Sports. Honestly. Since 2011

Amar'e: It's not you… It's me

When dealing with ex-girlfriends, sometimes a breakup signifies the absolute end, a situation where neither you nor your ex ever wants to see each other again. But other times, there is an unexplainable connection that cannot be shaken, and people find themselves back together again, whether just as a casual encounter or something a little more serious.

This season’s NBA ex-girlfriend is Amar’e Stoudemire. Once held in high esteem like any guy (should) treat their girlfriend, Amar’e is becoming an acquaintance of the past, someone that the Knicks would gladly move on from. There is nothing fundamentally wrong with Amar’e. This is just an NBA version of the classic “it’s not you, it’s me.”

Stoudemire is the girl back home that the Knicks used to be happy with, until the Knicks went on a study abroad trip, and found out that a change of scenario really bought forth happiness and satisfaction. It really has nothing to do with a specific person. Amar’e is just sitting on the side, while the Knicks find a new and better way to play basketball—an offense that relies on ball movement and spacing, eliminating the offensive black holes that the Knicks inevitably struggled with in their Melo/Amar’e experiment. On defense, communication is a lot better, and there are no more awkward blown Amar’e coverages that Tyson had to suddenly help on.

Eventually, we reach a situation where some decisions have to be made, and not everyone will be happy with the decisions. Do the Knicks just want to permanently settle in this new place, even with Amar’e waiting back home? Does Amar’e buy a plane ticket and fly himself to this foreign country and awkwardly try and fit in like everything was the way it was originally?

Let me tell you this. The Amar’e and Knicks situation is not going to end well for Stoudemire, and it is better to figure out and acknowledge that before things get ugly.

In a weird turn of events, it turns out the heartbroken Stoudemire may not be that out of luck. Because somewhere out there, there are not one, but two people who may be open to rekindling an old, but harmonious relationship. In fact, to make things even more interesting, those two people are in a rough spot with their new ‘replacement’ for Stoudemire, and a reunion may not be a bad decision in any way.

Let’s face it. Who would not want to see the reunion of Nash, Amar’e, and D’Antoni? With not just Gasol, but the Lakers’ woes as a team, it is time for another shakeup, and there is a very logical shakeup they definitely have to consider.

Is anyone else intrigued by an Amar’e for Gasol trade? Both players are looking more and more like very expensive deadweights to their respective organizations, and a swap between the two seems to help both teams. For the Knicks, Gasol represents one of the better two-way big men in the NBA. He understands the concept of team play and ball movement very well, and would be a deciding factor in a potential playoff matchup against the Heat. Carmelo is a player worthy of LeBron’s full defensive attention, and when that happens, you leave the assignment of guarding Gasol and keeping Tyson Chandler off the offensive glass in the hands of the smaller and more diminutive Miami frontcourt of Battier, Bosh, and Haslem.

Why do this trade for the Lakers? Nash and Stoudemire pick-and-roll with D’Antoni orchestrating at the helm. Why the fuck else!? The Suns under D’Antoni were one of the most potent offensive teams in the past decade, and a move like this could reignite the Lakers season and spark off a 20-game win streak. Amar’e may have lost a step (or two, or three, or twelve) in terms of finishing at the basket, but an ‘encounter’ with your ex is bound to be more fiery and passionate than any casual ‘encounter.’

Just like any relationship, things can’t be forced (or they can, but there is this place called jail). There is a certain time and place for everything, and just because something went well the first time, doesn’t necessarily mean it will go well the second time. But then again—life, relationships, and basketball is all about taking these kinds of risks, and hoping for the chance of a great reward.

And we all know how great that reward can be.

 

 

Main Photo Credit: Bryan Horowitz, Wikipedia Commons

Do We Really Miss the NHL?

If nothing else, the NHL lockout has proved that the majority of hockey fans have a least some form of mental instability. The definition of insanity, as I’m sure none of you need to hear again, is making the same mistake in a repetitive manner. For hockey fans, those who haven’t given up, even the slightest hint of positively being reported by the top hockey journalists (read as not Pierre McGuire) induces “end of the lockout” banter. Yet every time, without exception, talks break down in a dramatic fashion.

The lockout drags on, getting increasingly negative by the day. At the moment, without some unforeseen development, the lockout will cancel the 2012-2013 season. The recent developments, and all that has transpired because of the lockout has had hockey fans wishing for better days. But, let me ask you a question. Were those “better days” really all that much better?

Has our memory been altered by time away from the game? Because when/if the game returns this year the topics that instantly come to the forefront are no more appetizing then those which are currently being discussed.

So, really, do we want the NHL to come back?

Headshots

A big topic of debate in the NHL last year surrounded the biggest downfall of contact sports, headshots. The leagues best player was sidelined for large parts of last season due to a hit to the head. But while Colby Armstrong’s injury has since subsided, the impact of his injury can be felt throughout hockey. The league has become tough on headshots, adopting new rules such as:

i) All persons with the name Raffi shall serve their sentence in duplicate.
ii) The quiet room is in place merely for show.
iii) If you are taller then 6’7 you are exempt from any suspension*
Aka Zdeno Chara and Alexander Oveckhin’s ego.

But the debate rages on at all levels of the sport. Hits to the head are no longer allowed at any level of Canadian mini sticks. Furthermore, every young player who acquires one of these dreaded injuries is punished by being given a role in a hit CBC documentary. For those with major brain injuries, they are employed to negotiate the new NHL CBA.

Like most other things, the media have dragged on and on about head shots in hockey. Debates and panels have made hockey fans want to go inflict “concussion like symptoms” on themselves.

Do we really miss this?

The Trade Deadline

Everything, without exception, to do with professional sports is over hyped by media and fan base alike. However, few approach the level of the NHL trade deadline. Fans are somehow lead to believe that every year their team is going to trade some expendable asset (see Scott Gomez) and end up with Sidney Crosby. In reality very few teams do anything on note on the day. Especially Toronto, because we all know they don’t do trade deadlines.

Yet massive trade centers are setup across the continent to dissect the latest trade which saw Sum Rando get traded for Idonno Whouare and a 13th round draft pick. Of the 16 possible deals that your team has been linked with in recent weeks the least interesting one seems to be the one that is always made.

Plus, you turn on twitter and every third guy seems to have a “source” that is telling him about some crazy trade that is about to go down. Every second guy is the source telling the third guy and trade is going down, and every third guy is tweeting about Justin Bieber.

Nobody reporting on the lockout has sources who are telling them a deal is going to get done…wait a second.

…Anyway, do we really miss this?

The Toronto Maple Leafs

Do I really need to say anything? We don’t miss this.

The Phoenix Situation

Before this who lockout thing started a major issue in the NHL was the Phoenix Coyotes. In many ways, the club lives up to their name. You take one look at their financial records and you sure as heck will be howling. In fact they are in such a bad situation that RIM was trying to buy and relocate them a while back. If you can be bought by RIM you should really consider what you are doing with your life.

They may soon move to La Belle Province to become the Québec City Fighting Poutine, but do we really miss all the talk?

Tim Thomas

Click here if you want some background knowledge on the story. For those of you who are anti-learning, or think I linked you to a spam website like NHL.com, thank you for staying. But like Tim Thomas, I’m going to sit this one out and hope I get a place on the US national team.

Do we really miss him?

Linsanity

Again, whether hockey related or not I would argue that this goes without saying.

What do you miss the least about NHL hockey?

Although I miss NHL hockey as much as the next guy, these are a couple of things I certainly don’t miss about the sports. I know that all of you fine ladies and gentleman have fascinating opinions of your own on the subject. So leave a comment down in the comment section saying what you miss the least about the NHL. You never know, we may write an article about it at some point.

Roy Nelson: Future Champ or Gatekeeper?

I still remember the first time I saw Roy Nelson like it was yesterday.  I’ll be honest in that I didn’t know much about the guy prior to his stint on The Ultimate Fighter, and when I saw him stand in the same group as Kimbo Slice, I figured that the UFC was just trying to turn the show into “The Ultimate Circus”. The first time I saw him step into the octagon I realized I was wrong – when Roy Nelson defeated Kimbo Slice in the second round of their duel, in what is still one of the highest rated UFC TV events in history, I knew the guy was for real. Nelson’s record has been mixed since entering the UFC, but I still can’t help but wonder if the guy has what it takes to be the champ one day.

Since entering the UFC, Nelson has been 5-3, which at a glance probably isn’t the most impressive record. That said, you really have to sit back for a second and take a look at who the guy has fought: Brendan Schaub, Stefan Struve, Junior Dos Santos, Frank Mir, Mirko Crocop, to name a few. Everyone he has fought have been top level talent in the UFC’s heavyweight division. Not a bad little resume, right?

What stands above the competition he has faced has been his performance in the octagon. Nelson has lost three times in the ring – to Frank Mir, JDS and Fabricio Werdum – not one of which is someone that a fighter should be ashamed for having lost to.  Add to that the fact that none of those names were able to finish off the big man. Even more impressive than his losses in the octagon have been his wins – all five have knock-outs (and vicious one’s at that). While all of Roy’s finishes have been KO’s, what many don’t realize is that his base is rooted in jiu-jitsu, a tool he rarely uses in his game plan. Outside of the UFC, the guy has been a top-level Abu Dhabi competitor and a Grappler’s Quest Champion and IFL champion.

So, we’ve established that Roy Nelson has a lot of the tools needed to be champion, but can he actually close the deal? Truthfully, I’m still deliberating. I like Roy Nelson, but he has a lot going against him.

The first roadblock is Roy’s gas tank.  See, Nelson is a diesel truck with a the gas tank of a Mini Cooper.  Nelson is a big boy, and while he has leaned down over the years it’s still a lot of weight to carry around. Watching him fight against Junior Dos Santos back 2010 at UFC 117 was getting painful.  While he stuck it out for all three rounds, he was losing steam by the middle of the second round. Four of “Big Country’s” five wins inside the octagon have come in the first round. It’s a simple observation for any fighter to develop a game plan around – avoid Nelson in the first round, and finish him off in the later minutes of the fight.

Secondly, the level of talent in the UFC’s heavyweight division is at the best level it’s probably ever been at. Two of the top fighters in the division, Frank Mir and JDS, handled Nelson relatively easily. I would guess that he would fair no better against Cain Velaszquez.  I’m really not so sure Nelson has everything it takes to beat the top of the division.

And the last obstacle, which is a fairly big mountain as well, is the fact that Dana White hates him. Dana White has never given a clear reason as to why he hates him, but has alluded to the fact that he doesn’t think that Nelson takes training and therefore the sport, seriously enough (given his rather rotund size). One thing that is clear to any fan of the UFC is that if you’re in Dana’s good books, you’ll get whatever you want, more or less.  However, if you’re on his bad list then you’re never going to make it past a certain point.

Having considered these obstacles, I’m confident in saying that one day Nelson may have made enough of a case for a title shot, but I don’t truly think that he will ever put the belt around his rather large waist. This doesn’t mean I won’t still enjoy watching him, but the only title he will really ever hold is “head gate-keeper”.

 

Follow me on Twitter – @LastWordMark

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Jack'd Off: Real Madrid Players Don't Like Rain

For once I think I’m not the only one a little Jack’d Off!

I’m talking about Wednesday night’s Real Madrid Copa Del Rey loss to Celta Vigo. Celta WHO???  Celta Vigo – what the hell is Celta Vigo?  Anyway’s thats not exactly the point I’m getting at.  Though the loss is, well, dumbfounding at best, it was the post-match comments from Jose Mourinho that borders on ridiculous.  And to be clear, it is the crux of the comments that have me Jack’d Off.

After the loss, Mourinho said that some of the players came to him prior to kickoff and said that they didn’t want to play in the match because “it’s cold and it’s raining.  It’s only a copa match.”   Wait, what?  You are a professional bloody athlete that is being paid an inordinate amount of money to play a 90 minute soccer game!  Get your ass out there!  You also get a 15-minute break after 45 minutes where you can dry off and put on a newly dried kit, and possibly partake in some milk and cookies if that suits you.

T0 save myself extreme embarrassment (if you’ve read my stuff before you’ll know I’m too late for that) I won’t even get into what I would do to make that kind of money just to play a soccer game in the cold rain.   And if the deplorable conditions weren’t enough (they do realize they are in Spain, right?  What would they say if they were in, say, Germany, or any other more northern clime?), they had the audacity to justify their six-year-old girl-like feelings by saying “It’s only a Copa match.”  Let me leave you with a little letter I hope finds its way back to Mourinho:

Dear Madrid Footballers,

You are 11 points back of Barcelona.  You only have Copa Del Rey and Champions League to play for.  Get your ass out in the rain and play!  What’s up with your team anyway? Earlier in the season we heard your poster boy, Cristiano Ronaldo, say “I am sad with the way things are going at Madrid.”  Oh, I’m so sorry for you (please note that I don’t know how to indicate sarcasm…).  Do you need a hanky?  Now we get these comments about a “Copa match”.   Have you seen your bank accounts lately?  To hear you whine, complain, and act like this JACK’S ME OFF, and I’d rather listen to Piers Morgan from his high chair whine about whatever he is whining about today!!!

Grow a pair,

Every football fan in the world other then RM fans

photo credit: Jan S0L0 via photopin cc

Josh Hamilton makes Angels clear favorites in the AL West

The tough free agent luck continued for the Texas Rangers as one of their premiere hitters will not be back for them in 2013. Josh Hamilton decided to head for the west coast and sign with division rivals, the Angels. It was another piece of bad news for Texas as they came up short in the chase for Zack Grienke and a possible trade with Arizona for Justin Upton isn’t looking good given that the D-backs want Elvis Andrus.

As for the Angels they add one of the top hitters in the game to go along with Albert Pujols who was their big signing last off-season. At $125 million over 5 years, Hamilton will need to produce, unlike another $20 million Angels outfielder, Vernon Wells. The Halos now have a surplus at outfield with Peter Bourjos, Mark Trumbo, AL MVP finalist Mike Trout and Wells to go along with Hamilton. A trade seems imminent and Bourjos is the likely candidate. At this moment the Angels will likely look to put Bourjos together as part of a package to get another quality pitcher. They currently sit with Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson as their top 2 with Joe Blanton and Tommy Hanson in the rotation as well. Another starter would be a good option so the Angels may throw their hat into the R.A. Dickey sweepstakes. The bullpen is looking pretty solid with Ernesto Friere, Scott Downs and new addition Ryan Madson coming off Tommy John surgery so a starter is the likely option.

Any way it winds up the Angels are even scarier than last year and on paper they are head and shoulders above the rest of the AL West. Unless the Rangers start filling their newly formed holes or Seattle stops playing the bridesmaid on this year’s free agent crop, L.A. may run away with the title. Houston should wind up in the same place as they’re used to fitting in the NL Central and the A’s aren’t likely to repeat last year’s run, regardless of how many people watch “Moneyball”.

So is Hamilton worth the money? I don’t believe he is, mainly because he is injury prone. The start he had to last season was amazing but he missed some games and then cooled off with his average dipping to .285. In his five years with Texas he has hit over .300 twice and driven in over 100 runs three times, which is very good but without the health problems it would be even better. A big concern is his massive 2012 strikeout total of 162. Whether that can be attributed to injury or his personal issues, it needs to be corrected and Hamilton will be looking to avoid the sort of weak start that Pujols had last season. Pujols was able to recover and put up respectable numbers but more was expected of him and the expectations for Hamilton are just as high. It should be very interesting to see how the Angels come out of the gate and whether all the money they are spending can get them to the playoffs and beyond.
Photo credit: Keith Allison via photopin cc

What to Expect from Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

From UFA with gloves

Other then increased productivity throughout Canada, and the Northern United States, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins may be the only good thing that comes out of the current NHL Lockout. The Edmonton Oilers first-overall selection was named to Canada’s World Junior squad who will be competing in Ufa, Russia. In a perfect world, Nugent-Hopkins would be nearing the midway point of his sophomore NHL season; if you believe the hype he may be among the league’s top point scorers. But sadly, Gary Bettman and Donald Fehr (read as the Anti-Christ and the Devil) decided that they wanted to insure victory for Canada at the 2012-2013 World Junior Tournament.

While other NHL players are just now discovering the “escrow” is not a French culinary disk (I know, I was surprised too) RNH will be given an excellent career opportunity. Some would argue that the man they call the “Nuge” is too big for this tournament, that his year in the NHL makes him a man among boys. They wouldn’t necessarily be incorrect on that last point, yet on the first they would surely be wrong. This tournament could provide plenty of positives for both Nugent-Hopkins development as well as his confidence. The gap in ability between RNH and the rest of the U20 field will be what he will try to emulate during the prime of his NHL career.

On the other side of things, this is by far the most pressure that the young man will have ever faced. With the arguable exception of the brother of Malcolm Subban (who apparently always has to be prefaced as “PK’s brother”)/Canada’s starting goaltender, Nugent-Hopkins will be the face of this Canadian team. He will be covered extensively by Canadian media, depending upon the state of the lockout it could get ridiculous. He is the headliner, and for good reason. But what if, for one reason or another, things go off the rails. What if Canada’s Gold medal drought continues? Then, RNH was amazing in the tournament or not, the Canadian press will go all Chris Simon on his reputation. This could see both his confidence, and development, stumble worse then Patrik Stefan en route to an empty net.

So why is the hype so big, what does Nugent-Hopkins bring to the table that is so special? Well for one, if he had not blown out his shoulder last season he would have been NHL rookie of the year, hands down. When was the last time a NHL rookie of the year got to play in the World Juniors the next year? Again, it is only because of the NHL lockout that this opportunity was presented. Nugent-Hopkins may be the best player to even play in the World Junior Championships. This is because anyone else with his talent would be playing in the NHL and would not have been available for selection. In 2004-2005 Canada had a World-Class roster, debatably the best ever, but they had no player who at that stage in their career was as good as the Nuge.

With this comes huge expectations, bigger then being selected first overall. But in the past the young Canadian has always proven that he can deal with expectations like a professional. Few would have considered him likely to stay with the Oilers last season, largely due to his frame and style of play. Yet he made it impossible for Edmonton to send him back to the WHL. The size division is not nearly as big at the U20 level, and this gives Nugent-Hopkins an advantage in the only disadvantage he had playing in the NHL. In terms of numbers, you can expect huge things from him. A player who was in a very comparable situation to RNH in 2004-2005 was Patrice Bergeron of the Boston Bruins. During the tournament, Bergeron tallied 13 points. That is the bar that RNH will surely surpass, probably with around 20 points as the top line for Canada is by far the best in the tournament.

The only catch, and it must be mentioned, is that at any time the NHL lockout could end. Although it does not appear that a deal will be done in the foreseeable future, the mood can change as quickly as Gary Bettman moves his head when he is angry. There is no chance that the Oilers would allow one of, if not their best player to take off to Russia during a shortened season. Especially a shortened season that will benefit a young team like Edmonton. The entire dream of seeing Nugent-Hopkins end Canada’s golden drought could be over in a flash. It would certainly leave a huge void on the team.

Expectations will be unbelievably high for Ryan Nugent-Hopkins if he joins Canada in Ufa, but he knows that better then anyone. I would bet your money of RNH, his talent alone may be enough.

Early Contenders: NCAA National Player of the Year

With the majority of the non-conference schedule completed, it’s time to take a look at the leading contenders for NCAA Player of the Year.  It’s still early in the season as teams have played less than 10 games, so the final rankings can drastically change.  But we are starting to see trends and some guys are separating themselves from the pack.  It is really hard to compare apples and oranges however, so this week I am going to focus on forwards/centers and next week the guards.  Here are my post player rankings for player of the year in the NCAA, based purely on their play so far this year:

1. Mason Plumlee (Duke) – Anyone who had Mason listed as their preseason favourite for POY is brilliant, or more likely, lying.  Mason has been an enigma at Duke in his first three seasons – he went from absolutely brilliant to not even present.  This year Mason has made big improvements in the weak parts of his game, and has been superb in playing his style of game.  Offensively he is playing from the post out to 15 feet, being extremely active on the boards, and always engaged in the game demonstrating that senior leadership.  This has translated to a 19.7 ppg average, 11.3 rpg, and 1.7 blocks.  All of this is done at a very efficient 61% FG (field goals), 73% FT (free throws).  Mason has played within his game and done what’s best for his team.  For example he is the only player in the top 50 scorers not to shoot a single three, because that’s simply not his game.  He has lead his team to a perfect record on the toughest schedule in the NCAA with signature wins over Kentucky, Louisville, Ohio State, Minnesota, Virginia Commonwealth (VCU) and Temple.

2. Doug McDermott (Creighton) – Doug received a great deal of attention last year in the POY race, but fell short to the eventual winner… some guy named Anthony Davis – you may have heard of him?  Doug is a junior and while he contributes to his team in a number of ways, he is a scorer first and foremost.  He can score from anywhere on the floor and is a match-up nightmare.  Even with a slow start to the season, Doug is shooting 55% FG/52% 3PT/85% FT and averaging 22.7 ppg.  He is one of those guys that is a spectacular college player whose talents may not translate as well into the NBA.  Watch him now and enjoy.

3. Cody Zeller (Indiana) – Cody will be a top 3 draft pick in the NBA next year, and would have been my preseason choice for potential player of the year.  Cody is a very balanced player and can have a big impact on both sides of the ball.  While he has had a solid season so far, it just hasn’t been as dominant as Plumlee and McDermott.  He is averaging 15.4 ppg, 8.9 rpg and a solid 1.1 steals and 1.4 blocks.  Barring injury, he will be in the hunt at the end of the year.  Cody is the younger and more talented brother of former Tar Heel Tyler Zeller.

4. Jeff Withey (Kansas) – Jeff is the defensive hub on a very good Kansas team.  If I were to say 13.8 ppg, 8.0 rpg and shooting 58% FG you would think a solid player at the college level, but not a player of the year candidate, right?  Wrong!  Jeff is currently the best interior defender in college ball, both on the ball and as a help defender.  This allows his teammates to play aggressive defence because they know there is an eraser behind them.  In addition to everything above, Jeff is averaging an outrageous 5.6 blocks per game… nuff said.

5. Anthony Bennet (UNLV) – Anthony is my pick as the freshman of the year in the NCAA so far this year.  This young Canadian from Brampton is powerful and has a great inside-outside game.  He has flourished for UNLV and is filling the huge void left with Mike Moser being unavailable for the Rebels.  He is currently averaging 19.5 points, 8.2 rebounds, and 1.8 blocks.

Keep an Eye On:

Nerlens Noel (Kentucky) and Alex Len (Maryland) were also considered, and I suggest you keep an eye on both.

Remember, check back next week for a look at the top guards in college ball.

Follow LWOS on Twitter – @LastWordOnSport

photo credit: LUIS BLANCO PRESS PHOTOGRAPHER via photopin cc

My Pint Runneth Dry on Busy EPL Schedules

It’s no secret that many Premier League sides have gruelling schedules, especially top teams who seem to be continuously competing for trophies.  While sometimes it feels like a great ride, there is an evil lurking beneath that rears its ugly head.  As I was sitting in front of my idiot box (tv) last night catching up on some matches from last weekend, I considered the hectic schedule that Arsenal goes through consistently (as do some others) and then noticed my pint glass, which runneth 3/4 empty.

Consider that some teams in top flight English football compete for the Premier League, Champions League, FA Cup, Capital One Cup and a host of other invitational trophies over the course of the season.  While the Premier League schedule is enough for many teams who are not deep enough to field quality sides in other competitions, they are still expected to compete in other competitions.  While from a fan’s perspective it may at first seem like a good idea because after all it means more footy for us to watch, in reality it is anything but.

Before we get into what irks me most about the schedule, consider these facts:

  • Every team in the Premier League has at least six matches from Dec 1 – Jan 1
  • Teams that have Champions League competition have more
  • Chelsea, for instance, have nine matches in that same time period as a result of Captial One Cup and Club World Cup (played the other day in Japan)
  • Starting on Dec 22, Premier League clubs are subjected to four matches in a matter of just 11 days

Consider how difficult that stretch is, and then compare that to other leagues like Serie A and La Liga.  In both of those leagues, teams will have two full weeks off in that same period that EPL sides play four matches!  German teams in Bundesliga have an even greater break, as the league stops for better than a month.  So, you can see why people, not just me, are so upset with the daunting, asinine schedule in England, right?

There are two factors at work here that cause particular problems from playing too much football – watered down line-ups and an increase in injury, both at the club level and for the national side.

As managers try and juggle all these matches, they are faced with very serious issues in who to start and who to sit.  As such, managers have developed very different opinions as to how to set their line-ups.  Some, like at Chelsea, have been playing their starting XI an incredible amount in all competitions much to the dissatisfaction of some of their own fans.  During a busy stretch in November that had Chelsea play back to back matches against Manchester United, they played some of their star players for an entire two matches, one of which went 120 minutes.  It is very likely that the over-playing of these players may have instigated the recent string of poor results for the club.

Other managers have had a different approach, as they regularly rest players. The problem is that we don’t get to see the best line-up a team can field on a regular basis.  Therefore, we can say the schedule has robbed us of seeing the highest quality of football because managers have no choice but to rest players.  Certainly we can’t fault managers who rest their players regularly, but we can’t ignore that it has resulted in watered-down football.

The other option managers have is to choose one competition to focus on.  For instance, Manchester City have not been shy in saying that they want most to win the Premier League trophy.  The rationale is that they will go 100% for their EPL matches, but not give as much to other competitions.  This gives a distinct advantage because as I said other teams are not fielding their best starting XI.  Conversely,  the problem in this line of thinking is that it’s putting all your eggs in one basket.  If Manchester United (or someone else, though not likely) take the Premier League crown, City have left themselves without other options.

The other problem with having a ridiculously busy schedule is an increase in injuries both at the club and national team level.  Football players, because of the physical demands put on them over the course of  a game, need a lot of rest to heal.  Every time you shorten the time reserved for recuperation you run a greater risk of injury.  As a result, we have seen a rise in reported injuries and an increase in the average recovery time.

So is the answer to follow the lead of the other big leagues from around Europe?  Possibly.  There is little Arsene Wenger, Sir Alex Ferguson and Roberto Mancini agree on (talk about an understatement).  But one thing they do agree on is that there should be a break in the schedule as their teams very after year have to endure a particularly difficult schedule.  But there are other solutions, one which I like even better.

For me the most logical way around this is to scrap the Capital One Cup (formerly Carling Cup), at least as it operates now.  Either get rid of it all together, or at the very least have it open to teams that are not competing in Champions League or Europa League play.  This will still give those weaker teams a trophy they can strive for, while affording a bit of a break for the teams that play in the UEFA tournaments.

Despite the fact that the majority I reckon are of the opinion that there is way too much football being played, I am pessimistic that anything will be done.  First, the FA, as you already know, are as slow as molasses to make any decisions (and the bigger the decision the slower they move).  Also, the money generated from playing those games and for those trophies is far too lucrative to pass up.

Not only is my pint running 3/4 empty on the grueling schedule, it is almost completely dry regarding that FA – but that is a different rant entirely.

 

Have your say by adding your two cents/pence/euros below, or join thousands of footy fans on a rapidly growing football community – Reddit Football!

Follow me on Twitter – @PintRunnethDry

NFL Week 15: Win, Spread, Over/Under and Game Score Predictions

Welcome Back to The Sports Savant’s Weekly NFL Picks, Week 15 Edition!

Before we look at my picks for Week 15, let’s take a look at how last weeks picks shaped up and my overall records for the 2012 NFL season…

*WEEK 14 RESULTS*

Winner: 10-6 
Winner w/ Spread: 6-10
Over/Under: 9-7
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Trifecta: 3
Strikeouts:3
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 1 (Detroit)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0
___________
*2012 Overall Record*
Winner: 132-75-1 (.637)
Winner w/ Spread: 102-101-5 (.502)
Over/Under: 109-92-7 (.542)
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Trifecta: 52
Strikeouts: 38
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 25   [Week 1]: New England  [Week 2]: Indianapolis, San Francisco [Week 3]: Chicago, Washington, New York(A)  [Week 4]: Cleveland, Philadelphia  [Week 5]: Green Bay, Seattle, San Diego  [Week 7]: St. Louis, Tampa Bay  [Week 9]: Miami, Tennessee, Green Bay, Arizona  [Week 11]: Detroit, Carolina, Tampa Bay, Indianapolis
[Week 12]: San Francisco  [Week 13]:Chicago, Houston [Week 14]: Detroit
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 2   [Week 9]: Arizona @ Green Bay  [Week 11]: Carolina v. Tampa Bay
NOTE: The team with a negative number in parenthesis “(-3)” next to their name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as a winning bet.  The over/under for the game is represented by a number in parenthesis with the letters o and u “(o/u 46)”.  The number represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two team’s combined score will be in excess of or short of.  Official betting lines courtesy of www.footballlocks.com
LOCKS: Games that have a “*LOCK*” logo next to the score are my spread lock picks of the week.  I choose four games each week that I feel will be a lock to win the spread bet.  If I have an underdog winning against a favorite and it is a *LOCK* pick, it means it is a lock that the favorite will not cover the spread, not a lock that the underdog wins the game.

Don’t forget to visit therealsportssavant.blogspot.com to check my game picks or right here on lastwordonsports.com at The Sports Savant channel.  And now for my Week 15, NFL picks…

Philadelphia v. Cincinnati(-5)  (o/u 45)
Savant Spread Pick: Cincinnati and the points ~ 24-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

Chicago v. Green Bay(-3)  (o/u 43)
Savant Spread Pick: Green Bay and the points ~ 19-14
Over/Under Pick: Under

New York(N) @ Atlanta(-1.5)  (o/u 51)
Savant Spread Pick: New York(N) to win ~ 27-23
Over/Under Pick: Under

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans(-3.5)  (o/u 54)
Savant Spread Pick: New Orleans and the points to win ~ 31-24
Over/Under Pick: Over

Minnesota @ St. Louis(-3)  (o/u 38.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Minnesota to win ~ 20-13
Over/Under Pick: Under

Cleveland v. Washington(-1.5)  (o/u 37)
Savant Spread Pick: Cleveland to win ~ 20-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

Jacksonville @ Miami(-7)  (o/u 37.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Miami and the points to win ~ 24-16
Over/Under Pick: Over

Baltimore v. Denver(-2.5)  (o/u 48)
Savant Spread Pick: Denver and the points to win ~ 27-20 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Under

Indianapolis @ Houston(-9)  (o/u 48)
Savant Spread Pick: Indianapolis with the points; Houston to win ~ 28-21 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Over

Carolina @ San Diego(-3)  (o/u 45)
Savant Spread Pick: Carolina to win ~ 23-20
Over/Under Pick: Under

Buffalo v. Seattle(-5.5)  (o/u 43)
Savant Spread Pick: Seattle and the points to win ~ 20-14 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Under

Arizona v. Detroit(-5.5)  (o/u 44)
Savant Spread Pick: Detroit and the points to win ~ 31-10 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Under

Dallas v. Pittsburgh(-1.5)  (o/u 44)
Savant Spread Pick: Pittsburgh and the points to win ~ 20-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

Kansas City @ Oakland(-3)  (o/u 44)
Savant Spread Pick: Oakland and the points to win ~ 27-17
Over/Under Pick: Under

San Francisco New England(-5)  (o/u 46.5)
Savant Spread Pick: San Francisco with the points; New England to win ~ 24-20
Over/Under Pick: Under

New York(A) Tennessee(-2)  (o/u 41.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Tennessee and the points to win ~ 21-17
Over/Under Pick: Under