For those of you playing in one-week playoff matchups championship week is finally here! If you made it this far I would suggest not making too many lineup changes, I prefer to roll with the guys that got me here. But if you have some questionable decisions we will help make those decisions.
Fantasy Football Starts and Sits for Week 17
Quarterback Start: Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott played possibly the best game of his NFL career this past week against the Philadelphia Eagles. Over 340 passing yards and three touchdowns earned him QB1 in week 17. The Eagles shut down the Cowboys running game, leading to Prescott’s 35 pass attempts.
Dak Prescott earned a season-high 91 NGS passing score in Week 16.
Prescott completed all 24 of his passes against zone coverage for 300 yards & 3 TD, becoming the only player to earn a perfect 99 NGS passing score vs zone in a game since 2018.#PHIvsDAL | #DallasCowboys pic.twitter.com/zdNto4GSXU
— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) December 25, 2022
Prescott has been up and down for fantasy due to turnovers and a lack of passing attempts but in the last month, he is averaging 264 yards and over two touchdowns per game. The Cowboys will travel to Nashville this Thursday to play the Tennessee Titans, the Titans rank 2nd in the NFL in rush defense but is dead last in passing yards allowed. The Titans are also dead last in passing attempts allowed by a wide margin. The lack of a running game will allow Prescott to continue to stay hot as a passer this week. The Titans are also considering resting a healthy amount of players this week to prepare for their win and in the game next week against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
#Titans HC Mike Vrabel on getting ready for a short week (again), and if he will rest players:@RamonKaylaWill pic.twitter.com/aQVCtl7C0k
— Kayla Anderson (@KaylaAndersonTV) December 26, 2022
Quarterback Sit: Tom Brady
Tom Brady is the quarterback you’d want in a real playoff scenario but for the fantasy playoffs, he should be a no go this week. The Carolina Panthers are a middle-of-the-road defense but you can’t even trust Brady against bottom-tier defenses. Brady has just four touchdowns in four games against bottom 10 pass defenses this year. Brady leads the NFL in pass attempts but is still bottom of the league in touchdown percentage. Earlier this year Brady threw for zero touchdowns against the Carolina Panthers, the only game where he has failed to do so this year.
Running Back Start: Tyler Allgeier
Over the past month, Tyler Allgeier is averaging almost 90 scrimmage yards per game on over 15 touches per game. Allgeier had a season-high five targets in Week 16 against the Baltimore Ravens. He has a 10% target share since Desmond Ridder took over as the Atlanta Falcons starting quarterback. Allgeier also has a 54% snap count since the Falcons returned from their bye week. Allgeier’s matchup this week, the Arizona Cardinals are bottom 10 in the NFL in yards per carry and rushing touchdowns allowed.
Running Back Sit: Josh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs seven-game streak of at least 65 rushing yards was snapped in Week 16 against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Jacobs has been a huge part of the Las Vegas Raiders offense this season, sitting him this week will be difficult but I encourage it due to the matchup. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been dominant this season and they have excelled against the run. The 49ers have given up 251 yards in the last four weeks for a YPC of 3.3. Jacobs has also seen his receiving work fall off, in the last month he has just 44 yards on eight targets.
Wide Receiver Start: Jerry Jeudy
Although the Denver Broncos have had a disappointing season Jerry Jeudy has been on a hot streak as of late. In the last month, Jeudy is averaging over 80 yards per game on eight targets per game. The Broncos are playing the Kansas City Chiefs this week so the Broncos will be chasing points. Just three weeks ago against the Chiefs Jeudy had 33 fantasy points after a three-touchdown game. With Nathaniel Hackett fired and the Broncos searching for a new head coach, it is unknown if Denver’s offense will change or not but Jeudy is a good play this week.
Wide Receiver Sit: Gabe Davis
Gabe Davis was one of my favorite breakouts this season, overall it has been an up-and-down season for Davis fantasy production. Davis was mostly viewed as a boom-or-bust receiver with the potential to be a top-24 fantasy receiver. Top 24 has not happened for Davis and the increase in targets has not increased to the level that was needed for his breakout. Davis is second on the Bills in targets, yards, and touchdowns. Although he is second in targets the efficiency and production haven’t overall been there outside of touchdowns. Davis is averaging under seven fantasy points per game in games where he doesn’t score a touchdown.
Tight End Start: Tyler Conklin
Tyler Conklin is second on the New York Jets with a 14% target share, he is also second on the Jets in catches and touchdowns behind Garrett Wilson. Conklin’s matchup this week, the Seattle Seahawks give up almost 15 PPR points per game to tight ends. With Mike White looking to return this week, the Jet’s passing game overall has a positive outlook this week.