The madness continues on Saturday when No. 11 Oregon (24-11) takes on No. 3 Creighton (24-9). The Ducks upset No. 6 South Carolina to reach the Round of 32, while the Bluejays took care of business in a comfortable win over No. 14 Akron.
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No. 11 Oregon vs. No. 3 Creighton Odds
- Spread: Oregon +5.5 (-115) • Creighton -5.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Oregon (+180) • Creighton (-215)
- Total: Over 145.5 (-115) • Under 145.5 (-105)
The Ducks pulled off the upset against the sixth-seeded Gamecocks, but they’ll have a more difficult challenge to overcome when they take on the Bluejays as 5.5-point underdogs.
The total is set at 145.5 points, making this one of the day’s lower-scoring projections. That’s a nod to each team’s underrated defense.
Oregon vs. Creighton Prediction
Creighton is known for its high-scoring offense and penchant for shooting the three-ball, but it has an excellent defense as well. The Bluejays rank No. 26 in KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency metric, and they allowed the fewest free-throw attempts (10.6) and makes (8.3) per game in the nation.
Plus, unlike South Carolina, Creighton has a big body to throw at Oregon star N’Faly Dante. Bluejays big Ryan Kalkbrenner is a sturdy seven-footer who averages 3.0 blocks per game and is a three-time Big East Defensive Player of the Year winner.
To put it simply, this isn’t a great matchup for the Ducks. Their reliance on two-pointers won’t help them keep pace with Creighton if it gets going from beyond the arc, so unless Oregon gets a particularly strong performance from its role players, it’ll have a tough time cover as 5.5-point underdogs.
Oregon vs. Creighton Best Bets
Creighton -5.5 (-105) vs Oregon
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Creighton hasn’t lost to a lower seed in the NCAA Tournament since the 2017-18 season, often winning the games it should and competing with top contenders. If that trend means anything, Greg McDermott’s Bluejays should prevail over the Ducks.
Oregon has done well as an underdog, and a recent win over Arizona suggests it has the potential to knock off Creighton. Stylistically, though, this just isn’t the right matchup for the Ducks.
Under 145.5 (-105)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Creighton’s knack for keeping opponents off the free-throw line and matchup advantages should make this a lower-scoring game than expected. I would expect a 70-60 sort of result here.
Oregon vs. Creighton: Best Betting Promo
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