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Fantasy Profile: Justin Upton, OF, San Diego Padres

Justin Upton has established himself as one of the elite outfielders in baseball. Can he continue doing so while playing for the Padres?

Welcome back to the 2015 Last Word on Fantasy Baseball Guide.  Over the next several months we will be releasing player profiles, projections, position rankings, and a number of other articles that will help you dominate your fantasy league this season. Whether you play rotisserie or head-to-head; whether you have a standard draft, a snake or an auction league, and whether its keeper league or a one-year deal; we have all the fantasy information you need.

For the rest of our fantasy baseball profiles and articles, please check out our Fantasy Baseball Guide Page.

FANTASY PROFILE: Justin Upton, OF, San Diego Padres

LWOS Ranking 13, Captain’s Value: $14.92

Over the last several years, Justin Upton has established himself as one of the elite outfielders in baseball. While he hasn’t stolen as many bases as he did in the past, he can has provided strong totals in all other categories.

One concern that may be out there is that his HR totals may decrease due to his trade to the San Diego Padres and having to play his home games at Petco Park. This concern should be mitigated by the fact that Upton has demonstrated the ability to hit well at this stadium. In 192 career PA, Upton has hit .291 with 10 HR at Petco Park.

Another counter-argument for Upton’s value would be that the number of runs scored has decreased over the last few seasons. This stat should rebound in 2015 as Upton moves from a Braves team that struggled to score runs to a Padres team that is on track to have an improved offense this season.

On the surface, it may appear that a lot of things have changed as it regards the fantasy value of Upton. However, he should continue to produce very strong numbers and be an early round pick this season.

Year Team POS G PA AB R HR RBI SB BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
2011 ARI OF 159 674 592 105 31 88 21 59 126 0.289 0.369 0.529 0.898
2012 ARI OF 150 628 554 107 17 67 18 63 121 0.280 0.355 0.430 0.785
2013 ATL OF 149 642 558 94 27 70 8 75 161 0.263 0.354 0.464 0.818
2014 ATL OF 154 640 566 77 29 102 8 60 171 0.270 0.342 0.491 0.833
2015 Proj SDP OF 640 562 89 27 89 8 67 163 0.272 0.351 0.483 0.835

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