Week 6 is in the books and we’re officially in the week of bye-mageddon. One of my favorite parts is fantasy football. One of my favorite aspects of fantasy football has become playing on DraftKings. Every week is like a new puzzle to figure out. Whether you are more of a cash game player or a tournament player, each presents a unique challenge. Let’s take a look at my favorite Week 7 DraftKings plays.
Week 7 DraftKings Plays
Week 6 Recap
It’s always good to be completely transparent and demonstrate accountability. That’s what I like to do with everything I do and that goes for fantasy football as well. Whether it’s bold takes or DraftKings recommendations, I always like to keep track of wins and losses. It’s not only good for the readers to know, but also helps me learn from mistakes moving forward.
For full transparency each week I'll recap my suggested #DraftKings plays to see if they hit the 2.5x we generally shoot for each week in cash builds!#FantasyFootball#NFL#NFLTwitter#DFS@BlazedRTs@MyFantasyLeague@LastWordOnNFL
— ✴️®️ob Norton✴️ (@norton0723) October 18, 2021
Looking back at Week 6, it was exactly the same as Week 5. This week 56% of my recommendations hit the 2.5x value we look for in cash game lineups. This time the running back group led the way with an 85.7% success rate. Meanwhile, the wide receiver group brought up the rear this week with a 12.5% success rate. The profit streak unfortunately came to an end. The cash build lost all seven double-ups and went 10-17 in H2H’s. We’ll look to do even better with the picks and keep profiting in the Week 7 DraftKings plays.
- Week 6 – $309 → $91 ($218 LOSS)
- Year Total – $1,782 → $2,192 ($410 PROFIT)
Week 7 DraftKings Plays
Lamar Jackson (BAL) – $7,400 v CIN
Playing Lamar Jackson last week didn’t work out so well. It was the first time this season he scored below 20 points. It was a game where all the touchdown scoring didn’t go his way and that’s very unlikely to happen each week. Jackson already has 64 carries for 392 yards on the season. Those numbers are the best among all quarterbacks. This type of production gives him a higher floor than any quarterback in the game. On top of this, the Baltimore Ravens have thrown at a much higher rate this year. They are also one of the highest-scoring offenses as well. All of this gives Jackson a very high ceiling too. His price is only going to go up soon. Take advantage of the price staying stagnant coming off a dud game.
Derek Carr (LV) – $6,000 v PHI
Derek Carr is the only quarterback with four 300+ yard passing games so far this season. That’s not a statement anyone expected to say 6 weeks into the regular season. Carr is playing really well this season and the Las Vegas Raiders are more pass-heavy this year. Last week in their first game without Jon Gruden they also played at a faster pace than any other game this year. This week they have a great matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are playing at the fastest pace of any offense in the NFL this year so it’s a pace-up game for Carr. This game is also in a dome which is always a nice boost to passing games. The combined total is also a nice 48.5 right now too. Everything is in Carr’s favor to have another great game at a great price.
Only QB with 4 games of 300+ passing yards
🚀 Derek Carr pic.twitter.com/Ug1x0RoK42
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) October 21, 2021
Others to Consider: Patrick Mahomes (KC) – $8,400 @ TEN, Jalen Hurts (PHI) – $6,900 @ LV, Matt Ryan (ATL) – $5,700 @ MIA
Derrick Henry (TEN) – $9,200 v KC
The big dog is eating. In fact, Derrick Henry is absolutely feasting on opposing defenses. He’s on a ridiculous streak right now. Henry has at least 20 carries and 113 rushing yards in five straight games now. He’s also scored at least 22 DraftKings points in all five of those games as well. Henry has also scored at least three touchdowns in three of those five games. On the season he’s averaging over 130 rushing yards and over 30 DraftKings points per game. That’s not a typo, that’s an average game for Henry this year. This week is an interesting matchup for Henry. The Tennessee Titans are facing the Kansas City Chiefs and this game has a massive 57.5 projected combined total. The touchdown equity is off the charts for Henry. The Chiefs have also been a weak defense and one that can be run on. The only worry would be if the Titans fall behind but he’s been seeing more targets than ever this year so expect the big dog to keep on eating.
Darrell Henderson (LAR) – $6,600 v DET
Darrell Henderson is a workhorse back. Despite anyone’s prior beliefs, Henderson is going to continue to be a workhorse for as long as he can stay healthy. In his healthy games, he has an 80.1% snap share which is second in the NFL behind only Najee Harris. Henderson has also seen at least 16 touches in every healthy game this season. He’s turned that into at least 15.7 DraftKings points in every single healthy game as well. A workload like that in an offense like the Los Angeles Rams provides such a high weekly floor. The matchup this week against the Detroit Lions is as good as it gets. The Lions are allowing the most DraftKings points to running backs so far this year. The combined total is at 50.5 currently with the Rams sporting a whopping 33.5 implied total. Henderson checks basically every box you’d want in a running back and is still far too cheap.
Darrell Henderson's utilization over the last three games is to the moon and now he gets to play the Lions.
Oh boy.🥳🎉 pic.twitter.com/1thpl15XxU
— Context Matters (@dwainmcfarland) October 21, 2021
Darrel Williams (KC) – $5,800 @ TEN
Darrel Williams got a nice price jump this week jumping up to $900. It’s deservedly so after he saw 21 carries and three receptions last week. Williams turned those touches into 89 total yards and two scores good for 23.9 DraftKings points. There were questions heading into the week on whether he would be the workhorse or if Jerick McKinnon would eat into his snap and touch share. Those concerns were put to rest when Williams out-snapped McKinnon 72% to 28% and out-touched him 24 to four. More of the same should be in store this week. As previously mentioned, this game is the best fantasy environment of the week. As long as Williams’s snap and touch share stay the same, he’s in a great spot to produce another great game in this one.
Others to Consider: Joe Mixon (CIN) – $6,500 @ BAL, D’Andre Swift (DET) – 6,000 @ LAR, Mike Davis (ATL) – $5,200 @ MIA, Chuba Hubbard (CAR) – $6,100 @ NYG
Cooper Kupp (LAR) – $8,400 v DET
Cooper Kupp is enjoying a season in which he’s cementing his name among the best wide receivers in the NFL. He’s currently leading the NFL in targets and receptions with 68 and 46 respectively, and his 34.2% target share is third in the league. Kupp has scored less than 26.8 DraftKings points only twice in six games. He’s seen double-digit targets in all six games. Kupp’s 27 DraftKings points per game are leading all wide receivers this season. As previously mentioned, this matchup against the Lions is amazing. While the Lions haven’t allowed a ton of DraftKings points to wide receivers so far, that’s simply because they have been getting run all over. Digging a little deeper, the Lions are the worst passing defense in the NFL in terms of efficiency while the Rams are the best passing offense. If the Rams choose to go pass-heavy this week, Kupp could go nuclear.
Chris Godwin (TB) – $5,900 v CHI
Playing any of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receivers each week feels like pulling a slot machine and hoping the correct one hits. It makes it much easier when one of them is out and that’s the situation this week as Antonio Brown has already been ruled out. Rob Gronkowski is also out again so the target share should get much more condensed this week. Chris Godwin hasn’t been a world-beater by any means but he’s had a solid year so far. He’s seen at least five targets in all six games and has seen double-digit targets in two games. Godwin has scored double-digit DraftKings points in four games and his worst game of the year was still 8.5 points. Looking a bit deeper, his 90% snap share is eighth among all wide receivers so far. Godwin currently leads the NFL in both routes run and red zone targets. The Buccaneers have also run the most pass plays per game this season. The matchup against the Chicago Bears isn’t anything special but not anything to run from either. The combined total currently sits at 47.5 and the Buccaneers are 11.5-point favorites. All of this combined makes it wheels up for Godwin this week at the cheapest price he’s been all season.
Chris Godwin is only $5,900 on DraftKings.
That's WR15 on the slate.
Antonio Brown has been ruled OUT.
Great value here.
— Frank Ammirante (@FAmmiranteTFJ) October 22, 2021
Rashod Bateman (BAL) – $3,400 v CIN
Rashod Bateman is this week’s premier punt-play at wide receiver. He’s almost assuredly going to be the most popular cheap wide receiver, especially in cash game lineups. It makes sense when he’s a first-round talent that immediately stepped in and saw six targets in his first game as a pro. That was tied for most on the Ravens last week. Bateman played 65% of the snaps and as long as he stays healthy, that number should increase this week. The Cincinnati Bengals have been much better on defense this year but are still not a unit that needs to be avoided. The biggest worry is that both of these teams have been slower-paced this year. Both have played a bit faster lately so that’s encouraging. The combined total of this matchup currently sits at 46 points. There’s certainly a risk, but there’s always a risk with such a cheap wide receiver. In the end, the price is just too good compared to the possible risk and Bateman looks like the best option on the week when saving some money.
Others to Consider: Davante Adams (GB) – $8,900 v WAS, Brandin Cooks (HOU) – $6,000 @ ARI, A.J. Brown (TEN) – $6,300 v KC, Calvin Ridley (ATL) – $6,600 @ MIA, Tee Higgins (CIN) – $4,900 @ BAL
Darren Waller (LV) – $6,700 v PHI
Darren Waller is on a bit of a cold streak ever since that 19-target opening week. Since then he’s had exactly four or five receptions in every game. He’s still had at least double-digit DraftKings points in all but one game so far. The other silver lining is that his price has continued to drop to the point where he now looks like a good value. As mentioned before, this matchup is sneaky good and a pace-up spot for the Raiders. The Eagles are also not very good at defending opposing tight ends for what it’s worth. The game is at home, in a dome, and with a nice combined total. The toughest part about playing Waller this week is finding the salary to do so. There are definitely salary-saving options but lineups with Waller in them don’t feel as good in cash game builds right now. Even if you don’t play Waller in your cash game lineups, you should definitely have some exposure in GPPs, especially when stacking with Derek Carr.
Sure was a lot cooler when Darren Waller was averaging 19 targets per game
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) October 18, 2021
Ricky Seals-Jones (WFT) – $3,700 @ GB
Guess who’s back? Back again. Ricky Seals-Jones is back. Tell a friend. Bad 1990’s references aside, Seals-Jones has stepped into an elite tight end role and produced. He’s played 99% and 100% of the snaps the past two weeks. In that span, Seals-Jones has seen 15 targets and turned them into nine receptions for 99 yards and a score. Not even Travis Kelce is seeing that type of snap share. Seals-Jones is also running routes on most of the dropbacks as well. That combination is everything that is hoped for when searching for a tight end. The matchup this week against the Green Bay Packers is nothing to be scared of. The combined total of this game is currently 47.5. The Washington Football Team are currently eight-point underdogs so the game script should be in Seals-Jones’ favor in this one. He saw a price boost this week but he’s still nowhere near the price he should be. Seals-Jones still looks like the best value option at tight end for at least another week.
Others to Consider: Travis Kelce (KC) – $7,600 @ TEN, Mark Andrews (BAL) – $6,000 v CIN, Dallas Goedert (PHI) – $4,600 @ LV
In terms of choosing a defense/special team, it’s the last spot I fill in every week. It’s pretty random but there are a few areas to gain an advantage. I look to target the heavily favored teams as they usually are playing with a lead. This forces their opponent to throw it more often which can help lead to extra sacks and turnovers and hopefully a touchdown. Another aspect to target is turnover and sack-prone quarterbacks. My advice is to fill out the rest of your lineup first and then pick your favorite D/ST out of the remaining money.
My Tentative Cash Game Lineup
- QB – Derek Carr
- RB – Darrell Henderson
- RB – D’Andre Swift
- WR – Davante Adams
- WR – Brandin Cooks
- WR – Chris Godwin
- TE – Ricky Seals-Jones
- Flex – Tee Higgins
- DST – Houston Texans
Make sure to tune in next week to see the results from my Week 7 DraftKings plays and to see the best picks for Week 8. Best of luck to everyone and let’s all enjoy some football and win some money!
Main Photo: Embed from Getty Images