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Cubs $177 Million Conundrum is a Financial Puzzle to Solve

There were some high expectations when the Chicago Cubs signed Dansby Swanson to a seven-year, $177 million contract. Swanson was coming off a career year with the Atlanta Braves, where he posted a 5.5 WAR, hit 25 home runs, and played stellar defense, earning both an All-Star selection and a Gold Glove. He was expected to bring a much-needed combination of power, defense, and leadership to a team looking to return to contention.

However, this season has been a different story for Swanson. The excitement surrounding his arrival in Chicago has quickly faded, replaced by frustration and concern. Swanson, who has always been known for his consistency, has been anything but that this year. Statistically, it’s been the worst season of his career, and his struggles at the plate and in the field have become a headache for the Cubs.

A Down Year at the Plate for Dansby Swanson

Swanson’s offensive numbers have taken a nosedive this year. He has been far from the offensive spark plug the Cubs hoped for, carrying a .225 batting average and an OPS below .700. His strikeout rate has increased significantly, and his power numbers are down. After hitting 22 home runs last season, he’s barely on pace to hit three-fourths of that number this year. The underlying metrics paint an even bleaker picture: his hard-hit rate is at a career-low, and his chase rate has spiked, suggesting he’s pressing at the plate.

The Cubs brought in Swanson as a middle-of-the-order bat who could provide stability up the middle. Instead, they’ve got a player whose offensive struggles have contributed to a lineup that often lacks punch, especially in key moments. Swanson’s inability to get on base and drive in runs has been a significant drag for a team fighting to stay in the playoff race.

Defensive Decline

While Swanson is seen as a defensive anchor for the Cubs, his glove was not up to his usual standards. His numbers have regressed after leading all MLB shortstops in Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) last year. His defensive metrics are still above average, but the gap between Swanson and the league’s elite shortstops has widened. He’s committed more errors than usual, and there have been moments where his range and decision-making have been questionable.

This decline is troubling for a player whose value is heavily tied to his defence.

Dansby Swanson’s Weight of Expectations

Part of Swanson’s struggles could be attributed to different things. The pressure of living up to his contract and being seen as a franchise cornerstone. Coming into a new city, with the weight of expectations and a hefty contract, isn’t easy, and it appears Swanson is feeling that burden. The cheers from the Wrigley faithful, once filled with hope and anticipation, have turned into frustrated groans. Every groundout, every swing and miss, adds another layer of pressure.

What Could Come Next?

The Cubs are left to determine what to do in this situation. At 30 years old, Swanson still has time to turn things around, but the early returns have been concerning. The Cubs need him to find his form, especially as they look to build a contender around Nico Hoerner and Pete Crow-Armstrong. Swanson must find a way to adjust mentally and mechanically to justify his contract and deliver the performance the Cubs expected.

For now, Swanson’s season is a harsh reminder that big contracts do not always lead to big performances.

Main Photo: © Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

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