Welcome back to the 2015 Last Word on Fantasy Baseball Guide. Over the next several months we will be releasing player profiles, projections, position rankings, and a number of other articles that will help you dominate your fantasy league this season. Whether you play rotisserie or head-to-head; whether you have a standard draft, a snake or an auction league, and whether its keeper league or a one-year deal; we have all the fantasy information you need.
For the rest of our fantasy baseball profiles and articles, please check out our Fantasy Baseball Guide Page.
FANTASY PROFILE: CHRIS DAVIS, 3B, BALTIMORE ORIOLES
LWOS Ranking: 7, Captain’s Value: $13.91
Which Chris Davis will fantasy owners get in 2015? The most prolific power hitter in all of baseball or the guy who hit .196 with half the HR he had in 2013? Well, let’s start by stating the obvious – his 2013 campaign was a fluke and will never happen again. Davis posted an ISO of .348 (.250 being excellent) and a HR/FB ratio of 29.6% (20% being excellent). In fact, Davis’ ISO was 60 points higher than Miguel Cabrera, who finished second in the category. These marks are all unsustainable and cannot be repeated. His 2014 season, however, was on the opposite end of the spectrum. His Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP) at .242 and ISO of .209 were both well below league average. This led to the drop off in Davis’ AVG and HR. His offensive numbers were so unsustainably bad last season that they can only go up (Yes, I’m serious). Davis has increased fantasy value this season as he is now eligible at a top heavy 3B position. His ADP of 82.5 could make him a good draft day bargain.
2015 may be a promising season for Davis if he can increase his contact rate and decrease his strikeout rate. As bad as he was in 2014, Davis still managed to hit 26 HR with 72 RBI in 127 games. Davis has unquestioned power, but the question is if he can be consistent enough to be fantasy relevant. I expect him to hit 35 HR and have 95 RBI, but owners need to realize that drafting Davis is a risk and he could end up being a bust.
| Year | Team | POS | G | PA | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | BB | SO | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
| 2011 | BAL | 1B | 31 | 129 | 123 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 0.276 | 0.310 | 0.398 | 0.708 |
| 2011 | TEX | 1B | 28 | 81 | 76 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 0.250 | 0.296 | 0.408 | 0.704 |
| 2011 | BAL | 1B | 31 | 129 | 123 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 0.276 | 0.310 | 0.398 | 0.708 |
| 2011 | 2 TM | 1B | 59 | 210 | 199 | 25 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 11 | 63 | 0.266 | 0.305 | 0.402 | 0.707 |
| 2012 | BAL | 1B | 139 | 562 | 515 | 75 | 33 | 85 | 2 | 37 | 169 | 0.270 | 0.326 | 0.501 | 0.827 |
| 2013 | BAL | 1B | 160 | 673 | 584 | 103 | 53 | 138 | 4 | 72 | 199 | 0.286 | 0.370 | 0.634 | 1.004 |
| 2014 | BAL | 1B | 127 | 524 | 450 | 65 | 26 | 72 | 2 | 60 | 173 | 0.196 | 0.300 | 0.404 | 0.704 |
| 2015 Proj | BAL | 1B | 606 | 524 | 84 | 36 | 96 | 2 | 67 | 187 | 0.259 | 0.349 | 0.516 | 0.865 |
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