No. 9 Michigan State (19-14) takes on No. 8 Mississippi State (21-13) in a projected close game in the first round of the NCAA Tournament.
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On this page, you’ll find a full breakdown of Michigan State vs Mississippi State, including a pick, predictions, and odds on this intriguing matchup.
No. 9 Michigan State-No. 8 Mississippi State At A Glance
- Date: Thursday, March 21, 2024
- Time: 12:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Spectrum Center; Charlotte, NC
- Spread: Michigan State -1 (-112), Mississippi State +1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Michigan State (-120), Mississippi State (+100)
- Total: Over/Under 130.5 (-108, -112)
Michigan State-Mississippi State Betting Preview
Let’s start off our Michigan State vs Mississippi State betting preview by comparing the two teams using Ken Pomeroy’s rankings:
- Michigan State (18th overall): 57th in adjusted offensive efficiency / 8th in adjusted defensive efficiency
- Mississippi State (30th overall): 60th in adjusted offensive efficiency / 20th in adjusted defensive efficiency
As we can see here, these two sides are evenly matched, but the Spartans have the slight edge due to their superior defense.
Michigan State also does a much better job with ball movement, averaging 16.3 assists per game (26th) compared to 14.1 (T-113th) for Mississippi State.
The Spartans protect the basketball, ranking 28th in turnovers per game, while the Bulldogs are 280th. We could see Michigan State control this game by winning the turnover battle.
While we could see a close game, I’m giving the Spartans the edge to come away with the victory in this one.
PREDICTION: Michigan State wins 71-65
BET: Michigan State -1 (-112)
BET: Over 130.5 (-108)
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