The UConn Huskies have the biggest target on their back as they open their Big East Conference Tournament schedule. Their run to March Madness begins with a matchup against the Xavier Musketeers. Xaviers squeezed past Butler in the opening Round of the Big East Tourney, 76-72.
The Huskies have beaten the brakes off of most of the competition this season, including Xavier. After eeking out a five-point win in Ohio in their first game, UConn mollywhopped them by 43 on their home court.
It is going to take a herculean effort for the Musketeers to overcome the talent deficiency that led them to the 9-seed in the Big East Tournament, but that’s the beauty of Championship Week in college basketball.
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Xavier vs UConn Prediction & Best Bet
Over 148.5 Points at FanDuel Sportsbook (-110)
The popular sportsbook is hanging 148.5 points, while no other book is below 149.0 (-110). Getting the lowest number at the same odds as 149.0 and 149.5 is worth a one-unit play, especially since both of their games during the 2023-24 season went over this total.
The Huskies averaged 81.1 points per game this season, 32nd in the nation. To Xavier’s credit, the Musketeers averaged 4.8 fewer points per game than UConn, but also allowed 74.2 ppg, tied for 255th-worst among Division I programs.
As good as UConn has been, their Big East-leading 64 ppg was topped by Xavier in their first contests. If they can get to 60-plus points in what will likely be a home game against the Huskies at Madison Square Garden, the over would be in safer territory.