The Big East Tournament has arrived, so let’s dive into the matchup between No. 6 Villanova and No. 3 Marquette.
The Golden Eagles are short favorites in this game, so we could see a game that comes down to the wire.
The game tips off at 9:30 pm ET, so get a late night college hoops sweat with this one.
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Villanova vs Marquette Odds & Details
- Date: Thursday, March 14, 2024
- Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Capital One Arena; Washington, DC
- Spread: Marquette -4 (-105), Villanova +4 (-115)
- Moneyline: Marquette (-166), Villanova (+140)
- Total: Over/Under 139.5 (-102, -118)
Villanova vs Marquette Betting Preview
Let’s start off our Villanova vs Marquette betting preview breakdown by looking at Pomeroy’s rankings:
- Villanova (35th overall): 85th in adjusted offensive efficiency / 14th in defensive adjusted efficiency
- Marquette (13th overall): 19th in adjusted offensive efficiency / 20rd in defensive adjusted efficiency
The biggest takeaway here is that Marquette is one of the most balanced teams in the country, ranking in the top 20 on both ends of the floor, giving them an edge over Villanova.
Next, let’s dive into the season series between Villanova and Marquette:
- Jan 30: Marquette 85, Villanova 80
- Jan 15: Marquette 87, Villanova 74
In the Jan 30 matchup, Villanova was able to overcome 39% field-goal shooting by going 17-of-17 from the charity stripe in a close home loss. Marquette could have won by more than five had they not gone 21-of-29 in free-throw shooting.
On Jan 15, Marquette absolutely dominated on the interior, putting up 60 points in the paint compared to 18 for Villanova. The Wildcats will need to keep the Golden Eagles at bay if they’re going to pull off the upset here.
It’s also worth noting that Villanova has looked pretty disappointing in the Big East tournament so far, knocking off DePaul 58-57 despite being 24.5-point favorites in that game.
It’s tough to see the Wildcats pulling off the win over the Golden Eagles in this one.
When you consider the advantage that Marquette has in Pomeroy’s rankings, along with their strong play in the season series vs Villanova, you can see why I’m predicting a Golden Eagles victory, covering the 4-point spread.
Additionally, I’m rolling with the Over 139.5 points because both Villanova vs Marquette matchups have flown over this number (165 and 161 points).
PREDICTION: Marquette wins 78-69
ATS: Marquette -4 (-105)
O/U: Over 139.5 (-102)
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