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2021 NBA Draft Profile: Virginia Forward Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy

Trey Murphy III is an interesting wing prospect who has shot up the draft in recent weeks thanks to his elite catch and shoot ability. Blessed with nice size at 6’9 and a 7’0 WINGSPAN, the 21-year-old averaged 11 points and 3.4 rebounds 50 percent shooting, 43 percent from three, and 92 percent from the line.

2021 NBA Draft Profile: Virginia Forward Trey Murphy III

Murphy was in the college system for three seasons, spending two years at Rice before transferring to Virginia last year. He took some time to establish himself at Rice, spending the entire season coming off the bench in his freshman season. However, during that year, Murphy broke the three-point percentage record for a freshman, converting on 42.1 percent of his triples. The following year, he would start 29 games and lead the team in scoring at 13.7 points per game.

At Virginia, he started all but six games in a COVID-19 shortened season. He was primarily used as a spot-up shooter and had a wonderful year averaging 11.3 points and 3.4 rebounds on 50 percent shooting and 43.3 percent from three.  His season came to an abrupt end when Virginia was hit with a COVID-19 breakout, forfeiting their ACC semi-final against Georgia Tech.

He elected to forgo his remaining college eligibility and enter the draft.

Strengths

Shooting

Murphy has one of the smoothest three-point strokes in this class and burned the nets at a 43.3 percent clip last year. While he was used primarily as a corner specialist, Murphy has potential as a deep three-point threat thanks to his effortless mechanics, incredible balance, and consistency.

He possesses a unique shooting stroke and releases the ball from the right side of his face. Lonzo Ball entered the NBA with a similar (but more prominent) hitch and remade his shot. However, one of the key differences is Murphy’s catch and release position. He catches the ball high allowing him to quickly release before defenders contest his shot. Murphy is extremely consistent with his shooting form and regularly hits jumpers in defender’s faces.

Despite being the primary spacer and under heavy defensive pressure, Murphy found his spots to punish teams from the perimeter. He finished the season with a 67 percent true shooting and a 63.9 effective field goal percentage.

Defense

Murphy also showed some defensive chops, utilizing his quick feet and length to keep opponents in front of him. He used his long 7’0 wingspan and active hands to make plays on the ball. He is very patient, decisive, and disciplined rarely biting on pump fakes allowing him to contest shots without fouling.

Off the ball, Murphy showed a great understanding of weakside help. In emergency situations, he rotated correctly on numerous occasions and used his length to swallow up space. Murphy isn’t a ball hawk by any stretch but he understands how to use angles to cover ground.

Switch-heavy defenses are common in the NBA and require a good level of spatial awareness. Murphy will be able to slide in without any issues.

Weaknesses

Play Making and Self Creation

One of the most valued skills in the NBA aside from three-point shooting is self-creation and Murphy struggles to create anything off the dribble. Murphy doesn’t possess any go-to moves that allow him to create separation
from his defender. Whether this is a function of his handle or simply being used exclusively as a floor spacer, he was easily contained once he put the ball on the floor. At this stage of his development, he is just a catch-and-shoot threat.
Murphy also didn’t show much ability to make plays for others. When defenses keyed in on him off the bounce, he had a tendency to panic and move the ball like a hot potato. Murphy was sometimes caught in between and either turned the ball over or threw up a terrible shot. This was very rare at Virginia since he was deployed largely as a play finisher but in a decision-making role, he really struggled to make the right play.

NBA Draft Projection: 18-25

Trey Murphy is rising on many draft boards as one of the best three and D prospects. The 21-year-old took his time in college and made the right choice to transfer to Virginia last season. While he might not be the best prospect off the dribble, his shooting is real and NBA squads always need more shooting. Murphy is going to fill a role much like Jae Crowder.
He is a stud and will likely contribute right away for the team that drafts him.
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