T.Y. Hilton tops the list of core plays for Week 7 DFS. Hilton plays a familiar opponent this week, one that he has routinely dominated throughout his career. Hilton is a great DFS building block this week. Find out who else to build your Week 7 DFS lineups around.
Play T.Y. Hilton: Core DFS Plays Week 7 NFL
Using Vegas odds from vegasinsider.com, matchup data from Mike Clay’s WR/CB matchup sheet, stats from Pro Football Reference, ownership projections from across the industry, and years of experience, I’m able to provide you with insightful plays for DFS each week. Here are the top options at each position for Week 7.
[Pricing and player data– Draft Kings].
Week 7 DFS Quarterbacks
Deshaun Watson $7000
Watson can get it done on the ground and through the air. He’s been rolling lately and has a couple of explosive playmakers at his disposal in the Houston offense. You can play him as your cash quarterback or stack him with some of his receivers for GPP lineups. I like the idea of rolling back some of those stacks with either Hilton or Marlon Mack to create a game-stack. There are some matchups this week that feature high-profile quarterbacks facing off against each other. I expect that to drive the ownership of those quarterbacks up. Meanwhile, Watson could come in as the fourth of fifth highest owned quarterback this week, making him a good option for GPPs.
Russell Wilson $6600
Wilson will be a popular option this week, but for good reason. He has scored 28 or more DK points in four out of his last five games, including a 44-point explosion at home in Week Three. Baltimore should be able to keep the game close, forcing Wilson to stay aggressive all game. Wilson, playing at home this week, is a great cash game option. If you use him in GPP lineups, be a little contrarian somewhere else in the lineup to help differentiate your lineup from the field.
Matt Ryan $6300
Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons play host to the Los Angeles Rams this week. This will also be a popular game for DFS players to target. However, there are lots of ways to get shares of this game and still be somewhat contrarian with your lineup. It’s worth building multiple game-stacks from this game. You can gain leverage by using some popular players in the stack along with one lower-owned player from this game- someone like Mohamed Sanu or Gerald Everett. You can also gain leverage by using a low-owned, one-off player from a different game in your lineup or by adding one of the running backs from this game into the stack.
Jared Goff $6200
Goff will likely be a popular option for DFS this week-possibly the highest owned quarterback. I recommend building some lineups with him and his receivers along with some Falcons. I also recommend building some lineups where you fade the majority of this game to gain some leverage against the field in GPPs. The good thing about building stacks with Goff is his targets are all funneled to three receivers making it easy to decide who to pair him with. You can choose two, or use all three in smaller GPPs.
Week 7 DFS Running Backs
Dalvin Cook $8000
Cook is pricey again this week. However, all the value available to us this week allows us to fit him in where we want to. Last week, against the Philadelphia Eagles, was the first game this season Cook failed to exceed 20+ touches in a game. That was because the Vikings wanted to get their passing game going against the Eagles horrid secondary. This week, the Vikings will need to go back to the run game, facing the Detriot Lions, who just allowed Jamaal Williams to get the better of them on Monday night. There are some cheaper backs with better matchups this week, but none quite as talented as Cook. That said, I think running back is a spot to have diversity at across your lineups this week, with there being no standout options on the slate.
Leonard Fournette $7000
Fournette has been a touch machine this season. He averages 19 carries and six targets per game. This week, Fournette will play the Cincinnati Bengals who have allowed the second-most DK points to running backs this season. Fournette’s volume gives him a safe floor. Plus, he has the talent and matchup to put up the big numbers needed to be competitive in GPPs.
Devonta Freeman $5400
Freeman has regained his majority workshare in the Atlant backfield. Over the last three weeks, Freeman has averaged just under 20 touches per game. In those contests, Freeman had scores of 18, 18, and 26.8 points. The Rams are middle of the pack at defending running backs, so the savings and upside Freeman provides make him a good option for DFS. The fact that all the attention and ownership will likely be geared towards the quarterbacks and pass-catchers, Freeman is a nice pivot-play for GPP lineups.
Josh Jacobs $5000
Jacobs is a low-cost option with 20-touch upside. He plays a Green Bay Packers defense that has been great defending the pass but susceptible to the run. I like the idea of using Jacobs as a one-off in DFS lineups this week. Few players in the 5k price range offer the kind of touch security and upside Jacobs does.
Week 7 DFS Wide Receivers
Cooper Kupp $7400
After a down performance last week, Kupp is in a get-right spot playing at Atlant this week. The Falcons have allowed the second-most DK points per game to receivers this season. The Falcons–Rams game has the highest Vegas O/U (52.5) on the slate. We want to build multiple versions of game-stacks from this game in an attempt to capture the top scorers. A lot of people will be on this game. When building GPP lineups with players from this game, make sure to be a little contrarian somewhere else in the lineup. You can do that by either leaving 3-400 dollars in salary on the table or by inserting a low-owned player– ideally, someone who is expected to be sub-5% owned.
Will Fuller $6200
Fuller has been hit or miss this season. Last week he saw nine targets, but dropped three would-be touchdown passes resulting in a 5/44/0 line. However, Fuller has been heavily involved in the offense (25 targets over the last two weeks), and gets another exploitable matchup this week. The Colts rank 24th in DK points allowed to receivers. With an explosive receiver getting targeted at the rate that Fuller has been lately, I see no good reason not to play him in DFS again this week. After letting people down last week, l expect to get Fuller at lower ownership and higher upside this week.
T.Y. Hilton $5900
T.Y. Hilton will play his favorite opponent in the league on Sunday, the Texans. In 14 career games versus his division foe, Hilton has amassed 76/1445/9 receiving. This season, the Texans have allowed the third-most receptions (88) and sixth-most touchdowns (eight) to wide receivers. You can play Hilton individually in cash lineups. In GPP contests, you can stack Hilton with Jacoby Brissett to be ultra-contrarian, or play him in a game-stack with some Texans. This game has shootout potential, so we’re going to want some exposure to it in some of our DFS lineups.
Kenny Golladay $5800
Golladay provides us a nice pivot option away from the much chalkier receivers in his price range. Because of his somewhat tougher matchup, Golladay’s ownership is expected to come in at sub-10%. However, Golladay has seen at least eight targets every week, so he has a decent floor and upside. While I’m not interested in stacking with Golladay, he does make for a good one-off option for GPP lineups.
Brandin Cooks $5400
The Falcons have given up the third-most fantasy points to wide receivers and the fifth-most fantasy points to outside receivers this season. Cooks has underperformed lately because he tends to run deeper routes than fellow Rams receivers Kupp and Robert Woods. The Rams offensive line has been bad this season, which hasn’t allowed Goff the time needed to connect with Cook downfield. However, the Falcons pose very little threat with their defensive pass-rush, which should allow more downfield throws by Goff to Cooks this week. There is some leverage to gain by playing Cooks. Cooks gives us exposure to the Rams-Falcons matchup while providing some relief in ownership compared to Kupp and Woods.
Week 7 DFS Tight Ends
George Kittle $6700
Kittle is currently trending toward being sub-10% owned this week. He is priced way above all the other tight ends which is going to drive ownership to those cheaper options. There is an opportunity here to gain leverage with one of the better players at the position by spending up and playing Kittle in some lineups. He has an entirely exploitable matchup versus the Washington Redskins.
Austin Hooper $5300
Hooper will be one of the highest owned tight ends in daily contests this week. He is a good option for cash lineups, but if you are using him in GPP lineups, make sure to be creative. A few ways to do that- you could leave some salary on the table, play another tight end in the flex, or try to find leverage with a low-owned player.
Hunter Henry $4000
Henry is coming off of a huge week, and you would never know it. There has been very little buzz about Henry leading up to this week’s game. However, at only 4k, he is a nice cash-saving option and pivot off the chalk in the middle of the price range at tight end this week. We all saw the upside Henry has when he put up 8/100/2 in his return to action last week.
Week 7 DFS Defense
San Francisco 49ers $4100
The 49ers defense has been stifling this season. They have yet to allow an opponent to score over 20 points this season. The Niners defense themselves haven’t scored less than seven DK points in any week. The last time they flew out to the east coast, to play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the 49ers defense put up 27 DK point. This time, they will play a weak and depleted Washington Redskins team and are well worth the investment in DFS.
Chicago Bears $3000
With a lot of ownership likely focused at the top this week, there is a lot of value going with the Bears who are priced in the middle. They will face the New Orleans Saints at home this week, who might be without Drew Brees (Thumb) and Alvin Kamara (Ankle). This Bears defense can give the best offenses a hard time; I don’t think the Saints qualify as one of those offenses without the likes of Brees and Kamara playing.
Saints $2900
The Saints have generated a ton of pressure this year. Through six games, the Saints defense has 18 sacks, 4 fumble recoveries, and three interceptions. Meanwhile, the Bears offense has struggled to get going this season (outside of a 31-point game against Washington). The Saints defense is going to make it difficult for the Bears offense to get anything going again this week. In the Weeks 1-4 games that Mitchell Trubisky was a part of, the Bears point totals in those games were 3, 16, 31, 16. If you’re looking for savings or just want to be a little contrarian, going with the Saints D makes a lot of sense.
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