Welcome Back to The Sports Savant’s Weekly NFL Picks, Week 17 Edition!
It’s the final week of the NFL regular season and it’s been another very successful season of picks for The Sports Savant! Based on my current record to win, it looks like I will come up just short of last year’s impossible record of 180-87 through the Superbowl, which bested every NFL expert published. It will take an unprecedented run through the next week and the playoffs to match the loss column from 2011 now that I have 85 losses on the year as of Week 16.
What has been an big plus this year over last is my winning record against the spread, like I did last year, but the real surprise has been my scorching hot success against the over/under, which I finished with a losing record in 2011. This year if you had put money on all my picks, you made more money than last year’s picks with my increased record in the spread and over/under picks.
Before we look at my picks for Week 17, let’s take a look at how last weeks picks shaped up and my overall records for the 2012 NFL season…
*WEEK 16 RESULTS*
Winner: 11-5
Winner w/ Spread: 9-6-1
Over/Under: 10-6
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Trifecta: 6
Strikeouts: 1
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 2 (Jacksonville, Washington)
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 0
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*2012 Overall Record*
Winner: 154-85-1 (.644)
Winner w/ Spread: 121-113-6 (.517)
Over/Under: 124-109-7 (.532)
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Trifecta: 62
Strikeouts: 42
Perfect Team Score Predictions: 28 [Week 1]: New England [Week 2]: Indianapolis, San Francisco [Week 3]: Chicago, Washington, New York(A) [Week 4]: Cleveland, Philadelphia [Week 5]: Green Bay, Seattle, San Diego [Week 7]: St. Louis, Tampa Bay [Week 9]: Miami, Tennessee, Green Bay, Arizona [Week 11]: Detroit, Carolina, Tampa Bay, Indianapolis
[Week 12]: San Francisco [Week 13]:Chicago, Houston [Week 14]: Detroit [Week 15]: Miami
[Week 16]: Jacksonville, Washington
Perfect Game Score Predictions: 2 [Week 9]: Arizona @ Green Bay [Week 11]: Carolina v. Tampa Bay
NOTE: The team with a negative number in parenthesis “(-3)” next to their name is the favorite to win the matchup and the number represents how many points the favorite has to score more than the underdog to count as a winning bet. The over/under for the game is represented by a number in parenthesis with the letters o and u “(o/u 46)”. The number represents the amount of points you are wagering whether or not the two team’s combined score will be in excess of or short of. Official betting lines courtesy of www.footballlocks.comDon’t forget to visit therealsportssavant.blogspot.com to check my game picks or right here on lastwordonsports.com at The Sports Savant channel. And now for my Week 17, NFL picks…New York(A) @ Buffalo(-3.5) (o/u 39)
Savant Spread Pick: Buffalo and the points to win ~ 23-13
Over/Under Pick: UnderMiami @ New England(-10) (o/u 46)
Savant Spread Pick: New England and the points to win ~ 27-17
Over/Under Pick: Under
Baltimore @ Cincinnati(-2.5) (o/u 41)
Savant Spread Pick: Cincinnati and the points to win ~ 23-20
Over/Under Pick: Over
Cleveland @ Pittsburgh(-10) (o/u 34.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Pittsburgh and the points to win ~ 23-10
Over/Under Pick: Under
Indianapolis v. Houston(-7) (o/u 46.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Indianapolis with the points;Houston to win ~ 23-17
Over/Under Pick: Under
Jacksonville @ Tennessee(-4) (o/u 42)
Savant Spread Pick: Jacksonville to win ~ 20-17
Over/Under Pick: Under
Philadelphia @ New York(N)(-7.5) (o/u 46)
Savant Spread Pick: New York and the points to win ~ 27-17
Over/Under Pick: Under
Dallas @ Washington(-3) (o/u 48.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Washington and the points to win ~ 27-24
Over/Under Pick: Over
Detroit v. Chicago(-3) (o/u 44.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Chicago and the points to win ~ 21-16
Over/Under Pick: Under
Minnesota v. Green Bay(-3) (o/u 44.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Minnesota to win ~ 26-21
Over/Under Pick: Over
Tampa Bay @ Atlanta(-5) (o/u 45.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Atlanta and the points to win ~ 20-16
Over/Under Pick: Under
Carolina @ New Orleans(-5) (o/u 54)
Savant Spread Pick: New Orleans and the points to win ~ 28-20
Over/Under Pick: Under
Kansas City @ Denver(-16) (o/u 42)
Savant Spread Pick: Kansas City with the points; Denver to win ~ 27-13
Over/Under Pick: Under
Oakland @ San Diego(-9.5) (o/u 39.5)
Savant Spread Pick: Oakland with the points; San Diego to win ~ 21-17
Over/Under Pick: Under
Arizona @ San Francisco(-16.5) (o/u 39)
Savant Spread Pick: San Francisco and the points to win ~ 31-10
Over/Under Pick: Over
St. Louis @ Seattle(-11) (o/u 41)
Savant Spread Pick: Seattle and the points to win ~ 27-13
Over/Under Pick: Under
photo credit: Matthew Straubmuller via photopin cc
