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Week 4 DraftKings Plays: Alvin Kamara, DeVante Parker, and More

Week 4 DraftKings Plays; It feels like we blinked our eyes and we are just about a quarter of the way through the NFL fantasy season.
Week 4 DraftKings Plays

It feels like we blinked our eyes and we are just about a quarter of the way through the NFL fantasy season. One of my favorite aspects of fantasy football has become playing on DraftKings. Every week is like a new puzzle to figure out. Whether you are more of a cash game player or a tournament player, each presents a unique challenge. Let’s take a look at my favorite Week 4 DraftKings plays.

DraftKings Plays for Week 4

Week 3 Recap

It’s always good to be completely transparent and demonstrate accountability. That’s what I like to do with everything I do and that goes for fantasy football as well. Whether it’s bold takes or DraftKings recommendations, I always like to keep track of wins and losses. It’s not only good for the readers to know, but also helps me learn from mistakes moving forward.

Looking back at Week 3, 46.7% of my recommendations hit the 2.5x value we look for in cash game lineups. Quarterback was once again the best group at a 66.7% success rate. Meanwhile, the tight end group brought up the rear down at a 16.7% success rate. For me personally, I didn’t do so hot in Week 3 unfortunately.

  • Week 3 – $291 ⇒ $39 ($252 LOSS)
  • Year Total – $919 ⇒ $716 ($203 LOSS)

Week 4 DraftKings Plays

Quarterbacks

Lamar Jackson (BAL) – $8,100 @ WAS

Unfortunately, since Lamar played on Monday night, we don’t get a chance to take advantage of a price drop. Either way, Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens should bounce back in a big way coming off that loss in primetime. While Washington has been better than expected on defense, especially in the trenches, star rookie Chase Young is banged up. They also aren’t likely going to be playing with a lead like the Chiefs were. Washington also plays at an extremely fast pace which should help Lamar get more plays as well. With the way Russell Wilson is currently playing, I expect most people won’t pay the extra $300 to go up to Lamar making him a great GPP play in addition to his usual safe cash game play.

Deshaun Watson (HOU) – $6,600 v MIN

Watson may feel like somewhat of a bust at this point. He has also had a brutal schedule to start the year having to face the Kansas City Chiefs, the Ravens, and the Pittsburgh Steelers to open the year. Those are three of the best teams and best defenses in the NFL. The schedule opens up starting with a Week 4 matchup at home against the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings have been leaking fantasy points so far this year and have looked horrible. If you look under the hood at Watson’s numbers, you’ll find that he’s right in line with career numbers and maybe even a bit better. This is one of the higher O/U on the slate as well and Watson should bounce back in a big way here.

Ryan Fitzpatrick (MIA) – $5,400 v SEA

Fitzmagic is back baby! The NFL is just more fun when Ryan Fitzpatrick is doing good things. He’s been the QB6 and QB10 over the past two weeks yet is somehow the QB24 in DraftKings pricing this week. It makes absolutely no sense whatsoever especially considering the matchup this week. Fitzpatrick and the Miami Dolphins will be taking on Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks in what should be a high scoring game. The game script should be perfect for Fitzpatrick to do what he does best in comeback mode. The Seahawks defense has also been one of the worst in the NFL in allowing quarterback fantasy points so far and without star safety Jamal Adams. As I mentioned in this week’s Stream Team article, Fitzmagic should be awesome this week.

Others to Consider: Russell Wilson (SEA) – $7,800 @ MIA, Joe Burrow (CIN) – $6,300 v JAX, Daniel Jones (NYG) – $5,100 @ LAR

Running Backs

Alvin Kamara (NO) – $8,000 @ DET

Kamara should be the absolute lock of the week, especially in all cash game lineups. He’s getting Christian McCaffrey usage without the pricing. Take advantage while you can before the salary skyrockets. Also if you haven’t seen his touchdown from last week, stop what you are doing right now and go watch it. Kamara is being used so heavily in the passing game right now that it’s extremely hard to fade him in any lineups. He’s tied for third in the NFL with a 31% target share so far. That’s among all players, not just wide receivers. Kamara also has 280 yards-after-catch to this point which is more yards-after-catch than all but four wide receivers even have receiving yards TOTAL! I suggest playing Kamara in your cash game lineups every week until his salary gets closer to $10,000.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) – $6,400 v NE

After an awesome opening week in which he was the talk of the town, the CEH has cooled a bit. That hasn’t stopped him from still producing well for fantasy with 13 and 18.4 PPR points over the past two weeks. The most encouraging part has been the involvement in the passing game. After not being used much in Week 1 in the passing game, he’s seen six and eight targets in the past two weeks respectively. This is the type of usage we look for to keep that floor high in PPR scoring. This week is not an ideal matchup but not a bad one either. The New England Patriots generally have a good defense and usually do a good job of taking away good options, but in that regard I expect them to focus more on Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce which might allow CEH to have a day.

Darrell Henderson Jr. (LAR) – $5,800 v NYG

Henderson has been a revelation for the Los Angeles Rams so far. After starting the year banged up and seeing Malcolm Brown have a great opening week, it’s been all Henderson since. He’s ran for 80+ yards and a score in two straight weeks. That’s been good for 20+ PPR points each week as well. The Rams have been surprisingly run-heavy to this point and it’s been effective. Henderson has the top grade of any running back so far according to Pro Football Focus. This game against the New York Giants sets up as another positive game script for the Rams which should bode well for Henderson. He’s a bit limited in terms of pass-game usage which makes him a little risky in cash lineups but he’s a great GPP guy for sure.

Kenyan Drake (ARI) – $6,000 @ CAR

I’m going back to the Drake well at least one more time. He’s disappointed so far this year but it’s so hard to ignore this level of snap and touch volume at this price. Last week was a great matchup as well but the game script didn’t go as planned. This week looks like an even better matchup against the Carolina Panthers. Carolina had the worst defense against running backs in 2019 and they look like they are picking up right where they left off. Drake isn’t being used in the passing game as much as I thought he’d be so far but he’s more than capable. It might not matter though if he’s able to go for 100 yards on the ground and a score or two.

Others to Consider: Mike Davis (CAR) – $5,700 v ARI, Dalvin Cook (MIN) – $7,600 @ HOU, Austin Ekeler (CAR) – $7,100 @ TB, David Johnson (HOU) – $5,600 v MIN

Wide Receivers

DeVante Parker (MIA) – $5,700 v SEA

As mentioned with Fitzpatrick, this game script sets up perfectly for the Dolphins passing game. Parker has shown he’s the alpha in Miami. He hasn’t had a big game yet, but he’s done well considering he’s been hampered by an injury and had an extremely tough schedule so far. Don’t be discouraged by the five targets last week because Fitzpatrick only threw 20 passes in total. That’s still a 25% target share which is very promising. Fitzpatrick should have to throw 35+ times and I wouldn’t be surprised if Parker sees double-digit looks in this one. If he does, he should be able to produce against a Seahawks defense that has allowed the most fantasy points to wide receivers so far. Buy low on Parker while you can and plug him into your DFS lineups as he looks like one of the best values on the slate.

D.J. Moore (CAR) – $5,600 v ARI

It hasn’t been great so far for Moore but there are a ton of encouraging signs. His targets were down this past week but he’s still sitting at eighth in the NFL in targets heading into Week 4. He’s third in most catches 15+ yards downfield. He’s near the top of the leaderboards in both target share and air yards share. He’s got everything under the hood that you want to see for your fantasy wide receiver. It just hasn’t happened yet, keyword yet. In this matchup, the Panthers are facing the fast-paced Arizona Cardinals which should help push the pace and get more pass volume on Carolina’s side. Combine all these things with his depressed salary and Moore makes for a great play this week.

Tyler Lockett (SEA) – $7,000 @ MIA

Lockett has been a superstar plain and simple. Every year Lockett gets underrated because nobody expects him to keep such a high-efficiency level up. Narrator: He has. Wilson to Lockett has continued to be one of the most efficient quarterback to wide receiver combos in the history of the NFL. With the way they are playing right now, expect that to continue. The best part is that Lockett is finally seeing elite levels of target volume in addition to his elite efficiency. He’s averaging close to ten targets per game right now. If that continues for the rest of the year, Lockett is going to be a top ten or even top-five option all year and a great weekly play in your DFS lineups.

Odell Beckham Jr. (CLE) – $5,800 @ DAL

If not now, when? That’s the real question when it comes to OBJ and this Browns passing game in general. We know under coach Kevin Stefanski that they want to be a run-heavy, ball-control offense. This week, however, I don’t think that’s going to work so well against Dallas. The Dallas Cowboys are playing at the fastest pace in the league right now. They also sport one of the worst secondaries as well. This game has a high O/U and projects to be a game in which the Browns are trailing. Despite the reports that Beckham himself said he will see fewer opportunities this year, this week specifically might be one in which we can see vintage OBJ ball out.

Others to Consider:  Will Fuller (HOU) – $5,900 v MIN, D.K. Metcalf (SEA) – $6,800 @ MIA, Golden Tate (NYG) – $4,600 @ LAR, Hunter Renfrow (LV) – $4,600 v BUF, Allen Robinson (CHI) – $6,700 v IND, Tyler Boyd (CIN) – $6,100 v JAX

Tight Ends

Mark Andrews (BAL) – $6,000 @ WAS

As mentioned with Lamar Jackson, Andrews is in a prime bounce-back spot. After getting embarrassed by Kansas City, I expect the Ravens to come out angry and take it out on Washington. Despite the bad week, Andrews still saw eight targets against the Chiefs. This could be a spot where Lamar and Andrews use it as a get-right week to get back on track. If he sees another eight targets in this one, he should produce in a big way. The only risk on Andrews is if they get up big and coast that could limit his upside.

T.J. Hockenson (DET) – $4,800 v NO

Hockenson has been up and down in his sophomore season to this point. That’s generally how it goes for sophomore players, especially tight ends. Even still, he’s currently sitting as the TE9 on the season in PPR points. There were even more encouraging signs in Week 3 despite his down performance. He had season highs in snap count, routes run, and targets. This also coincided with the return of Kenny Golladay. It could be a sign moving forward that the Detroit Lions want to return to their vertical passing ways and feature both Golladay and Hockenson moving forward. This week specifically they get a matchup at home, in a dome, against a Saints defense that hasn’t done well in covering the tight end so far in 2020.

Hunter Henry (LAC) – $4,600 @ TB

This week doesn’t offer many great pay-down options at tight end this week and I wasn’t going to feature Logan Thomas for a third time here. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me three times… well we just aren’t going to go there. Instead of chasing those bad targets, I’ll chase the slightly better targets with Henry this week. This Los Angeles Chargers team seems to have a concentrated target share to this point. Henry has seen eight, eight, and seven targets so far. He’s been able to produce a line of 5+/50+ for receptions and yards in every game so far. This gives him a safe floor for double-digit PPR points which makes him a great cash game play.

Others to Consider: Dalton Schultz (DAL) – $4,300 v CLE, Mike Gesicki (MIA) – $5,100 v SEA, Logan Thomas (WAS) – $3,500 v BAL

Defense/Special Teams

In terms of choosing a defense/special teams, it’s the last spot I fill in every week. It’s pretty random but there are a few areas to gain an advantage. I look to target the heavily favorited teams as they usually are playing with a lead. This forces their opponent to throw it more often which can help lead to extra sacks and turnovers and hopefully a touchdown. Another aspect to target is turnover and sack-prone quarterbacks. With that being said, my advice is to fill out the rest of your lineup first and then pick your favorite D/ST out of the remaining money.

My Tentative Cash Game Lineup

  • QB – Ryan Fitzpatrick
  • RB – Alvin Kamara
  • RB – Mike Davis
  • WR – DeVante Parker
  • WR – D.J. Moore
  • WR – Tyler Lockett
  • TE – Hunter Henry
  • Flex – Kenyan Drake
  • DST – Miami Dolphins

Make sure to tune in next week to see the results from my Week 4 DraftKings plays and to see the best picks for Week 5. Best of luck to everyone and let’s all enjoy some football and win some money!

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