We’re discussing another trio of NBA player prop picks ahead of tonight’s six-game slate. The regular season is nearing a close, but several teams are still jockeying for better position.
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NBA Player Prop Picks | Tuesday, March 28
Bam Adebayo Under 18.5 Points
Adebayo is a career 56.1% shooter from two-point land, which is fantastic, but his shot volume continues to decline on the season. He’s only attempting 13 shots per game in March.
Bam seldomly attempts threes, so he needs to be especially efficient in order to rack up high point totals. Raptors’ 7-foot-1 center Jakob Poeltl rates well defensively, and has the length to bother Adebayo in a home matchup in which they’re favored.
Tyus Jones Under 8.5 Assists
Jones is headed toward another start tonight, but we’re going to side Under nonetheless. He’s averaging 8.0 dimes across 20 starts, but remained Under 8.5 assists 11 times over that span, so nine helpers is no lock.
With that said, it’s the playmaking ability of Desmond Bane that we’re primarily concerned with. The third-year wing is averaging a career-best 4.2 assists, including 4.6 in March, so he can facilitate the offense. It’s also possible scoring doesn’t come as easily as expected. The Grizzlies are laying a comfortable margin, but Orlando is playing inspired ball of late.
Deni Avdija Over 13.5 Points
Frankly, the Over is an easy decision in this spot due to the absences of Bradley Beal and Kyle Kuzma, the Wizards’ two busiest offensive players. There’s simply a ton of shot volume available for Avdija, who averaged 13.5 shots across his last two.
Avdija demonstrates a solid all-around game and ability to score when given the opportunity. He scored 14-plus points in each of the last five games in which he logged at least 30 minutes. A similar amount of playing time is in the cards, and it’s reasonable to bet on him seeing the shot volume necessary to hit the Over, even against a sticky Celtics defense.
Note: Odds and lines for NBA player prop picks are subject to change prior to tonight’s tip-offs. Be sure to check the best NBA betting sites for the most up-to-date numbers and prices.
