In a little interconference WNBA action on Sunday afternoon, we will see the Las Vegas Aces grapple with the Chicago Sky at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, Illinois. The Aces come in with one of the best records in the league at 13-5, and they are off a 99-84 home win over Dallas. Chicago has had a rough year at 6-12, but they are off a nice 124-94 home blowout win over Portland. This is game one of a home-and-home series.
Aces vs Sky: Prediction, Preview, And Latest Odds For June 28
Current Odds
Aces -7.5; Over/Under 178.5
Las Vegas Aces Notes
Las Vegas enters at 13-5 after a sharp 99-84 home win over Dallas, a game defined by efficient shooting and strong perimeter defense. The Aces hit 53 percent from the field and 44 percent from deep while holding the Wings to just 2-for-21 from three. A’ja Wilson dominated again with 32 points and nine rebounds, and Jackie Young added 20 with eight boards. Chelsea Gray controlled the offense with nine assists. Las Vegas has now won nine of its last eleven and remains one of the league’s best road teams at 8-2. They’ve also taken five straight in this series.
The Aces continue to rank among the league’s most efficient offensive teams, averaging 89.8 points per game on 48.7 percent shooting. Their two‑point accuracy sits at 54.7 percent, and they generate 23.1 assists per game, one of the top marks in the league. Defensively, they allow only 85.7 points per game and hold opponents to 43.7 percent shooting. Their perimeter defense has been especially strong, limiting opponents to 34.8 percent from deep. Las Vegas also protects the ball well at just 12.4 turnovers per game. Their balance on both ends has fueled their recent surge.
Wilson continues to play at an MVP level with 25.5 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 1.9 blocks per game while shooting 52.2 percent. Young adds 15.9 points and 6.7 assists, and Gray contributes 12.0 points with 7.4 assists. NaLyssa Smith has been a strong complementary piece at 11.3 points and 6.6 rebounds while shooting 67.8 percent. Jewell Loyd provides scoring punch off the bench at 7.6 points per game. Chennedy Carter remains questionable after missing five straight games, and her availability could impact the second unit’s scoring depth.
For Las Vegas to win, they must control the defensive glass and limit Chicago’s transition bursts. The Aces have excelled when they dictate pace and force opponents into half‑court sets. Their perimeter defense must stay sharp against a Sky team that has recently found rhythm from deep. Offensively, Las Vegas needs steady ball movement and consistent spacing to create clean looks for Wilson and Young. If they maintain their defensive intensity and avoid foul trouble inside, the Aces should be positioned to extend their winning streak in this matchup.
Chicago Sky Notes
Chicago enters at 6-12 but carries momentum after back‑to‑back home wins over Portland, winning 101-78 and 124-94. The Sky shot a blistering 66 percent in the second win and hit 15 threes while holding Portland to 41 percent shooting. Kamilla Cardoso delivered a perfect 13-for-13 performance for 30 points, and Sydney Taylor erupted for 29 on 6-for-7 from deep. Skylar Diggins added 10 points and nine assists. Chicago needed the bounce‑back after dropping six straight, and their offense finally showed the efficiency they expected earlier in the season. Their defense also tightened in the two wins after allowing 94.8 points per game in the previous four games.
Chicago averages 85.7 points per game on 43.2 percent shooting, including 30.3 percent from deep. They generate 33.3 rebounds per game and get to the line frequently at 25.7 attempts per contest. Their interior scoring sits at 49.6 percent, and they produce 20.4 assists per game. Defensively, the Sky allow 88.6 points per game and 43.2 percent shooting, including 31.0 percent from three. Opponents also average 38.6 rebounds per game, an area Chicago continues to battle. Their recent defensive improvement has been encouraging, but consistency remains a challenge against elite offenses.
Cardoso has emerged as a major interior force at 14.0 points and 8.6 rebounds per game while shooting 59.3 percent. Diggins adds 14.3 points and 4.9 assists, and Natasha Cloud contributes 9.1 points with 4.1 assists. Gabriela Jaquez provides 9.7 points and 4.4 rebounds, and Jacy Sheldon adds 7.6 points with strong perimeter defense. Chicago’s depth has shown flashes, but their scoring still leans heavily on Cardoso and Diggins.
For Chicago to win, they must attack early, push tempo, and avoid long scoring droughts. The Sky need strong interior production to challenge Las Vegas’ frontcourt and consistent perimeter shooting to stretch the defense. Their transition defense must be sharp, especially against an Aces team that thrives on quick scoring bursts. Chicago also needs to limit turnovers and control the defensive glass to prevent second‑chance points. If they maintain the offensive rhythm shown against Portland and sustain defensive pressure, they can keep this matchup competitive at home.
Aces vs Sky Predictions
Chicago +7.5 has value because this matchup often plays tighter in this building than the market expects. The last two meetings in Chicago were decided by five and two points, and the Sky now enter with renewed confidence after two explosive wins. Las Vegas could also be managing minutes with the Commissioner’s Cup Final looming on Tuesday. That small edge matters in a road spot. Chicago’s recent offensive rhythm gives them a better chance to trade punches, and their improved energy at home helps narrow the gap. With situational factors leaning their way, the Sky deserve consideration.
The Over 178.5 fits the current form of both teams. Chicago has erupted offensively in recent games, and their pace has increased noticeably. Their defense still shows volatility, which often leads to extended scoring runs on both ends. Las Vegas can punish any lapse, and their efficiency travels well. When the Sky pushes tempo, opponents usually follow, and that creates more possessions than expected. The Aces also have multiple scorers capable of carrying stretches, which helps stabilize the Over. With both teams trending upward offensively, the total sits in a playable range.
This matchup projects as a game where scoring swings dictate momentum rather than long defensive stretches. Chicago’s confidence should keep them aggressive early, and their recent shooting surge forces Las Vegas to match pace. The Aces rarely shy away from high‑scoring environments, especially when their perimeter game is clicking. That combination supports both the Sky +7.5 and the Over, as competitive games often go over. If Chicago maintains its offensive rhythm and Las Vegas avoids a look‑ahead lull, this one should stay close while producing enough scoring to clear the number.
Final Predictions: Chicago +7.5 & Over 178.5
Featured Image: Lucas Peltier-Imagn Images
