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Week 7 DraftKings Plays: Josh Jacobs, CeeDee Lamb, and More

Week 7 DraftKings Plays - Josh Jacobs and CeeDee Lamb should have fantastic outings in DFS and should lead to a hefty payout.
Week 7 DraftKings

Just like that, we already have six weeks of NFL football in the books. One of my favorite parts is fantasy football. One of my favorite aspects of fantasy football has become playing on DraftKings. Every week is like a new puzzle to figure out. Whether you are more of a cash game player or a tournament player, each presents a unique challenge. Let’s take a look at my favorite Week 7 DraftKings plays.

READ MORE: Week 7 Stream Team | Week 7 Starts and Sits | Christian McCaffrey 49ers Outlook | Dynasty Buy-Low Targets

Week 7 DraftKings Plays

Week 6 Recap

It’s always good to be completely transparent and demonstrate accountability. That’s what I like to do with everything I do, and that also goes for fantasy football. Whether it’s bold takes or DraftKings recommendations, I always like to keep track of wins and losses. It’s not only good for the readers to know, but it also helps me learn from mistakes moving forward.

Looking back at Week 6, it was a good week for recommendations. This week 60% of my recommendations hit the 2.5x value we look for in cash game lineups. This time the running back group led the way at an 85.7% success rate. Meanwhile, the wide receiver group brought up the rear tied at a 37.5% success rate. Personally, it was not a profitable week. We’ll look to get it going even better with the picks and get back into the profits in the Week 7 DraftKings plays.

  • Week 5 – $241 → $91 ($150 LOSS)
  • Year Total – $1,430 → $1,732 ($302 PROFIT)

Quarterbacks

Dak Prescott (DAL) – $6,700 v DET

Dak Prescott has been out for more than a month now but you really couldn’t have picked a much better matchup to come back to. The Detroit Lions have been one of the worst defenses in the league. Their offense has been competent, though, and that combination has made them one of the best matchups to target. They have allowed the third-most fantasy points to quarterbacks so far this season.

On top of that this game has the second-highest combined total on the slate at 49 points and the Dallas Cowboys have the highest implied team total at 28 points. This game is going to be played in a dome as well. The stars couldn’t have aligned much better for Prescott’s return. His salary is cheaper than it normally would be since he’s been out with an injury. Add it all up and Prescott looks like one of the best Week 7 DraftKings plays.

Derek Carr (LV) – $5,900 v HOU

Heading into the year there were expectations that this would be Derek Carr’s best season yet. With Davante Adams joining the team and the AFC West looking like it was going to be filled with shootouts, there was really no reason to think otherwise.

With those expectations, Carr has been a bit disappointing so far. He’s averaging 17.8 points per game and only scored over 20 points once this season. Carr could make that two this week against the Houston Texans. The Texans are weaker against the run than the pass but aren’t a strong defense either way. The Las Vegas Raiders are seven-point home favorites with an implied team total of 26.25 points. That’s the third-highest implied team total on the slate. This game is also being played in a dome which should only boost the outlook for Carr this week.

Others to Consider: Geno Smith (SEA) – $5,600 @ LAC, Marcus Mariota (ATL) – $5,500 @ CIN, Lamar Jackson (BAL) – $8,000 v CLE

Running Backs

Joe Mixon (CIN) – $7,000 v ATL

Joe Mixon has been a bit of a mixed bag this year. On one hand, he’s the RB16 and averaging a respectable 14.3 points per game. On the other hand, that’s a disappointment both in terms of his preseason ADP as well as what the usage has been so far. Mixon is still being used as a true workhorse running back which is encouraging for his production this week and moving forward.

This week against the Atlanta Falcons looks like a great spot for Mixon to get back to some big-time production. The Cincinnati Bengals have the third-highest implied team total on the slate at 27 points. They are also currently a 6.5-point favorite over the Falcons. Mixon is heavily involved in the passing game too so game script shouldn’t matter too much for him but this could turn into a high-scoring affair which would be ideal.

Josh Jacobs (LV) – $6,500 v HOU

Josh Jacobs has been one of the best surprises of the year so far at the running back position. After years of being used incorrectly and not being involved in the passing game, that has certainly changed this year. As of now, Jacobs is the RB5 averaging 20.6 DraftKings points per game. He’s on pace for career-highs in both targets and receptions and looks like a true workhorse back.

Jacobs is coming off a bye and before that had two straight monster games. He scored over 33 fantasy points in each of those. This week he gets to come back to an extremely juicy matchup. The Texans have allowed the most DraftKings points to running backs. As previously mentioned the Raiders are big-time home favorites with a 26.25-point implied team total. Add it all up and Jacobs looks like not only one of the best point-per-dollar plays but one of the overall best Week 7 DraftKings plays.

Others to Consider: Kenneth Walker III (SEA) – $5,800 @ LAC, Dameon Pierce (HOU) – $6,400 @ LV, Leonard Fournette (TB) – $7,700 @ CAR, Saquon Barkley (NYG) – $7,900 @ JAX, Austin Ekeler (LAC) – $8,300 v SEA

Wide Receivers

CeeDee Lamb (DAL) – $6,800 v DET

CeeDee Lamb has been about as good as fantasy managers could have hoped for this year. There was some concern when Dak Prescott suffered an injury in Week 1 as to whether Lamb could sustain production during his absence. Instead, he’s just gone out and led all wide receivers with an absurd 33.3% target share.

Lamb is currently averaging 14.6 DraftKings points per game as well. Prescott is now making his return this week. On top of that is a matchup against the Lions. As previously mentioned, the Lions are simply not a good defensive team in almost any metric. This game environment might be the best on the slate. Everything is pointing toward a monster game for Lamb in this one. This makes him one of the best Week 7 DraftKings plays at any position.

Drake London (ATL) – $5,400 @ CIN

One of these days, Arthur Smith is going to have to open up the playbook a bit and let Marcus Mariota throw more than a handful of passes. That day might be this Sunday when the Falcons take on the Bengals. The Falcons are currently 6.5-point underdogs. If they do, in fact, fall behind early they may be forced to throw more than usual. That would be great for Drake London.

London is actually having a great rookie year. He’s averaging 11.6 DraftKings points per game this year but even more encouraging is his 33.1% target share which is second-best in the NFL among wide receivers trailing only Lamb. The problem has just been the raw volume of pass attempts. Hopefully, the game script plays out in this manner allowing London to truly showcase what he can do when the Falcons throw a normal amount of passes.

Others to Consider: Tyler Lockett (SEA) – $5,800 @ LAC, Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) –  $7,100 @ DAL, Michael Gallup (DAL) – $5,100 v DET, Amari Cooper (CLE) – $6,100 @ BAL, D.K. Metcalf (SEA) – $6,600 @ LAC, Brandin Coooks (HOU) – $6,000 @ LV

Tight Ends

George Kittle (SF) – $5,300 v KC

There’s no other way to put it: George Kittle has been a huge disappointment so far this year. He missed the first two weeks with a groin injury. After that, Kittle put up three straight single-digit fantasy point performances. This past week, though, he finally had a good game.

Kittle finished with 16.3 DraftKings points after racking up eight catches for 83 yards on 10 targets. One of the biggest differences in this game compared to the previous three was the game script. Usually, the San Francisco 49ers are playing with a lead. That wasn’t the case in this one. This week could be another game in which they are forced to throw more than usual. The Kansas City Chiefs are 2.5-point road favorites as it currently sits. Combine that with the fact that Kittle could be finally getting fully healthy and he could end up with one of his patented monster performances this week.

Greg Dulcich (DEN) – $2,500 v NYJ

Greg Dulcich returned from injury this past week and instantly usurped Albert Okwuegbunam and produced. That isn’t a common thing from a rookie tight end. Taking a closer look it was even more encouraging. Dulcich immediately saw a 65.4% snap share and 71.4% route participation in his first game back from injury.

Let’s not forget this was not only his first game back from injury but also his first game overall as a professional. It seems likely that those rates will continue to grow. Obviously, it’s a small sample size but it couldn’t have been a much more encouraging debut. Since he played on Monday Night Football, his price was already put out as the stone minimum. Assuming he at least sustains his role from his debut, this price is far too low. That makes Dulcich one of the best Week 7 DraftKings plays at tight end. 

Others to Consider: Kyle Pitts (ATL) – $4,300 @ CIN, Hayden Hurst (CIN) – $3,500 v ATL, Evan Engram (JAX) – $3,300 v NYG

Defense/Special Teams

In terms of choosing a defense/special teams, it’s the last spot I fill in every week. It’s pretty random but there are a few areas to gain an advantage. I aim to target the heavily favored teams, who usually play with a lead. This forces their opponent to throw it more often which can help lead to extra sacks and turnovers and hopefully a touchdown. Another aspect to target is turnover and sack-prone quarterbacks. My advice is to fill out the rest of your lineup first and then pick your favorite D/ST out of the remaining money.

My Tentative Cash Game Lineup

  • QB – Derek Carr
  • RB – Leonard Fournette
  • RB – Joe Mixon
  • WR – CeeDee Lamb
  • WR – Tyler Lockett
  • WR – Drake London
  • TE – Greg Dulcich
  • Flex – Josh Jacobs
  • DST – Atlanta Falcons

Make sure to tune in next week to see the results from my Week 7 DraftKings plays and to see the best picks for Week 8. Best of luck to everyone and let’s all enjoy some football and win some money!

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