Last night’s instalment of the Best Bets series was a story of almost. Blake Snell and the San Diego Padres almost won the first half, and Tyler Glasnow almost ended on eight strikeouts, which could have continued our profit streak. Alas, it was not meant to be.
Now, this brings us to today. We have a full slate of games on this beautiful late July weekend. What else is there to do on a Friday night in the middle of July? I can’t think of anything. So, we will celebrate things differently in today’s edition. I will be providing my favorite picks for every single game that is on tap tonight. It will consist of one conservative and one plus-money pick for each matchup.
As for today’s risk/ bankroll management, there are a few ways you can go about it. If you want to take everything, I suggest a bet size of 0.25U or lower. Betting everything would be a net risk of 7.5U. The alternative would be to take 3-5U and spread them across a few of your favorites. Whatever you choose to bet on, please do so responsibly and not risk more than you can afford.
Now on to the picks!
Best Bets July 20th
Day 11 Recap: Missed it by that much
Corbin Burnes o6.5 Ks ✅✅
Padres F5 -0.5 ❌❌
(Lost by 1)
Padres F5 u4.5 Runs ✅✅
Glasnow u8.5 Ks ❌❌
(Finished with 9)
Best Bets Record
Overall: 32-33-1 (+2.23U)
Official Plays: 13-10-0 (+1.90U)
Fun Plays: 19-23-1 (+0.33U)
On to Today’s Best Bets!
Best Bets – Cardinals @ Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs
- Start Time: 2:20PM EST
- Weather: Partly Cloudy, 77F
- Matchup: Jack Flaherty vs. Justin Steele
- Conservative Pick: St. Louis Cardinals F5 +0.5 (-135)
- Plus-Money Pick: Nolan Arenado 1+ RBI (+125)
Best Bets – Padres @ Tigers
San Diego Padres @ Detroit Tigers
- Start Time: 6:40PM EST
- Weather: Mostly Sunny, 80F
- Matchup: Seth Lugo vs. Reese Olson
- Conservative Pick: Total Over 9 Runs (-104)
- Plus-Money Pick: SGP – Fernando Tatis Jr. 2+ Bases & 1+ Runs (+117)
Best Bets – Orioles @ Rays
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
- Start Time: 6:40PM EST
- Weather: Covered Dome
- Matchup: Kyle Bradish vs. Zach Eflin
- Conservative Pick: Gunnar Henderson & Yandy Diaz 1+ Hits (-127)
- Plus-Money Pick: Zach Eflin 6+ Ks (+138)
Best Bets – Rockies @ Marlins
Colorado Rockies @ Miami Marlins
- Start Time: 6:40PM EST
- Weather: Thunderstorms, 91F
- Matchup: Peter Lambert vs. Braxton Garret
- Conservative Pick: Braxton Garrett Over 5.5 Ks (-152)
- Plus-Money Pick: Luis Arraez 2+ Hits (+150)
Best Bets – Royals @ Yankees
Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees
- Start Time: 7:05PM EST
- Weather: Thunderstorms, 79F
- Matchup: Alec Marsh vs. Clarke Schmidt
- Conservative Pick: Alec Marsh Over 4.5 Ks (-128)
- Plus-Money Pick: Kansas City Royals F5 ML (+156)
Best Bets – Giants @ Nationals
San Fransisco Giants @ Washington Nationals
- Start Time: 7:05PM EST
- Weather: Showers, Warm, 86F
- Matchup: Alex Wood vs. Jake Irvin
- Conservative Pick: Washington Nationals F5 +0.5 (-118)
- Plus-Money Pick: Stone Garrett 2+ Bases (+110)
Best Bets – Phillies @ Guardians
Philadelphia Phillies @ Cleveland Guardians
- Start Time: 7:10PM EST
- Weather: Passing Showers, 74F
- Matchup: Ranger Suarez vs. Gavin Williams
- Conservative Pick: Gavin Williams Over 1.5 Walks (-115)
- Plus-Money Pick: Trea Turner 1+ Stolen Base (+270)
Best Bets – Mets @ Red Sox
New York Mets @ Boston Red Sox
- Start Time: 7:10PM EST
- Weather: T-Storms, Cloudy, 78F
- Matchup: Kodai Senga vs. Kutter Crawford
- Conservative Pick: Boston Red Sox ML (-116)
- Plus-Money Pick: Boston Red Sox / Under 9.5 (+240)
Best Bets – Diamondbacks @ Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds
- Start Time: 7:10PM EST
- Weather: Cloudy, 79F
- Matchup: Tommy Henry vs. Ben Lively
- Conservative Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks F5 ML (+100)
- Plus-Money Pick: Lourdes Gurriel 1+ RBI (+135)
Best Bets – Dodgers @ Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Texas Rangers
- Start Time: 8:05PM EST
- Weather: T-Storms, Hot 102F
- Matchup: Tony Gonsolin vs. Andrew Heaney
- Conservative Pick: Texas Rangers F5 ML (-128)
- Plus-Money Pick: Tony Gonsolin Under 3.5 Ks (+128)
Best Bets – Braves @ Brewers Best Bets
Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers
- Start Time: 8:10PM EST
- Weather: Cloudy, Warm 80F
- Matchup: Mike Soroka vs. Freddy Peralta
- Conservative Pick: Ronald Acuña Jr. & Austin Riley 1+ Hit (-103)
- Plus-Money Pick: Matt Olson 1+ Home Run (+290)
Best Bets – White Sox @ Twins
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
- Start Time: 8:10PM EST
- Weather: Mostly Cloudy, 81F
- Matchup: Lance Lynn vs. Joe Ryan
- Conservative Pick: Edouard Julien 2+ Bases (+105)
- Plus-Money Pick: Joe Ryan 8+ Ks (+126)
Best Bets – Pirates @ Angels
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Angels
- Start Time: 9:38PM EST
- Weather: Scattered Clouds, 90F
- Matchup: Johan Oviedo vs. Shohei Ohtani
- Conservative Pick: Shohei Ohtani Over 7.5 Ks (-142)
- Plus-Money Pick: Shohei Ohtani 9+ Ks / Angels to Win (+210)
Best Bets – Astros @ Athletics
Houston Astros @ Oakland Athletics
- Start Time: 9:40PM EST
- Weather: Scattered Clouds, 80F
- Matchup: Framber Valdez vs. JP Sears
- Conservative Pick: Chas McCormick 1+ Run (-110)
- Plus-Money Pick: Framber Valdez 9+ Ks (+265)
Best Bets – Blue Jays @ Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners
- Start Time: 10:10PM EST
- Weather: Cloudy, Mild 76F
- Matchup: Yusei Kikuchi Vs. Bryce Miller
- Conservative Pick: Mariners F5 ML (-128)
- Plus-Money Pick: Julio Rodríguez 1+ RBI & 1+ Run (+246)
Photo Credit: © Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports
Players mentioned:
Blake Snell, Tyler Glasnow, Corbin Burnes, Jack Flaherty, Justin Steele, Nolan Arenado, Seth Lugo, Reese Olson, Fernando Tatis Jr., Kyle Bradish, Zach Eflin, Gunnar Henderson, Yandy Diaz, Peter Lambert, Braxton Garrett, Luis Arraez, Alec Marsh, Clarke Schmidt, Alex Wood, Jake Irvin, Stone Garrett, Ranger Suarez, Gavin Williams, Trea Turner, Kodai Senga, Kutter Crawford, Tommy Henry, Ben Lively, Tony Gonsolin, Andrew Heaney, Freddy Peralta, Ronald Acuña Jr., Austin Riley, Matt Olson, Lance Lynn, Joe Rya, Edouard Julien, Johan Oviedo, Shohei Ohtani, Framber Valdez, Chas McCormick, Yusei Kikuchi, Bryce Miller, Julio Rodríguez
