Branden Carlson entered the NBA with little fanfare. The 24-year-old undrafted rookie spent five years at Utah before joining the Oklahoma City Thunder. Despite his age and the 2024 draft’s weak class, Branden Carlson’s steady improvement in college made him an intriguing prospect for the Thunder. He averaged 17 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 1.7 blocks on 50.1/37.9/71.4 shooting splits in his final season.
Thunder Should Double Down On Branden Carlson Decision
Carlson’s Surprising Emergence
His three-point shooting, a valuable asset for big men, stood out the most. He attempted 4.7 threes per game and hit 37.9% of them. That skillset made him a natural fit for the Thunder, who value stretch bigs. In 15 appearances, Carlson has flashed potential despite limited playing time. He’s averaging 3.1 points, 1.7 rebounds, and 0.4 blocks in 6.3 minutes per game.
Advanced Numbers Show Potential
Carlson’s impact goes beyond basic stats. His per-36-minute numbers translate to 17.4 points, 9.5 rebounds, and 2.3 blocks. His three-point attempt rate ranks in the 98th percentile, proving he’s not afraid to shoot. He also contests shots at a 46.2% rate, showing his defensive awareness. His block rate of 6.5% ranks in the 97th percentile, making him an elite rim protector in limited minutes.
Oklahoma City has struggled with rebounding lately, ranking seventh-worst in the league over the last 10 games. Carlson’s presence could help address that issue. His ability to stretch the floor while protecting the rim makes him a valuable asset.
Branden Carlson Solves Thunders Depth Concerns at Center
Jaylin Williams has stepped up in the absence of Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein. He’s averaging 5.9 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 2.2 assists in 16.2 minutes per game. Over his five starts, he’s produced 9.2 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 2.4 assists while shooting 41.5% from the field and 37.5% from three.
However, the Thunder still lack depth in the frontcourt. Holmgren and Hartenstein have missed time due to injuries. If either big man suffers another setback, Oklahoma City will need another reliable option. Carlson’s emergence comes at the perfect time.
Roster Decisions Loom
Carlson is currently on a second 10-day contract. The Thunder left their final roster spot open ahead of the February 6 trade deadline. If they don’t make a major move, Carlson’s chances of securing a full contract increase. His presence could provide insurance for a deep playoff run.
The main decision comes down to Carlson or Ousmane Dieng. Dieng, a 2022 first-round pick, has struggled to find a role. The Thunder picked up his 2025-26 option but have rarely given him meaningful minutes. At 37-9, Oklahoma City’s priority may now be winning, not developing volatile long-term projects.
Ajay Mitchell is expected to secure a standard roster spot, leaving the Thunder with one decision. Converting Carlson to a two-way contract seems like the logical move. If injuries hit the frontcourt again, Carlson could even make the 15-man playoff roster.
Thunder Must Prioritize Winning
Oklahoma City has established itself as a contender. The team must focus on players who can contribute now. Carlson has shown the ability to provide depth, floor spacing, and rim protection. Carlson’s skill set fits the Thunder’s system, and his development trajectory suggests he will only improve.
Doubling down on Branden Carlson would help the Thunder reinforce their frontcourt while maintaining flexibility. With rebounding issues and injury concerns looming, keeping Carlson should be a priority.
