Tuesday NBA Player Props: Bucks, Giannis Host Undermanned Celtics

Jayson tatum playoff props celtics hawks

Our Tuesday NBA player props feature selections from tonight’s pair of televised contests. Celtics vs. Bucks and Warriors vs. Clippers tip off on TNT.

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Best Tuesday NBA Odds, Lines, Player Props

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Tuesday NBA Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 33.5 Points

It’s counterintuitive, but we’re leaning Under in large part because of the expected absences of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. Milwaukee is laying 9 at home as a favorite. In theory, a relatively easy win – keyword: relatively – will relieve Antetokounmpo of the heavy lifting he’s been doing in recent contests.

It’s not uncommon for secondary or role players to perform at high levels shortly after being thrust into heavier minutes. In the event the Bucks can’t coast to victory, it will be because the Celtics’ supporting cast stepped up with the increased opportunity – especially when that opportunity is on national TV in a potential Eastern Conference Finals preview.

Jrue Holiday Over 19.5 Points

In the event Antetokounmpo stays Under, there will be more opportunities for Holiday and the other secondary producers. Holiday’s production over his last 10 doesn’t scream “Over” – 17.2 points, 44% from the field.

However, we like the volume he shouldered in recent contests – three games with seven three-point attempts, three games with 20 shots overall. We’re gambling on another healthy dose of volume or improved efficiency. The latter isn’t easy to come across against the Celtics, but consider the resources it will require to slow Giannis. Holiday should have less resistance than he typically would against the Celtics.

Bonus: If either of the first two picks appeals to you, consider pairing them in a Same Game Parlay. The resources required for Boston to slow Antetokounmpo will put others in position to succeed.

Derrick White Over 18.5 Points

This is all about opportunity for White, who will do his part to make up for the 40-plus shots vacated by Tatum and Brown. He recorded double-digit field-goal attempts in each of his last six games, a span in which he’s averaging 21.4 points on 15.3 shots, including 7.2 from beyond the arc.

White is shooting 52.2% overall and 48.8% from three. That level of efficiency won’t be easy to replicate against the league’s No. 3 ranked defense, but the load of offense he’s asked to carry should be heavy enough to allow him to grind his way to 19 points.

Kawhi Leonard Over 22.5 Points

It will be a battle of tempo against the Warriors’ fast-paced attack and the Clippers’ slower, half-court operation. We still like what that means for Leonard’s volume. He’s averaging a healthy 20.8 shots per game over his last five, including four attempts from three-point range, plus 6.6 from the charity stripe.

If you grant Leonard a mulligan for his 7-for-26 outing against Milwaukee on February 2, he’s shooting 48.6% over the aforementioned five-game stretch. The Warriors are not the stingy defensive unit they were in their title runs, so Leonard should have his way to a large degree.