The NFL season is finally here. The long wait is over and football is back. With that being said, that also means fantasy football drafts have been concluded and teams have been set. Fantasy managers will either love their team or hate them. The season is still young and there’s plenty of time to adjust. The easiest way to change your roster is simply through trades with your league mates. While trades should make sense for both teams, there are some players that a savvy fantasy football owner should be looking to buy, and others they should be looking to sell.
If Player A is thin at wide receiver, yet has four startable running backs, then they should find a team lacking in the running back department. That’s where the negotiations should start. If players want to branch out and start adding other players, fine, but igniting the conversation to generally improve both teams should be the main idea. In short, if you go into a trade offer trying to think what’s best for both squads, it’ll be an easier process and more trades will get accepted. More importantly, your league mates will want to trade with you and it’ll help upgrade your roster.
Read More: Week 1 Running Back Rankings
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Fantasy Football Week 1 Buy and Sell Targets
Players to Buy
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB: Detroit Lions)
The last 5 RBs to be drafted Top 12 and their rookie year fantasy finish
2018 Saquon Barkley (RB2)
2017 Christian McCaffrey (RB11)
2017 Leonard Fournette (RB8)
2016 Ezekiel Elliott (RB2)
2015 Todd Gurley (RB7)This is a Bijan and Jahmyr Gibbs tweet
— Alex Caruso (@AlexCaruso) July 31, 2023
It’s simple. Running backs drafted in the top 12 during the NFL draft have just produced. Bijan Robinson is an obvious superstar in the making, but not everyone is sold on Jahmyr Gibbs quite yet. After Thursday night, everyone will be wishing they selected him for their squads. Gibbs is a great athlete who’ll be utilized in many ways for the Lions. He plays a similar style to Alvin Kamara and will be used as such. Amon-Ra St. Brown is the only proven pass catcher on the roster, so Gibbs could get a plethora of targets to start his career – especially against a high-scoring Kansas City Chiefs team. The train is about to leave the station, better hop on while you still can.
Zay Flowers (WR: Baltimore Ravens)
The Baltimore Ravens have been preaching all offseason on how they want to pass the ball more. Lamar Jackson got his wish and also got some upgrades at the wide receiver position. They signed Odell Beckham Jr. and drafted Zay Flowers in the first round. Rashod Bateman is also coming back from an injury as well. However, Beckham is a shell of his former self and Bateman has struggled to stay on the field. It’s a matter of time before Flowers is the top wide receiver and leading the way with Mark Andrews. Rookie fever is here and Zay Flowers is ready to blossom onto your lineups.
Darren Waller (TE: New York Giants)
Tight ends that have a chance at being the top target on their respective teams generally become top-12 fantasy options. Reviewing the state of the New York Giants wide receiver core, it’s almost a no-brainer Darren Waller will be a highly targeted player. The tight end position can be a huge advantage if you have one of the top-tier players on your roster. Waller has the upside to dethrone Travis Kelce as the TE1 this season. If there is one takeaway from this fantasy football buy sell article, it’s that you should be trying to get Darren Waller.
Bonus Buy – Marvin Mims (WR: Denver Broncos)
Marvin Mims is going to open the season as a starter for Denver after a rocky offseason for that position group. There's a chance if he develops, he ends it established as the best WR on the roster.
Some #ReceptionPerception positive Indicators on Mims…
– 72.2% success rate… pic.twitter.com/VEmb6BdZQB
— Matt Harmon (@MattHarmon_BYB) August 28, 2023
Another rookie, why not? Most fantasy football players already know the good and bad players of the league, but not all know about the rookies. Marvin Mims didn’t get hyped like Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Quentin Johnston, or even Zay Flowers, but he was one of the better wide receivers in the draft class nonetheless. Starting off, Mims was buried on the depth chart behind Courtland Sutton, Tim Patrick, and Jerry Jeudy. Now due to injuries, Mims finds himself in a starting role and a chance to showcase his talents. He is the type of receiver to produce big numbers within Sean Payton’s offense. This is more of a shot in the dark, but if he can start the season off hot while his teammates are sidelined with an injury, Mims might not leave the starting lineup.
Players to Sell
Unfortunately, when there are players to buy in fantasy football, there are players to sell. The NFL season is full of unknowns and uncertainties. Just never know who will break out or fall flat and disappoint. Yet, there are red flags and hints of potential busts to be wary of. A few of those players are:
Deon Jackson (RB: Indianapolis Colts)
Steichen: Colts to deploy running back by committee without Jonathan Taylor.
— Underdog NFL (@Underdog__NFL) September 4, 2023
Once Jim Irsay and the Colts agreed to trade Jonathan Taylor, the value of the other running backs shot up. The main beneficiary was Deon Jackson along with rookie Evan Hull as both climbed up draft boards. Jackson was named the starter, but in this particular situation, that doesn’t amount to much. The Colts are destined for a running back by committee approach and Jackson won’t handle a “workhorse” role. On top of sharing touches, Jackson will have quarterback Anthony Richardson stealing rushing attempts and goal-line carries. The volume won’t be there for Deon Jackson as a worthy starter and you should trade him while you can. Either way, he’s likely got limited time on rosters with Jonathan Taylor potentially coming back after week four. Don’t get stuck with a roster clogger and see if the Taylor owner wants his “handcuff” today.
Terry McLaurin (WR: Washington Commanders)
Not only is Terry McLaurin dealing with a toe injury, but he’ll be going through growing pains with a new offensive coordinator and starting quarterback. To make things worse, McLaurin has the seventh toughest strength of schedule for fantasy wide receivers too. McLaurin’s been a consistent fantasy receiver, with four straight top-30 WR seasons in PPR formats. So, you should get solid trade compensation off name recognition alone. Try to package him with another player and tier up.
Evan Engram (TE: Jacksonville Jaguars)
Evan Engram is coming off a great season and even earned a payday, but this season things won’t come as easy. The Jacksonville Jaguars added Calvin Ridley to their receiver core and will demand a large number of targets. Evan Engram was already the third option last season and had a low 17.07% target share. To make things worse, Engram has the third toughest tight-end schedule in the league. Hard matchups and adding target competition don’t translate to fantasy success. Flip last year’s TE5 for another player with a higher upside.
Bonus Sell – Jamaal Williams (RB: New Orleans Saints)
Similar to Deon Jackson, Jamaal Williams is a player “filling” in while the top dog sits out. Alvin Kamara will be out the first three weeks due to suspension and will resume his starting role when he returns. Williams also has to compete with rookie Kendre Miller who could pose a potential problem for touches too. Miller has been dealing with a slew of injuries, so there’s been little talk about his role to start the season. Regardless, outside of last season where Williams led the NFL in rushing touchdowns, he hasn’t been a surefire weekly starter in fantasy football. Chances are Williams will be too touchdown-dependent week to week to be a reliable starter and it’ll only get tougher when the backfield is at full strength. Any player with a defined role should be a better option in season-long formats.
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