Death. Taxes. Hating the Dukies. It isn’t March Madness without the Duke Blue Devils, and it isn’t the maddest of months without vitriol spewed in their direction.
The big difference in 2024 is that they have a realistic chance to make it out of the South Region with vulnerable teams seeded above them. But first the Duke Blue Devils have to get past the No. 13 Vermont Catamounts for the right to play in the Round of 32.
Can the Cats give America what it wants? Or will Kyle Filipowski and Duke advance.
No. 13 Vermont vs No. 4 Duke Odds
Odds are correct as of Mar. 20 from FanDuel Sportsbook.
- 🐱 Spread: Vermont +12.5 (-115) • Duke -12.5 (-105)
- 😈 Moneyline: Vermont (+580) • Duke (-880)
- 🏀 Total: Over 132.5 (-110) • Under 132.5 (-110)
Vermont vs Duke Prediction
This game begins and ends with Vermont’s interior defense being able to stop Filipowski. As polarizing as he can be, few big men have the talent to shoot, rebound, and facilitate like the sophomore. The Catamount defense is 26th in Effective FG%, but has a hard time limiting second chances and creating turnovers.
Duke can run the offense through Filipowski, or have their backcourt led by the trio of Jared McCain, Tyrese Proctor, and Jeremy Roach. Their athleticism trumps Vermont’s strong, but less talented backcourt.
One hope the Cats have is that Duke isn’t going to try to literally run them out of the building. Both teams will take their time getting back on offense, which allows Vermont to be more likely to get set and figure out how to slow down Duke’s polished offense.
Credit to Jon Scheyer. He has the Blue Devils set up for sustained success, especially when you consider Filipowski could have (should have) left for the NBA in 2023.
Vermont vs Duke Best Bet
Under 132.5 Points at FanDuel Sportsbook (-110)
Aside from the expected flash plays, expect a methodical game at both ends of the court. Vermont’s interior offense would be in a much better situation against almost every other 4-seed. Their dominance in the American East didn’t give them any brownie points with the selection committee.
Both teams are great at protecting the ball, so mental mishaps should be limited. Duke is just as poor at creating turnovers as Vermont, and their overall talent advantage will help mask any lapses.
Unless you are a fan of either squad, this will be the fourth game you pay attention to out of Friday’s television dinner break quadrant of games. Bet this to 130.5.
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