The AFC Championship Game kicks off Sunday at 6:30 p.m. We’re discussing plus-money Bengals vs. Chiefs player props in an effort to determine which are worth a wager.
Bengals vs. Chiefs AFC Championship Player Props & Odds
Note: Odds for Bengals vs. Chiefs player props are subject to change prior to kick-off.
Bengals vs. Chiefs Plus-Money Player Props to Consider
Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 TD Passes | Joe Burrow Under 1.5 TD Passes
We’re not particularly bullish on either of these props.
As prolific a passer as Mahomes is, there’s obvious concern surrounding his high-ankle sprain. He’s also totaled three touchdown passes across his last two meetings with the Bengals.
Meanwhile, considering Burrow’s form and the betting total, it’s difficult to envision the Bengals laying an egg offensively. We’re going to pass on both, but those who remain on the fence should ask themselves how well they anticipate Joe Mixon playing.
A big performance on the ground – or even at the goal line – could allow the Bengals to play well even without multiple Burrow touchdown passes.
Joe Burrow Over 0.5 Interceptions
Burrow hasn’t thrown an interception since Week 16, and he’s only issued eight since his four-spot in Week 1. Even if Burrow doesn’t commit the actual error, there remain a number of ways for him to throw one interception.
The Bengals don’t boast the sturdiest offensive line, so Burrow will need to navigate pressure and dirty pockets when he’s not getting the ball out quickly. It doesn’t require a colorful imagination to envision a scenario in which a pass gets tipped or bobbled before landing in the hands of a Chiefs defender.
Tee Higgins First Touchdown
We discussed the 49ers’ Brandon Aiyuk in a similar context as a potential first touchdown scorer. Higgins plays second fiddle to Ja’Marr Chase, but that can also open opportunities for Higgins.
Higgins scored seven touchdowns this season, a relatively modest total, but at 6-4 and 215 pounds with downfield ability, there are a number of ways in which he can beat defenses for six.
While nailing the first touchdown scorer can feel like an impossible task for some, it’s a fun way to aim for a quick profit – especially if you’re using house money.
Harrison Butker or McPherson Under 6.5 Kicking Points
It doesn’t take a heck of a lot to reach seven kicking points, but do you anticipate a lower scoring contest than sportsbooks are suggesting? If so, this may be a prop for you to investigate further.
While lower scoring can be the result of teams settling for field goals instead of touchdowns, it wouldn’t be the first time two high-flying offenses were relegated to a rock fight.
Wind shouldn’t be too big of an issue, but temperatures will be in the low-to-mid 20s, making things more challenging for everyone tasked with producing offense. Especially kickers.
Frank Clark Over 0.75 Sacks
The Bengals kept Burrow relatively clean against the Bills last week (one sack), but both Jonah Williams and Alex Cappa are set to sit Sunday.
Clark wasn’t the most prolific in the sack department this season, but we’re not betting on him leading the league. He does have a pair of double-digit sack seasons under his belt though, and he’s only 29. The raw physical skill and traits Clark needs to take down Burrow once should still be present.
And that’s all Clark backers need on Sunday.