Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins 1:00 p.m. EST
The Bills are coming off a huge win vs. the Kansas City Chiefs. Will they come out flat? I don’t think they will, since this is a divisional game, and Miami played them tough in their first meeting. The Bills can attack the Dolphins in many ways, but I think it starts with RB James Cook. The Dolphins give up a ton of points to running backs, and I think Cook is in line for 100 yards and a touchdown. I can envision a scenario where QB Josh Allen runs for a touchdown or two, but I don’t think he needs to have a huge game in the passing game, so he might not deliver the performance you’re looking for. I think he’ll be steady, he’ll put up his 20 points, but I don’t think he’ll get that 30-plus ceiling game. TE Dalton Kincaid is proving that he is a force when healthy, and this should be a good match-up against the Dolphins, who just got scorched by the Ravens tight ends. WR Keon Coleman is currently unplayable, but Khalil Shakir does project to have a solid game and could possibly make the winning lineups with a touchdown.
I think the Dolphins are in for a difficult time vs. the Bills. If they want to stay in the game, they will need big games from both running backs De’Von Achane and Ollie Gordon. The Bills front is soft, and they will need Gordon to pound the rock inside the tackles, and Achane will need to come up with eight-plus catches. That’s it, those are the only two players. I will not play the passing game because I think Buffalo can take away WR Jaylen Waddle fairly easily, as they don’t have WR Tyreek Hill, unlike when they usually play the Bills. If the Dolphins can’t run, then this is a blowout win for the Bills, making their defense a solid DFS start.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans 1:00 p.m. EST
I think the Jaguars are complete pass in this game. The Texans have an excellent defense, and I don’t believe the Jaguars can push them around. That leaves out RB Travis Etienne. WR Brian Thomas Jr. is dealing with a low-grade high ankle sprain, but they are optimistic he will play. How effective will he be? He has been underwhelming the entire season. I don’t think Jakobi Meyers is going to walk through the door and just become instantly successful in this matchup. I think I’ll like him more in the weeks to come. I believe there is a chance that either receiver, Parker Washington or Dynami Brown, will show out, but picking one is going to be tough. Plus, there’s a chance they have a big goose egg.
The Texans will start David Mills at quarterback as CJ Stroud will miss the game due to a concussion. It is an excellent matchup at a cheap price. Mills does have experience and has had 20-point games in the past. He does have solid weapons in WR Nico Collins and TE Dalton Schultz. I think both can have solid games despite being difficult to trust with Mills at QB, but the Jaguars are depleted in their secondary. I expect them all to be low-owned, and they would be worth stacking for the multi-entry player. I want to think that RB Woody Marks can step up in this game, but I don’t trust the volume with RB Nick Chubb. That coaching staff is reluctant to make Marks the featured back, which I think is a mistake.
