NFL Week 12: Win, Spread, Over/Under and Game Score Predictions

Welcome Back to The Sports Savant’s Weekly NFL Picks, Thanksgiving Weekend Edition(Week 12)!

I’m right back on track to reach my annual goals in my NFL picks for 2012.  After a scorching hot Week 11, I’ve got the most accurate NFL prognosticators on notice.  With a blazing 12-2 record, I’ve got the hot hand once again, but in an even more superfluous note, I eclipsed double-digit wins against the spread and maintained a nice 8 win record against the over/under.  Additionally, I landed FOUR more perfect team score predictions and nabbed my second perfect game score prediction in consecutive weeks, a feat that has odds well over 200 to 1.  The week was capped with another record tying 7 trifectas and only 2 strikeouts, putting me close to where I want to be at the end of the year in terms of trifectas to strikeout ratio with 45 trifectas to 26 strikeouts on the year.  I’ve also become one of just a handful of NFL experts to eclipse 105 wins by the end of Week 11.

This week may very well separate many of the experts.  This is one of the most unusual weeks of NFL games to pick considering there are a very rare 9 home underdogs this week and many are underdogs by a single point.  This is a week that is shaping up to be one that even 10 wins will be on the high end with so many very close games to choose from.  It’s weeks like these that you’ll be glad you turned to The Sports Savant for your game picks!

Before we look at my picks for Week 12, let’s take a look at how last weeks picks shaped up and my overall records for the 2012 NFL season…


Winner: 12-2  
Winner w/ Spread: 10-4
Over/Under: 8-5-1
Trifecta: 7
Strikeouts: 2
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 4 (Detroit, Carolina, Tampa Bay, Indianapolis)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 1 (Carolina v. Tampa Bay)
*2012 Overall Record*
Winner: 106-53-1 (.667)
Winner w/ Spread: 81-76-3 (.516)
Over/Under: 87-66-6 (.569)

Trifecta: 45
Strikeouts: 26
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 21   [Week 1]: New England  [Week 2]: Indianapolis, San Francisco [Week 3]: Chicago, Washington, New York(A)  [Week 4]: Cleveland, Philadelphia  [Week 5]: Green Bay, Seattle, San Diego  [Week 7]: St. Louis, Tampa Bay  [Week 9]: Miami, Tennessee, Green Bay, Arizona  [Week 11]: Detroit, Carolina, Tampa Bay, Indianapolis
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 2   [Week 9]: Arizona @ Green Bay  [Week 11]: Carolina v. Tampa Bay
NOTE: The team with a negative number in parenthesis “(-3)” next to their name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as a winning bet.  The over/under for the game is represented by a number in parenthesis with the letters o and u “(o/u 46)”.  The number represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two team’s combined score will be in excess of or short of.  Official betting lines courtesy of
LOCKS: Games that have a “*LOCK*” logo next to the score are my spread lock picks of the week.  I choose four games each week that I feel will be a lock to win the spread bet.  If I have an underdog winning against a favorite and it is a *LOCK* pick, it means it is a lock that the favorite will not cover the spread, not a lock that the underdog wins the game.

Don’t forget to visit to check my game picks or right here on at The Sports Savant channel.  And now for my Week 12, NFL picks…

Detroit v. Houston(-3)  (o/u 50)
Savant Spread PickHouston and the points to win ~ 28-23
Over/Under Pick: Over

Washington  @ Dallas(-3)  (o/u 48)
Savant Spread PickWashington with the points; Dallas to win ~ 27-26
Over/Under Pick: Over

New York(A) v.  New England(-7)  (o/u 48.5)
Savant Spread PickNew England and the points to win ~ 31-23 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Over

Oakland @ Cincinnati(-8.5)  (o/u 50)
Savant Spread Pick: Oakland with the points Cincinnati to win ~ 26-20
Over/Under Pick: Under

Cleveland v. Pittsburgh(-1)  (o/u 34.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Pittsburgh and the points to win ~ 20-14
Over/Under Pick: Under

Buffalo @ Indianapolis(-3)  (o/u 51)
Savant Spread Pick: Indianapolis and the points to win ~ 27-23
Over/Under Pick: Under

Kansas City v. Denver(-10.5)  (o/u 44)
Savant Spread Pick: Kansas City with the points; Denver to win ~ 27-17
Over/Under Pick: Over

Jacksonville v. Tennessee(-4)  (o/u 44.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Jacksonville to win ~ 24-21
Over/Under Pick: Over

Minnesota @ Chicago(-4)  (o/u 38.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Chicago and the points to win ~ 20-9 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Under

Tampa Bay v. Atlanta(-1)  (o/u 51)
Savant Spread Pick: Tampa Bay to win ~ 24-23
Over/Under Pick: Under

Miami v. Seattle(-3)  (o/u 37.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Seattle and the points to win ~ 20-16 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Under

San Diego v. Baltimore(-1)  (o/u 47)
Savant Spread Pick: San Diego to win ~ 27-23
Over/Under Pick: Over

New Orleans v. San Francisco(-1)  (o/u 49)
Savant Spread Pick: San Francisco and the points to win ~ 31-23
Over/Under Pick: Over

St. Louis @ Arizona(-1.5)  (o/u 37)
Savant Spread Pick: Arizona and the points to win ~ 19-13
Over/Under Pick: Under

Green Bay @ New York(N)(-3)  (o/u 51)
Savant Spread Pick: Green Bay to win ~ 27-24 *LOCK*
Over/Under Pick: Over


Philadelphia v. Carolina(-3)  (o/u 42)
Savant Spread Pick: Carolina and the points to win ~ 23-19
Over/Under Pick: Under