Tonight tips off the final Friday of the Associations’ regular season and we’re discussing a few NBA player prop picks ahead of the action. Playoff positioning is still up for grabs in both conferences, so fans and bettors are in for an exciting finish to the 2022-23 campaign.
NBA Player Prop Picks | Friday, April 7
Jabari Smith Jr. Double-Double | Over 9.5 Rebounds
Smith is averaging 15.7 points over his last 18 games, a stretch in which he failed to reach double figures only once. His 8.1 rebounds per game over that span isn’t prolific, but he collected 10 or more boards in four of his last five.
Meanwhile, the Hornets, already dead last in offensive rating, are without several key members of their starting five and rotation. On paper, Smith shouldn’t have trouble scoring 10-plus points. And considering the Hornets’ offensive struggles, there should be a surplus of errant shots available for Smith to collect.
Steph Curry Over 2.5 Turnovers
Tonight’s game vs. the Kings is short of a must-win for Curry and the Dubs, but it’s a monster contest nonetheless. Golden State is a comfortable road favorite thanks to the expectation that Sacramento will feature reserves. Don’t assume a free and easy road to victory though.
It’s not uncommon for teams to struggle facing relative unknowns, as we saw with Phoenix against Denver on Thursday night. The Warriors have had issues on the road and with turnovers all season, and Curry has been among the biggest culprits. He’s averaging 3.2 giveaways over his last 16, including 10 games with three or more. That’s not an exorbitant number, especially given his usage, but he — and his teammates — have a tendency to get loose and sloppy with the ball for stretches.
Mikal Bridges Over 26.5 Points
Bridges failed to hit the Over in back-to-back spots, but we’re riding with him again. We like that the Nets are in a must-win spot as they try to keep the Miami Heat relegated to the play-in tourney. There’s also still plenty of reason to be bullish on Bridges.
Even though Bridges fell Under in his last two, he still attempted 50 shots, including 16 from range. In six games prior to his last two sub-par outings, Bridges averaged 33.7 points (27-plus in each) on a 50.8/44.7/93.0 shooting line. We expect another heavy dose of volume combined with improved efficiency from Bridges in Brooklyn tonight.
Keep in mind that odds and lines for our Friday NBA prop picks are subject to change prior to tip-off. Check the best NBA betting sites for the most updated numbers.