Entering the NCAA Tournament, Saint Mary’s has ignited after overcoming a 3-5 start to the regular season. They have secured 23 wins in their last 25 games and clinched their first conference title since 2019.
The Gaels face No. 12 Grand Canyon, which recently won the WAC Tournament. The Odds favor Saint Mary’s, with the spread at 5.5 points and the Gaels ML odds at -230.
Will Grand Canyon upset the No. 5 Gaels in the upcoming first-round match in Washington? Explore our betting analysis and top recommendations for this matchup, including how to maximize your betting returns with the Round 1 March Madness promos.
📈 Saint Mary’s vs. Grand Canyon Odds
Saint Mary’s vs. GCU lines were found at bet365 Sportsbook on Friday at 9 p.m. ET:
- Moneyline: Saint Mary’s (-230) • Grand Canyon (+190)
- Spread: Saint Mary’s -5.5 (-110) • Grand Canyon +5.5 (-110)
- Total Points: Over 131.5 (-110) • Under 131.5 (-110)
The Gaels are favored over the Antelopes in this round one matchup, with the spread set at 5.5 points. The spread makes sense, considering Saint Mary’s has beaten some outstanding teams this season, including two victories over the top-20 Gonzaga Bulldogs.
If the total feels low at 131.5, just know there is a good reason. The Gaels play at a pace akin to a snail going uphill on a road made of molasses and tend to slow opponents down as a result.
🔮 Saint Mary’s vs. Grand Canyon Prediction
Saint Mary’s 68, Grand Canyon 58
Saint Mary’s, which ranks 358th in adjusted tempo, effectively slows the game, challenging fast-paced teams like Grand Canyon, which ranks 74th in average possession length. The Gaels excel in efficiency, having a top-50 offense in KenPom, and they lead in offensive rebounding, contrasting Grand Canyon’s 207th rank in defensive rebounds.
Despite the Antelopes’ robust and effective field goal percentage defense, their performance is against relatively weak offenses. With its 16th-ranked efficient defense, Saint Mary’s is poised to handle Grand Canyon’s faster, sometimes erratic offense.
Historically, the Gaels have been strong in tournament starts, so it is a good bet that they will continue their pattern of double-digit victories.
✅ Saint Mary’s vs. Grand Canyon Best Bet
Tyon Grant-Foster: Over 17.5 Points (-105)
bet365 Sportsbook • 1 unit
Tyon Grant-Foster has been Grand Canyon’s top scorer throughout the season, averaging 19.8 points per game. At 6-foot-7, the senior guard scored a combined 50 points in the WAC Tournament, shooting 14-for-30, including four 3-pointers, and grabbing 15 rebounds.
Additionally, he demonstrated a strong performance at the free-throw line, making 30 attempts. The free throw attempts alone make Grant-Foster a solid wager to surpass his projected scoring total of 17.5 points.
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