Heat vs. Mavs player props shine the spotlight on one of the game’s underrated stars, Bam Adebayo. We’re highlighting some of tonight’s best NBA props among the nine-game slate.
Heat vs. Mavs NBA Odds, Lines, Player Props & Picks
Note: Prices on tonight’s best NBA player props are subject to change between publish and tip-off. Be sure to check for updated lines and odds at the top NBA betting sites.
Heat vs. Mavs Top NBA Player Props Tonight
Bam Adebayo Over 21.5 Points
The Mavericks suffered a significant blow with the loss of Christian Wood (thumb). Rim protection is not a strength for the Mavs. And now they’re without their two most productive shot-blockers.
Adebayo, for his part, is averaging 23.5 points across his last 11 games. That includes hitting 56% of his 17.4 shots and getting to the line for nearly six attempts. He’s likely to be a handful against a Dallas team that will be forced to decide between playing undersized or undermanned.
Bam Adebayo Over 10.5 Rebounds
Wood’s absence will especially be felt in the rebounding department. He is the Mavs’ second-leading rebounder behind Luka Doncic and offers size – something the Mavs sorely lack now.
Adebayo’s rebounding metrics far surpass anyone who can be expected to play meaningful minutes for the Mavericks. He’s averaging 10.9 boards across his last 11 games, so he doesn’t need any extra help cleaning the glass. He’ll receive some help from the Mavs’ depleted interior nonetheless.
Jimmy Butler Over 26.5 Points + Rebounds
The Heat do a good job spreading the load between Butler, Adebayo, and Tyler Herro, with each registering between a 25.1 and 26.5% usage rate. Herro returned from a three-game absence (Achilles) and was naturally a little rusty in the two games since.
Herro will get locked in eventually, but until then, it’s reasonable to anticipate Butler handling a slightly heavier load. He’s averaging 22.4 points and 5.2 rebounds across his last nine, and he’ll likely benefit from Wood’s absence on the glass along with Adebayo.
Tim Hardaway Jr. Under 3.5 Threes
Hardaway sat two games due to an ankle injury, so it stands to reason he may be a bit out of rhythm upon his return. He’s averaging a 7.9 three-point attempts on the season and 8.6 over his last 13.
While Wood vacates 12.5 shots, we’re still weary of betting on Hardaway hitting four long-range attempts. It’s a mark he’s reached only five times in his last 13 games, and we’re looking at a slow-paced contest with a total of 218. Hardaway is shooting 36.1% from three on the season, so he’ll either need a boost in volume or improved efficiency in a tough spot.