Every season, there are a few sports betting lines that are set low. Whether it’s because Vegas knows something that the rest of America doesn’t, or that they just made a mistake is up for debate. Regardless, these three lines are currently too low and are sports betting picks to hit the over.
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Three Sports Betting Picks That Will Hit the Over
Pittsburgh Steelers Win Total
The Steelers are fresh off of a 9-8 season where they lost their DPOY T.J. Watt, had their rookie quarterback thrown into the fire, and looked like a team in disarray. That worst-case scenario had them at nine wins, and now the line is set at [metabet_core_dynamic_odds market=”fbp/nfl_season_wins” query=”fbp/pittsburgh_steelers” site_id=”lastwordonsports”] ? What is Vegas thinking here? Pittsburgh crushed their draft, and Pickett is entering year two in the perfect environment to develop into a solid starting quarterback.
Their schedule is easier, their superstars are healthy and they’ve added all sorts of new talent to the roster. George Pickens is projected to take a huge step forward, Diontae Johnson already has a Pro Bowl under his belt and this offense should be scary. If the defense is even close to as effective as they were in 2022, then this will be one of the easier sports betting picks in 2023.
Lamar Jackson Passing Touchdowns
Everyone loves to dog on Jackson for his passing ability. Even in Greg Roman’s ancient offense, Lamar Jackson has had 17-game touchdown paces of 41 (MVP), 29, 23, and 24. His best receiver last year was his tight end, and now he has three first-round wide receivers at different stages of their careers. The line is set at [metabet_core_dynamic_odds market=”fbp/nfl_season_passing_touchdowns” query=”nfl/lamar_jackson/player_89329″ site_id=”lastwordonsports”] which seems to not account for a new OC, new weapons, and immaculate vibes around Baltimore.
Jackson is a talented passer who converts touchdowns at a high clip. Todd Monken is opening up the offense. Sports betting doesn’t have to be hard. Now that Jackson has a large contract he has no reason to hold out or nurse an injury more than required. If he plays 17 games, he’s going to crush this line. Even if he misses only one or two games, he will easily hit the over. Draft him in fantasy football, take the over, and enjoy watching one of the most fun players in football.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Total Receiving Yards
Patrick Mahomes is him. Every receiver around him is a good bet to hit their over because most of their sports betting lines are set around 600 yards. Valdes-Scantling’s receiving yards line is currently [metabet_core_dynamic_odds market=”fbp/nfl_season_receiving_yards” query=”nfl/marquez_valdes_scantling/player_89792″ site_id=”lastwordonsports”] which he already hit last year. He had 687 yards and was third on the team in receiving yards.
Now JuJu Smith-Schuster is gone and leaves behind 78 receptions and almost a thousand yards. Mahomes is the number one player heading into 2023 and isn’t going to take a step back, so a bump for MVS is more likely than anything else. Travis Kelce is still the number one target in the offense, but Valdes-Scantling could find himself on the better side of 800 yards at the season’s end. With the line as low as it is, this is probably the easiest sports betting pick in 2023.
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