Thursday evening WNBA action, and we have a contest between the Dallas Wings and Las Vegas Aces to break down. Dallas is off a 112-110 OT win over Seattle to move to 11-6 on the year. Las Vegas is off a tough 87-76 home loss to the Liberty, and that drops them to 12-5 on the year. The Aces will be looking for revenge for a 30-point loss at Dallas just 10 days ago. Let’s dive in and see how this Wings vs Aces contest pans out.
Wings vs Aces: Prediction, Preview, And Latest Odds For June 25
Current Odds
Las Vegas -4.5; Over/ Under 175.5
Dallas Wings Team Notes
Dallas enters this matchup riding the momentum of a wild 112–110 overtime win in Seattle, a game they nearly let slip despite being heavy favorites. Paige Bueckers delivered 27 points and five assists, while Azzi Fudd added 26 on 11‑of‑17 shooting. Jessica Shepard posted 14 points, nine rebounds, and eight assists, and Aaliyah James gave Dallas a huge lift with 18 points off the bench. The Wings shot 54 percent from the field and 38 percent from three, but allowed Seattle to hit 13 threes and stay alive late. Dallas improved to 11–6 and continues to rely on elite offensive efficiency.
Offensively, Dallas averages 89.4 points per game and shoots 46.2 percent from the field. Bueckers leads the team at 19.3 points per game with strong playmaking, while Shepard adds 14.2 points and 11.1 rebounds per game. The rookie Fudd contributes 13.6 points per game and shoots 51.1 percent from the field, giving Dallas a reliable perimeter scorer. Arike Ogunbowale adds 14.5 points per game and remains a key late‑clock option. The Wings also average 23.1 assists per game, one of the highest marks in the league.
Defensively, Dallas allows 84.9 points per game and gives up 46.5 percent shooting. Their biggest challenge has been perimeter defense, as opponents shoot 35.2 percent from three and attempt more than 21 threes per game. Dallas rebounds well at 34.0 boards per game, with Shepard and Bueckers anchoring the effort. Turnovers remain a strength, as they give it away only 10.4 times per game. Against Las Vegas, Dallas must tighten their closeouts and avoid the defensive lapses that nearly cost them in Seattle.
For Dallas to sweep the season series, they must control tempo and keep their offense flowing through early actions. Las Vegas will push the pace at home, so Dallas needs to avoid long scoring droughts and protect the ball. Their shooting advantage can create separation, but they must also defend the arc and limit second‑chance points. If the Wings maintain composure and avoid foul trouble, they can keep this matchup competitive deep into the fourth quarter.
Las Vegas Aces Team Notes
Las Vegas looks to reset after an 87–76 loss to the New York Liberty, a game where they struggled to match the Liberty’s shot‑making. Jackie Young led the Aces with 19 points and seven assists, while A’ja Wilson added 16 points, nine rebounds, and four steals. Chelsea Gray contributed 11 points and eight assists, but Las Vegas shot just 43 percent from the field and 30 percent from three. The Aces made a late push, cutting the deficit to eight, but New York answered with timely threes. Chennedy Carter remained sidelined for a fourth straight game, and her absence continues to thin their bench scoring. The loss dropped Las Vegas to 12–5 and snapped their brief two‑game win streak.
Offensively, Las Vegas averages 89.2 points per game and shoots 48.4 percent from the field. Wilson leads the league at 25.1 points per game and adds 9.1 rebounds, while Young contributes 15.6 points and 6.8 assists per game. Gray remains the team’s primary facilitator at 7.3 assists per game and shoots 44.2 percent from the field. NaLyssa Smith adds 11.7 points per game on 69.2 percent shooting, giving the Aces another efficient interior option. Their spacing and ball movement remain among the best in the league.
Defensively, Las Vegas allows 85.8 points per game and holds opponents to 43.4 percent shooting. Their three‑point defense has been inconsistent, as opponents shoot 36.0 percent from deep. Wilson anchors the interior with strong rim protection, while Young and Gray pressure ball handlers on the perimeter. The Aces average 35.5 rebounds per game and rarely give up easy second‑chance scoring. Their biggest issue in the loss to New York was perimeter coverage, as they allowed 13 made threes and struggled to contest late in the game.
For Las Vegas to bounce back, they must dictate tempo and avoid the slow starts that have hurt them in recent losses. Dallas thrives when games become fast and open, so the Aces need to control pace and force the Wings into tougher half‑court possessions. They must also win the three‑point line and keep Dallas from generating clean catch‑and‑shoot looks. If Las Vegas plays with urgency and sharp defensive rotations, they can avenge the 30‑point loss from earlier this month.
Wings vs Aces Predictions
Las Vegas -4.5 fits the spot because this matchup carries a different tone than the first two meetings. The Aces were embarrassed in Dallas and then outplayed late by New York, and that combination usually sharpens their focus at home. Dallas is coming off an exhausting overtime win, and their defense has been inconsistent on the road. Las Vegas tends to respond when challenged, and their stars rarely let a season series slip away. With urgency and crowd energy behind them, the Aces should control more stretches than they did in the earlier blowout.
The Over 175.5 aligns with how both teams trend when the pace rises. Dallas pushes tempo naturally, and their guards attack early in possessions, which forces opponents into faster rhythms. Las Vegas scores more efficiently at home and typically shoots better after a poor performance. Both teams have multiple perimeter creators, and neither side has been consistent defensively over the last week. When the game opens up, possessions stack quickly, and the scoreboard usually follows. This matchup projects more like a trading‑buckets scenario than a grind.
The combination of Las Vegas and the Over works because the expected flow favors offense on both ends. Dallas rarely slows down unless forced into half‑court battles, and Las Vegas has every reason to push the pace to create separation. If the Aces get rolling early, Dallas will be forced to match tempo, which only helps the total. With motivation, matchup edges, and a likely faster game script, Las Vegas has the clearer path to covering while the scoring environment pushes this one past the posted number.
Final Predictions: Las Vegas -4.5 & Over 175.5
Featured Image: Joe Nicholson-Imagn Images
