Trevor Lawrence has had a shaky start to his NFL career. Injuries ruined his 2024 season, but the Jaguars rebuilt in the offseason, looking to change their fortunes. What is Trevor Lawrence’s dynasty outlook for 2025 and beyond?
Dynasty Outlook for Trevor Lawrence
Current Production
Lawrence had an injury-filled 2024 season in what was a disaster of a season for the Jaguars after they made Lawrence a top-ten-paid quarterback. Lawrence only appeared in ten games and finished as the QB27 in total fantasy points. He averaged just 15.2 fantasy points per game, finishing outside the top 20.
Since being drafted as the number one overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, Lawrence has finished as the QB23, QB8, QB13, and QB27 in his four seasons. So far, his ceiling has only been a low-end top-ten QB1 in fantasy. Fantasy production is not equal to real-life NFL production, but the Jaguars were expecting more out of Lawrence. They have only made the playoffs in one season with Lawrence. The Jaguars went 2-8 in Lawrence’s starts last year.
Lawrence Dynasty Price
According to KeepTradeCut, a website that crowdsources dynasty values from players who use the site, Lawrence is the QB19. He was the QB13 entering last season. Cam Ward, Michael Penix Jr., and Baker Mayfield are ranked right above him. Lawrence is ranked just ahead of Jared Goff, Bryce Young, and Dak Prescott. This is an interesting range consisting of rookies, unproven young players, and players who have had great success over the last few years. However, Lawrence does not have much upside, while Ward and Penix do. Lawrence is worth a middle-of-the-first-round pick in rookie drafts this year.
Lawrence Dynasty Outlook
The Jaguars made many changes in the offseason to revamp their offense. First, they hired Liam Coen, the former offensive coordinator of the Buccaneers. Coen was great with Mayfield and the offense last year, and the Jags are hoping for that same success with Lawrence. Second, they made the effort to sign multiple offensive linemen to fix their terrible line.
However, the skill players around Lawrence have downgraded. They have a superstar wide receiver in Brian Thomas Jr., who will be with Lawrence for many years, but after that, the depth is not there. They traded away Christian Kirk and released Evan Engram. The weapons for Lawrence are Gabe Davis, Parker Washington, and Brenton Strange. Look for the Jaguars to add a skill player for Lawrence in the 2025 NFL Draft. They have the fifth overall pick, and they could go many different ways with it including drafting one of Tet McMillan or Tyler Warren.
The Jaguars are locked in with Lawrence for the foreseeable future, bringing in an offensive-minded head coach to change the fortunes in Jacksonville. There is a lot of pressure on Lawrence to succeed in the next few seasons, but the starting building blocks are there.
What To Do With Trevor Lawrence in Dynasty Leagues?
It is hard to trust Lawrence, who only has one top-ten fantasy finish in his career. Many other quarterbacks have more upside and a higher ceiling than Lawrence, who I would rather take a chance on. However, in superflex leagues, Lawrence is a safe QB2 option who has a solid floor. Riskier managers should look to trade Lawrence away, while safer managers in 2QB/superflex leagues should hold onto him. Lawrence is not a player I am looking to buy this offseason, as his upside is not there for the foreseeable future.
Main Image: Corey Perrine – USA Today Sports
