It’s down to the four best teams in the NFL this season. One of my favorite aspects of fantasy football has become playing on DraftKings. Every week is like a new puzzle to figure out. Whether you are more of a cash game player or a tournament player, each presents a unique challenge. Let’s take a look at my favorite Conference Championship DraftKings plays.
DraftKings Plays for the Conference Championship
Divisional Round Recap
It’s always good to be completely transparent and demonstrate accountability. That’s what I like to do with everything I do and that goes for fantasy football as well. Whether it’s bold takes or DraftKings recommendations, I always like to keep track of wins and losses. It’s not only good for the readers to know, but also helps me learn from mistakes moving forward.
For full transparency each week I'll recap my suggested #DraftKings plays to see if they hit the 2.5x we generally shoot for each week!#FantasyFootball#Fantasy#FantasyFootballAdvice#NFL#NFLTwitter#DFS@BlazedRTs@MyFantasyLeague
— Rob Norton (@norton0723) January 19, 2021
Looking back at the divisional round, it was better again. This week 63.3% of my recommendations hit the 2.5x value we look for in cash game lineups. This time the quarterback and tight end groups led the way tied at an 83.3% success rate. Meanwhile, the wide receiver and running back groups brought up the rear tied at a 50% success rate. For me personally, it was a nice bounce back. We’ll look to keep the momentum going with the picks and get back into profit with the Conference Championships DraftKings plays.
- Divisional Round – $214 → $118 ($96 LOSS)
- Playoff Total – $378 → $252 ($126 LOSS)
- Regular Season Total – $6,194 → $4,730 ($1,464 LOSS)
- Grand Total – $6,572 → $4,982 ($1,590 LOSS)
Conference Championships DraftKings Plays
Josh Allen (BUF) – $6,900 @ KC
Josh Allen is coming off his worst fantasy performance of the season last week and, in turn, his salary is now sitting at the second-lowest price of the season. This is still the same Josh Allen that was the QB1 overall on the season. He’s still averaging 26.9 DraftKings points per game, including playoffs. This week’s matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs is a great one. The Chiefs are allowing the sixth-most DraftKings points to quarterbacks this season. The Buffalo Bills have turned this offense completely into the Josh Allen show at this point. With Zack Moss out for the rest of the playoffs, the Bills have almost completely abandoned the running game. Add in that game script is likely to be in favor of Allen throwing more and he should drop back more than ever in this one. This game has a very high O/U at 54 points right now so should it become a shootout, as expected, it’s extremely likely that Josh Allen is getting it done with his arm and/or his legs.
Most QB rushing TDs in last 2 seasons
💪 Josh Allen – 18 pic.twitter.com/A6o9i37fTz
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) January 22, 2021
Others to Consider: Aaron Rodgers (GB) – $6,500 v TB
Leonard Fournette (TB) – $5,300 @ GB
As expected, Leonard Fournette is the leading DraftKings point scorer among all running backs in the playoffs. He’s now scored 21.7 and 23.2 in the last two games, respectively. Fournette has taken advantage of Ronald Jones dealing with injuries and has handled at least 22 touches in both games. The most encouraging part is that he still handled a full workload despite Jones return last week in which he had 13 carries as well. Fournette is also heavily involved in the passing game as he’s seen ten targets over the last two games hauling in nine of them for 83 yards and a score. This usage in the passing game raises his floor tremendously especially in a game where they aren’t favored and therefore game script could force them to play from behind more often. If that’s the case, Fournette should be the one seeing most of those snaps. The running back position is brutal this week and Fournette offers the highest floor among the lower-priced running backs on this slate.
Davante Adams (GB) – $8,000 v TB
Davante Adams finished as the WR1 overall in DraftKings points per game this season with 26.8 per game. He’s coming off a 21.6 DraftKings points performance against Jalen Ramsey and the Los Angeles Rams. This week it gets much easier against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass-funnel defense. The Buccaneers are stout against the run but tend to allow plenty of production through the air. Adams has scored double-digit DraftKings points in 13 straight games now and that streak seems likely to continue this weekend.
Davante Adams this season:
🎯 156 targets
🎯 1 drop
WR1 🥇 😤 pic.twitter.com/b3ks3eBODh
— PFF (@PFF) January 22, 2021
Stefon Diggs (BUF) – $7,000 @ KC
Stefon Diggs is the only player with a longer double-digit scoring streak than Adams. He’s now up to 19 straight games scoring double-digit DraftKings points. Diggs has seen at least six targets in all 19 games this season as well. To say his first season as the main weapon for Josh Allen has gone well would be an understatement. On the season he’s averaged 22.5 DraftKings points per game. This week’s matchup against the Chiefs doesn’t look good on paper. Kansas City has allowed the second fewest DraftKings points per game to wide receivers this season. However, as mentioned earlier, the projected game script looks favorable for the Bills. Should the Bills get into a competitive shootout, Diggs should see heavy volume and return great value this weekend.
Travis Kelce (KC) – $8,000 v BUF
The tight end position is very interesting this week in that Travis Kelce costs more than double the next closest tight end. Even still, he’s worth paying up for. The biggest decision that will likely need to be made is whether to play all three elite wide receivers or whether to substitute one of them out and play Kelce instead. Both lineup builds are viable and will ultimately depend on the rest of the players and how much money is available. That being said, Kelce is playing like a man possessed right now. He now has five straight games of at least 22.8 DraftKings points. He’s also reached that mark in eight of his last nine games. The Bills have allowed the fourth-most DraftKings points to tight ends this season and as mentioned before, this game has a close spread and a high O/U (54) which should be a good recipe for a back and forth shootout. Should that be the case, Kelce will likely be a main reason for that.
Travis Kelce made this DB look silly 😳
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) January 17, 2021
Others to Consider: Robert Tonyan (GB) – $3,600 v TB
In terms of choosing a defense/special teams, it’s the last spot I fill in every week. It’s pretty random but there are a few areas to gain an advantage. I look to target the heavily favorited teams as they usually are playing with a lead. This forces their opponent to throw it more often which can help lead to extra sacks and turnovers and hopefully a touchdown. Another aspect to target is turnover and sack-prone quarterbacks. With that being said, my advice is to fill out the rest of your lineup first and then pick your favorite D/ST out of the remaining money.
My Tentative Cash Game Lineup
- QB – Josh Allen
- RB – Leonard Fournette
- RB – Clyde Edwards-Helaire
- WR – Davante Adams
- WR – Stefon Diggs
- WR – Tyreek Hill
- TE – Robert Tonyan
- Flex – John Brown
- DST – Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Make sure to tune in next week to see the results from my Conference Championship DraftKings plays and to see the best picks for the Superbowl slate. Best of luck to everyone and let’s all enjoy some football and win some money!
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