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Oklahoma Sooners forward Tae Davis (13) shoots over Arkansas Razorbacks forward Malique Ewin (12) during the second half at Bridgestone Arena.

Oklahoma Vs West Virginia: Prediction, Preview, Odds

Sunday evening on the college hardwood, and we will see the Oklahoma Sooners grapple with the West Virginia Mountaineers at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. This is the Finals of the Crown Tournament. Oklahoma topped the Colorado Buffaloes 90-86 in OT in the quarterfinals, and then yesterday, they took out the Baylor Bears by a score of 82-69. The Sooners are now 21-15 on the year. West Virginia took down the Stanford Cardinals 82-77 in OT in the quarterfinals, and then they blasted the Creighton Bluejays 87-70 yesterday. The Mountaineers are now at 20-14 on the year. Which team will walk away with the Title?

Oklahoma Vs West Virginia: Prediction, Preview, Odds

Odds: Oklahoma -3.5; Over/Under 137

Oklahoma Sooners

Oklahoma enters the Crown Tournament Final at 21–15 after two strong wins in two days. The Sooners first survived a 90–86 overtime battle with Colorado, then delivered one of their most complete efforts of the season in an 82–69 win over Baylor. Oklahoma averages 82.9 points, shoots 46.7%, and leans on Nijel Pack, who leads with 16.6 points. Xzayvier Brown adds scoring and pace, while Tae Davis and Derrion Reid provide size and versatility. The Sooners rebound well, averaging 35.8 boards per game, and shoot 36.4% from three, giving them strong spacing. Their offense thrives when they push tempo and attack early.

Pack gives Oklahoma a reliable scoring presence who can create separation. Brown brings speed and shot‑making, while Davis adds interior strength. Reid contributes as a versatile forward who can defend multiple positions. Oklahoma’s ability to generate clean looks from deep has fueled its postseason surge. Turnovers remain low at 9.9 per game, one of the best marks in the country. Their challenge will be to handle West Virginia’s physical defense and prevent long scoring droughts. If the Sooners stay patient and avoid rushed possessions, they can keep pressure on throughout the night.

For Oklahoma to win the title, they must control tempo and avoid getting stuck in half‑court battles. West Virginia prefers slower possessions, so Oklahoma must push the pace whenever opportunities appear. The Sooners also need to win the rebounding battle, as West Virginia attacks the glass with multiple players. Pack and Brown must guide the pace, while Davis must help contain West Virginia’s interior scoring. Oklahoma should also attack early in possessions, as West Virginia’s defense strengthens as the shot clock winds down. If the Sooners maintain offensive efficiency and avoid defensive lapses, they have a strong chance to claim the championship.

West Virginia Mountaineers

West Virginia enters the championship at 20–14 after two impressive wins. The Mountaineers first outlasted Stanford 82–77 in overtime, then delivered one of their best performances of the season in an 87–70 win over Creighton. West Virginia averages 69.6 points, shoots 44.1%, and relies on Honor Huff, who leads with 16.0 points. Brenen Lorient adds interior scoring and rebounding, while Treysen Eaglestaff and Chance Moore provide perimeter balance and length. The Mountaineers defend extremely well, allowing just 65.1 points, ranking among the best in the field. Their ability to slow tempo and force opponents into contested shots has fueled their postseason surge.

Huff gives West Virginia a steady scoring option who can create off the dribble. Lorient provides physicality inside, while Eaglestaff adds rebounding and defensive versatility. Moore contributes as a wing who can stretch the floor and defend multiple positions. West Virginia shoots 32.3% from three, but they compensate with strong interior finishing and steady free‑throw creation. Turnovers remain manageable at 11.2 per game, and their defensive rotations have tightened during the tournament. Their challenge will be matching Oklahoma’s pace without losing defensive structure. If West Virginia continues to control possessions, they can dictate stretches of this matchup.

For West Virginia to win the title, they must limit Oklahoma’s perimeter rhythm and force the Sooners into contested jumpers. Oklahoma shoots well from deep, so West Virginia must close out aggressively and avoid giving up early‑clock threes. The Mountaineers also need to control tempo, as Oklahoma prefers faster possessions. Huff must guide the pace, while Lorient and Eaglestaff must help protect the paint. West Virginia should also attack the rim, as Oklahoma can struggle with interior defense. If the Mountaineers maintain their defensive discipline and avoid foul trouble, they have a strong path to the championship.

Predictions

West Virginia enters this final with a defensive presence that can disrupt Oklahoma’s rhythm for long stretches. Their ability to slow tempo and force opponents into uncomfortable possessions has been a defining trait throughout the tournament. Oklahoma has played well, but West Virginia’s physical style often turns games into grind‑heavy battles. That type of environment favors the underdog, especially one that thrives in low‑possession matchups. Expect the Mountaineers to dictate pace early and prevent Oklahoma from settling in. With the game likely to tighten late, the points become valuable. West Virginia +3.5 aligns with the projected style and expected competitiveness of this championship matchup.

The overall trend is lower because both teams have shown a willingness to slow things down when the stakes rise. Oklahoma can score, but they’ve also played extended stretches of half‑court basketball in this tournament. West Virginia naturally drags opponents into longer possessions, reducing transition scoring and limiting quick bursts. That combination points toward a game where each side must work deep into the shot clock. Expect defensive stretches, selective shot‑making, and limited second‑chance opportunities. With both teams capable of controlling tempo, Under 137.5 fits the most likely rhythm.

This matchup should feature long possessions and stretches where neither team finds it easy to score. West Virginia’s defensive pressure will challenge Oklahoma’s spacing, while Oklahoma’s physicality will force West Virginia to stay patient. Those factors naturally compress scoring opportunities and create a more methodical pace. Expect a competitive game that leans toward defensive execution rather than offensive fireworks. The Mountaineers’ ability to keep games close gives them value with the points, while the overall tempo supports a lower total. Together, West Virginia +3.5 and Under 137.5 match the expected shape of this championship showdown.

Final Predictions: West Virginia & Under 137.5

Featured Image: Steve Roberts-Imagn Images

About David Hess

David Hess is a basketball writer for LWOS with a primary focus on college hoops and WNBA, specializing in prediction‑based analysis and matchup breakdowns. With more than 25 years of handicapping experience and a long track record covering CBB at a high level, he brings a sharp analytical approach, clear communication, and a deep understanding of team tendencies, metrics, and situational angles. His work blends data, intuition, and experience to deliver confident, well‑reasoned college basketball predictions throughout the season.