The hoops calendar is heating up – March Madness is under way and the NBA Playoffs are lucking. We’re tipping the week off with a trio of Monday’s best NBA player props.
Note: Keep in mind that odds for NBA odds, lines, and player props fluctuate leading up to tip – and during the game. Check the latest numbers and prices at the best NBA betting sites.
Best Monday NBA Player Props
Jayson Tatum Over 3.5 Threes
Off the bat, it’s worth recognizing the blowout risk in this spot. If the Celtics jump out early and put their foot on the Rockets’ proverbial throat, we may not see Tatum hoist as many deep attempts as he has in recent contests. Short of that though, Tatum is on a run that pushes us to lean Over.
He attempted 10-plus threes in five of his last nine and he’s converting at a 36.6% clip, and he’s hit at least four treys in four of five. The Rockets not only surrender serious volume from beyond the arc, but they allow high efficiency as well. If Tatum’s recent form holds, it’ll be worth wagering his odds on him hitting four threes.
Anthony Edwards (-0.5 Rebounds) vs. Dejounte Murray
This selection is more about preferring Edwards’ ability to clean the glass to a slightly higher degree than Murray. Macro-level research and analysis reveals Edwards as a slightly more productive and efficient rebounder than Murray.
However, on a micro level, Rudy Gobert injured his ankle in Friday’s contest and is questionable Monday. If he sits, more rebounding production will be required of Edwards. Even if Gobert plays, it’s possible he’s a step slow on a few defensive possessions, allowing Edwards a little more glass-cleaning opportunity.
James Wiseman Over 9.5 Rebounds
Wiseman continues to enjoy quality production as a Piston. He’s coming off a nine-rebound performance in just under 26 minutes against the Pacers. Those same Pacers are undermanned heading into Monday night’s contest. Star point guard Tyrese Haliburton is out, as is leading rebounder Myles Turner.
Turner’s absence is very important from another standpoint. He owns the Pacers’ second best offensive rating. That not only suggests more errant shots for Wiseman to pull down, but it also lowers – at least in theory – the risk of Wiseman falling into foul trouble. He’s averaging 11.7 rebounds per 36 minutes. He’s unlikely to reach that level of playing time, but if he can stay on the floor tonight, he should be in position to grab at least 10 boards.