Deebo Samuel’s status for the NFC Championship Game was uncertain because of a shoulder injury suffered in the first half of the Divisional Round matchup against Green Bay. He was able to return for the NFC title game and performed effectively in the win over Detroit.
In 11 career playoff games, Samuel has averaged 75.5 scrimmage yards with 43 total receptions. He is a dangerous threat as both a pass-catcher and runner, but the Super Bowl 58 matchup against Kansas City’s defense presents a stiff challenge.
Let’s take a look at the best Deebo Samuel props for Super Bowl 58.
All Super Bowl 58 odds used in these props are courtesy of bet365 Sportsbook and are current as of Feb. 9.
Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
bet365 Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Kansas City secondary will be the best pass defense that Samuel and the San Francisco pass-catchers have faced in the NFL playoffs this season.
Samuel had 89 receiving yards against Detroit in the NFC Championship Game, and while it will be harder to reach that number against the Chiefs, the projected total for Super Bowl 58 is not insurmountable.
During the regular season, the Chiefs ranked fourth in receiving yards allowed to wide receivers. But they did allow Tyreek Hill and Zay Flowers to go over 60 yards in the AFC playoffs, and there are methods to moving the ball against Kansas City that can be successful.
Baltimore was not able to consistently put drives together against the Chiefs because they lacked reliable possession receivers and yardage after the catch operators.
The 49ers can gain good amounts of yardage with underneath throws and flat passes and let their pass-catchers do the work after the reception.
Samuel is one of the premier YAC artists in the NFL, and the Chiefs ranked 18th in YAC allowed during the regular season.
The game plan for the Niners should feature Samuel making defenders chase or attempt to corral him rather than trying to beat the Kansas City defensive backs downfield.
Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop
Over 4.5 Receptions (-140)
bet365 Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
As I indicated with the previous wager, I expect Samuel to be busy in terms of helping Brock Purdy to move the ball on high-percentage plays. He was targeted nine times in the NFC Championship Game and caught eight balls.
Kansas City has allowed at least one WR to go over the projected number in each AFC playoff game. The 49ers have the most diverse passing offense in the league in terms of total playmakers, so the Chiefs cannot key on Samuel enough to hold his reception totals down.
Samuel finished with four-plus receptions in his last six regular season games before a meaningless finale. With the Lombardi Trophy on the line, Purdy will look to him often, and in any sort of game script.
Deebo Samuel Rushing Yardage Prop
Under 16.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
bet365 Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units
This is a fun wager, but one that has not hit frequently. Samuel was able to get past the projected rushing yardage total in only five games this season, including the playoffs. While he is a threat to rush for a score near the goal line, ripping off a bigger run to help us cash here is less likely.
Against the Lions, Samuel rushed for seven yards, and I don’t expect him to bust loose as a runner against a very disciplined Kansas City defense.
Photo Credit: Sergio Estrada, USA Today
