAX. pic.twitter.com/mWvsp9MtBt
— Hayden Winks (@HaydenWinks) November 10, 2020
Jakeem Grant (MIA) – $3,000 v LAC
Jakeem Grant is a sneaky punt play at wide receiver that allows you to be able to fit in a lot of studs. The best part is that you aren’t losing out much by plugging Grant in for the minimum price. Grant has now had his best two games in terms of DraftKings points in back-to-back weeks now. This has coincided with Isaiah Ford being traded away and Preston Williams getting hurt last week. Williams is now on the injured reserve so Grant should continue to see a good amount of snaps and targets this week. That’s all that’s needed when you are at the minimum price. The matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers isn’t great but that doesn’t matter too much when you are in this price range. All that’s needed is the volume in this range and everything else is a bonus. Plugging in Grant allows the ability to afford a lot of studs in your lineup.
Robert Woods (LAR) – $6,600 v SEA
Picking on the Seattle Seahawks pass defense each week has been a great option so far. This week should be no different. The Los Angeles Rams have two main weapons in the passing game and both are extremely viable this week. While it will be hard to choose between the two, Robert Woods has a few small advantages over Cooper Kupp in this one. Both have seen a similar target volume until last week when Kupp saw 20 targets. Both have a similar point total on the year. The advantage that Woods has been is that he gets a regular rushing workload weekly as well. Woods currently has 108 yards and two scores on the ground so far this year. Kupp is also coming into this one slightly banged up and slightly more expensive as well. Both are recommended plays but if choosing just one, Woods has those small tiebreakers.
Others to Consider: Cooper Kupp (LAR) – $6,900 v SEA, Terry McLaurin (WAS) – $6,800 @ DET, Stefon Diggs (BUF) – $7,500 @ ARI, Brandin Cooks (HOU) – $5,600 @ CLE, DeVante Parker (MIA) – $5,000 v LAC, Jalen Reagor (PHI) – $4,200 @ NYG
Tight Ends
Darren Waller (LV) – $5,900 v DEN
Darren Waller has become an every week consideration for cash builds if you can afford to pay up at tight end. This week could be a great opportunity with the value on this slate. The tight end position is a wasteland. The only tight ends that can be counted on weekly are Waller and Travis Kelce. Kelce has a bye this week so it’s only Waller left for this week. Waller is leading all tight ends in targets per game with nine per game and second behind only Kelce with 6.3 receptions per game. He’s currently averaging 14.4 DraftKings points per game and has only scored single-digit points twice all season. The matchup against the Denver Broncos is neither bad nor good. A nice bonus is that he’ll be playing in a dome and is the lead pass catcher for his team. Waller is about as safe as they come at a barren position.
Dallas Goedert (PHI) – $4,200 @ NYG
Dallas Goedert is in a nice spot to produce this week. After balling out in the opening week of the year, he hasn’t scored double-digit DraftKings points since. He’s been dealing with injuries for most of the season, to be fair. Goedert just returned two weeks ago. He didn’t do much in that game, but it was his first game back and the encouraging part was that he played a majority of the snaps. The Philadelphia Eagles are coming off a bye week so that gave him an extra week to further heal up. Top tight end Zach Ertz is still sidelined for this one. Goedert has been good with Ertz but we’ve seen him take it to another level when Ertz misses time. This matchup is nothing special in particular, but Goedert should see a nice target volume as one of the main passing game options for the Eagles.
Evan Engram (NYG) – $4,500 v PHI
On the other side of the ball, Evan Engram has been coming on as of late. He’s now seen at least nine targets in three straight games and produced double-digit DraftKings points in all of those games. One of those games happens to be a matchup with the Philadelphia Eagles, the team he’s facing in this one. Tight end defense is noisy, but the Eagles have allowed the third-most points to tight ends so far this season. The New York Giants have seemed to figure out that Engram is a matchup problem for opposing linebackers and have been trying to take advantage of that. There’s no reason to think they won’t continue to look his way in this one making Engram a nice option at this price.
Evan Engram has come alive in the last three weeks.
Check out where he stacks up among other tight ends:
80.09% of snaps (10th)
28.43% target share (2nd)
29.41% red-zone target share (9th)
37.5 PPR points (4th)
12.9 PPR points per game (4th)Engram is a Top-5 TE ROS.
— Frank Ammirante (@FAmmiranteTFJ) November 11, 2020
Others to Consider: Austin Hooper (CLE) – $3,900 v HOU, T.J. Hockenson (DET) – $5,100 v WAS, Eric Ebron (PIT) – $4,400 v CIN
Defense/Special Teams
In terms of choosing a defense/special teams, it’s the last spot I fill in every week. It’s pretty random but there are a few areas to gain an advantage. I look to target the heavily favorited teams as they usually are playing with a lead. This forces their opponent to throw it more often which can help lead to extra sacks and turnovers and hopefully a touchdown. Another aspect to target is turnover and sack-prone quarterbacks. With that being said, my advice is to fill out the rest of your lineup first and then pick your favorite D/ST out of the remaining money.
My Tentative Cash Game Lineup
- QB – Kyler Murray
- RB – Aaron Jones
- RB – Mike Davis
- WR – Davante Adams
- WR – Keenan Allen
- WR – Jakeem Grant
- TE – Dallas Goedert
- Flex – Duke Johnson
- DST – Detroit Lions
Make sure to tune in next week to see the results from my Week 10 DraftKings plays and to see the best picks for Week 11. Best of luck to everyone and let’s all enjoy some football and win some money!
