Just like that, we already have ten weeks of NFL football in the books. One of my favorite parts is fantasy football. One of my favorite aspects of fantasy football has become playing on DraftKings. Every week is like a new puzzle to figure out. Whether you are more of a cash game player or a tournament player, each presents a unique challenge. Let’s take a look at my favorite Week 11 DraftKings plays.
READ MORE: Week 11 Stream Team
Week 11 DraftKings Plays
Week 10 Recap
It’s always good to be completely transparent and demonstrate accountability. That’s what I like to do with everything I do, and that also goes for fantasy football. Whether it’s bold takes or DraftKings recommendations, I always like to keep track of wins and losses. It’s not only good for the readers to know, but it also helps me learn from mistakes moving forward.
🚨RECAP THREAD🚨
For full transparency each week I'll recap my #DraftKings plays to see if they hit the 2.5x we generally shoot for each week in cash builds!#FantasyFootball#NFL#NFLTwitter #DFS@BlazedRTs@MyFantasyLeague
https://t.co/S0yddm897C— ✴️Rob Norton✴️ (@norton0723) November 14, 2022
Looking back at Week 10, it was a solid week for recommendations. This week 56% of my recommendations hit the 2.5x value we look for in cash game lineups. This time the quarterback group led the way at a 100% success rate. Meanwhile, the tight end group brought up the rear at a 40% success rate. Personally, it was not a profitable week. We’ll look to get it going even better with the picks and get back into the profits in the Week 11 DraftKings plays.
- Week 10 – $270 → $120 ($150 LOSS)
- Year Total – $2,403 → $2,395 ($8 LOSS)
Quarterbacks
Josh Allen (BUF) – $8,500 v CLE
What a wild swing of events for Josh Allen in this game. The Buffalo Bills were scheduled to take on the Cleveland Browns in Buffalo this Sunday. The weather is calling for anywhere between three and six feet of snow! The NFL decided to relocate this game to Detroit. That is a beautiful thing for Allen and both offenses really since this game will now be played in a dome. The new combined total now sits at 49.5 points which is the highest on the slate. The Bills also have the highest implied team total at 28.5 points. Allen averages 29.2 DraftKings points per game which is more than any other player in the NFL. The Browns are not a matchup to be feared either so Allen should be able to do whatever he wants in this one.
Josh Allen in a true dome stadium:
4-0 with 1041 yards passing, 137 yards rushing, 76% completion percentage, 14 TDs, 2 INTs— Kevin Massare (@KevinMassare) November 17, 2022
Dak Prescott (DAL) – $6,600 @ MIN
Since returning from injury Dak Prescott has scored 20+ DraftKings points in two of three games. Despite that, his price has stayed the same nearly every week. Prescott is averaging 20 DraftKings points per game over that span despite one down game. This week he gets a juicy matchup against the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings have allowed the sixth-most DraftKings points to quarterbacks so far this season. This game will also be played in a dome which gives a nice boost to the passing offenses. The 47.5-point combined total is one of the highest on the slate. The Dallas Cowboys implied total is 24.5 points which is also one of the highest on the slate. Everything sets up for Prescott to be one of the best Week 11 DraftKings plays.
Others to Consider: Daniel Jones (NYG) – $5,700 v DET, Justin Fields (CHI) – $7,600 @ ATL, Kirk Cousins (MIN) – $6,100 v DAL
Running Backs
Saquon Barkley (NYG) – $8,900 v DET
Saquon Barkley’s comeback campaign kept chugging last week when he tore up the Houston Texans to the tune of 160 total yards and a touchdown. Barkley scored 26 DraftKings points in that one. This week he gets another chance at a big game against the lowly Detroit Lions. The Lions are the worst defense in the NFL and can’t stop anyone on the ground or through the air. Barkley is a threat in both facets of the game so he should be able to put up another big game here. He’s averaging 21.3 DraftKings points per game this season. Heading into the week Barkley led all running backs in snap share (82.8%), opportunity share (85.1%), and rushing yards (931). He also ranks fourth in route participation (59.6%), sixth in target share (16.3%), and tenth in receptions (29). No matter which way it is spun, Barkley looks like one of the very best Week 11 DraftKings plays.
Most scrimmage yards per game:
Saquon Barkley – 125.3 🍎 pic.twitter.com/lwkeA1MExu
— PFF (@PFF) November 17, 2022
Joe Mixon (CIN) – $7,400 @ PIT
Speaking of running backs with incredible usage, Joe Mixon’s salary has not caught up to the usage quite yet. Mixon ranks top-five among all running backs in opportunity share (80.0%), targets (49), receptions (37), receiving yards (272), touchdowns (eight), and route participation (59.1%). Add it all up and it gives him 20.8 expected fantasy points per game which rank second among all running backs. There is no reason to expect a change in usage moving forward, especially with Ja’Marr Chase still out. The Pittsburgh Steelers aren’t a great matchup on paper but Mixon has already faced them once this season and dropped 21.5 DraftKings points on them. In that game, he caught seven of his nine targets and carried the ball 27 times, and turned those touches into 145 total yards. The Cincinnati Bengals currently sit as 4-point favorites with a 22.5-point implied team total so the potential game script should be favorable once again for Mixon.
Others to Consider: Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) – $6,700 v NYJ, Alvin Kamara (NO) – $7,600 v LAR, David Montgomery (CHI) – $6,100 @ ATL, Josh Jacobs (LV) – $7,500 @ DEN, Dameon Pierce (HOU) – $6,500 v WAS
Wide Receivers
Stefon Diggs (BUF) – $8,300 v CLE
Just like with Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs went from possibly the worst setup on the slate to probably the best. Going from a blizzard to a dome game does wonders for the outlook of the passing games on both sides. The combined total alone jumped from 40.5 points to a whopping 49.5 points. That alone should signal how significant of a boost this is. As for Diggs, he’s enjoying another elite campaign. He’s averaging 25.6 DraftKings points per game which leads all wide receivers. He ranks top-four in targets (98), air yards (1,086), red zone targets (15), touchdowns (7), receptions (72), and receiving yards (985). The Browns are more susceptible to the run but they aren’t a strong defense either way and the Bills are one of the best passing offenses in the NFL. Anytime you can get the top-scoring wide receiver in the game environment with the highest combined total and highest implied team total and he’s only the fourth-most expensive wide receiver, that’s a situation to take advantage of.
The most catches (72) and rec yards (985) thru 9 games in @BuffaloBills history:
Stefon Diggs pic.twitter.com/zswzupLQNM
— CBS Sports (@CBSSports) November 16, 2022
Terry McLaurin (WAS) – $5,900 @ HOU
Terry McLaurin has been sneaky good this season, especially lately. On the season he’s averaging 14.2 DraftKings points per game. He’s scored double-digit DraftKings points in every game but two this season including four straight games now. In those four games, McLaurin has seen at least eight targets in all four and went over 100 yards twice. Taylor Heinicke seems to look for him early and often each week. This week he gets another matchup he should be able to take advantage of. On paper, the Texans allow the third-fewest DraftKings points to wide receivers this year. It’s not necessarily because they are great at stopping the pass, it’s just that they can’t stop the run. The Washington Commanders have a 22-point implied team total and this game is being played inside a dome. McLaurin’s salary already came out before his big game on Monday Night Football so he looks like he should be one of the best Week 11 DraftKings plays, especially from a point-per-dollar standpoint.
Others to Consider: CeeDee Lamb (DAL) – $7,500 @ MIN, Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) – $7,200 @ NYG, Garrett Wilson (NYJ) – $4,900 @ NE, Justin Jefferson (MIN) – $9,100 v DAL, Parris Campbell (IND) – $4,300 v PHI, Tee Higgins (CIN) – $7,100 @ PIT
Tight Ends
Dalton Schultz (DAL) – $4,300 @ MIN
It’s been a rollercoaster of a season for Dalton Schultz so far. After scoring 13.2 DraftKings points back in Week 1 his season took a nosedive. Schultz didn’t score double-digits again until Week 8. He’s now scored double-digit DraftKings points in two straight games and looking to make it three. In those two games, he’s caught six passes in each and seen 15 targets total. Dak Prescott seems to look Schultz’s way a good amount. As previously mentioned, this game has a great game environment. The 47.5-point combined total is one of the highest on the slate and this game is in a dome. The Vikings allow the tenth-most DraftKings points to tight ends. Add it all up and Schultz is one of the best Week 11 DraftKings plays among all tight ends.
Dalton Schultz has been targeted on 30.6% of his routes run with Dak Prescott under center.
Mark Andrews leads tight ends with a 28.6% target per route rate on the season.
— Rich Hribar (@LordReebs) November 9, 2022
Greg Dulcich (DEN) – $3,800 v LV
Don’t let one bad game ruin what has been a very promising (shortened) rookie season so far for Greg Dulcich. He has still scored double-digit DraftKings points in three of his first four games as a pro. The overall game environment isn’t as ideal as you’d like to see as the game has a 41.5-point combined total. However, the Las Vegas Raiders have allowed the sixth-most DraftKings points to tight ends so far this season. The Denver Broncos are also going to be without Jerry Jeudy in this one so Dulcich may be relied upon even more than usual.
Others to Consider: Tyler Higbee (LAR) – $4,000 @ NO, Pat Freiermuth (PIT) – $4,200 v CIN, Hayden Hurst (CIN) – $3,500 @ PIT
Defense/Special Teams
In terms of choosing a defense/special teams, it’s the last spot I fill in every week. It’s pretty random but there are a few areas to gain an advantage. I aim to target the heavily favored teams, who usually play with a lead. This forces their opponent to throw it more often which can help lead to extra sacks and turnovers and hopefully a touchdown. Another aspect to target is turnover and sack-prone quarterbacks. My advice is to fill out the rest of your lineup first and then pick your favorite D/ST out of the remaining money.
My Tentative Cash Game Lineup
- QB – Daniel Jones
- RB – Joe Mixon
- RB – David Montgomery
- WR – Terry McLaurin
- WR – Amon-Ra St. Brown
- WR – Nico Collins
- TE – Greg Dulcich
- Flex – CeeDee Lamb
- DST – Pittsburgh Steelers
Make sure to tune in next week to see the results from my Week 11 DraftKings plays and to see the best picks for Week 12. Best of luck to everyone and let’s all enjoy some football and win some money!
Main Photo:
Embed from Getty Images
