Gerald Everett dynasty outlook was promising early. He had the athleticism as a 74th percentile or better tight end across the board. Plus, had significant draft capital that all fantasy managers love in a tight end. However, despite his impressive profile, he hasn’t been able to take fantasy managers to the next level. He has only managed one top-12 tight end finish in points per game across seven seasons in the NFL.
So why is he one of the top tight ends available this year? Over the last four years, on three different teams, he has been the primary target at the tight end position. Wherever he goes he wins the lead tight end job. What will the 2024 free agent cycle do for Gerald Everett’s dynasty outlook?
Gerald Everett Dynasty Outlook
The History
Gerald Everett was drafted in the second round, 44th overall, of the 2017 draft by the Los Angeles Rams thanks to an impressive combination of attributes. He had the size, speed, and yards-after-catch ability all teams look for in a high-end receiving tight end to take their offense to the next level. In four seasons with the Rams, he failed to eclipse 425 yards receiving or find the end zone more than three times in a season. This let down fantasy managers as he never managed more than eight points per game. The lackluster four seasons also led to a breakup with the Rams.
Over the next three seasons, he made a quick one-year stop with the Seattle Seahawks, before landing back in Los Angeles. This time with the Los Angeles Chargers, he had a career year in his first season in 2022. He finished with 9.3 fantasy points per game, good for TE11. This came through 58 receptions, 555 yards, and four touchdowns.
This set the stage for lofty 2023 expectations. However, injuries and an overall disappointing offensive output from the Chargers hurt Everett. The Chargers passing offense ranked 14th in the league, 36 yards worse per game than 2022. Plus, they ranked 21st in points per game, three less per game than in 2022. Everett finished with 411 yards and three touchdowns, a 7.4 fantasy point per game TE20 output.
The Situation
Gerald Everett is a difficult player to project going forward. We have seen a fairly below-average fantasy tight end for the majority of his career. But we have also seen the major benefit of landing in a high-octane passing offense and what it can do for him. He will also be 30 at the start of next season. Could he be open to being a team’s second tight end option for a potential championship run?
This is going to end up being a major landing spot-dependent player. He needs to land on a strong passing offense with limited tight-end competition. He has won jobs thanks to being the only proven option in most circumstances. The usual culprits who lack viable starting tight ends stand out. The Seattle Seahawks, Indianapolis Colts, and Miami Dolphins.
My favorite fit is the Indianapolis Colts. They have a lot of tight ends on the roster but haven’t been able to unlock the huge, athletic tight ends, Mo-Alie Cox and Jelani Woods. And a similar, but lesser, profile to Everett in Kylen Granson could use upgrading. Everett would bring an experienced, athletic tight-end profile to add a new element to their growing offense. Plus, pair Everett’s blah red zone work, but solid ability between the 20s and veteran mindset with a Cox or Woods who feasts in the end zone. Suddenly you have a viable and intriguing tight end tandem.
Current Price
I like to use KeepTradeCut to crowdsource his present value and get an idea of what type of players and picks are in his range. Gerald Everett currently ranks as the TE36. Players who land around him include Miles Sanders, Hendon Hooker, Kenneth Gainwell, and Adam Thielen. We are in the major hit-or-miss value for dynasty players. From a rookie pick perspective, he is smack in the middle of a 2026 mid-third and 2026 late-third rounder.
What to do with Gerald Everett Dynasty Outlook?
What you do with Gerald Everett really will be dependent on the landing spot. Otherwise, you are going to need to hunt down a manager who likes Everett. With this in mind, what should the below fantasy managers do and how does it impact Gerald Everett dynasty outlook?
Rebuilding
If you are a rebuilding manager, you get whatever value you can from Everett. Even with a great landing spot where he takes the TE1 job, I have a hard time imagining him being any better than a low-end TE1. He is most likely to peek at between 9-10 points per game. If you can sell him now for a future mid-late third, I would do it. Most of the players in and around him aren’t going to bring you any further value in future years.
Middle of the Pack
If you are in the middle of the pack in your league, I don’t envy you. Everett isn’t going to fetch you much for a return if you deal him, that mid-late future 3rd range. Just like I said above unless you are bought into a guy similarly valued. It is unlikely they will become significantly better fantasy assets for your team. He also won’t move the needle for your team, no matter the landing spot. This will be the manager’s decision based on how they feel about Everett. I’d be happy to get a mid-late 3rd or 4th-round pick to draft with or pair in another deal in the future for Everett.
Contenders
Let’s face it, if you are contending I promise you have at least one tight end who will start weekly over Everett. I would even bet you likely have a TE2 superior to Everett. I will keep this one short and sweet. Leave him. Unless you run into in-season or off-season tight end injuries and get desperate.
Main Photo Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
