This week’s NFL Sunday night finale features the Miami Dolphins visiting the Los Angeles Chargers. These are the SNF player props and anytime touchdown scorer bets we like ahead of the matchup.
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Sunday Night Football Player Props, Anytime TD Scorer Bets
Tua Tagovailoa Over 276.5 Passing Yards
Tagovailoa last threw for fewer than 283 yards against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 7. He hit the mark in the five games since, averaging 312.6 passing yards overall. Not only does he have chunk-play monsters in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, but the Chargers feature a middle-of-the-road pass defense. They rank 19th in passing yards allowed and 16th in passing DVOA, an advanced efficiency metric. The Dolphins are favored to win on the road, so it’s reasonable to expect a quality showing from Miami’s signal-caller.
Jaylen Waddle TD
Waddle may trail Hill in targets and on the wide receiver pecking order, but he leads the team with six touchdown receptions, and is capable of winning deep or taking a short pass to the house. The Hill-Waddle duo presents nightmares for opposing defenses, and that will be the case on Sunday night, where oddsmakers suggest a high-scoring contest. There’s only so much room an opposing team is willing to provide Hill which will open opportunities for Waddle to find the paint.
Mike Gesicki Under 19.5 Receiving Yards
Gesicki collected a whopping seven targets across his last four games, catching three of them for 34 yards. He drew one target apiece in each of his last two contests and has six games with two or fewer pass attempts in his direction (four with a single target). He’s averaging a respectable 11.2 yards per reception on the season, but it’s difficult to trust him to deliver 20 yards given his struggles in both the volume and efficiency departments of late.
Austin Ekeler Under 100.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Ekeler is a dual-threat dynamo, but we’re hesitant to anticipate big yardage output on Sunday. He’s averaging a modest 10.5 carries per game at 3.8 yards per clip since Week 7. And while his target volume over that span has been robust – 9.2 per game – he averaged fewer than six yards per catch in three of his last five. The likely return of Mike Williams could mean a little less reliance on Ekeler.
