Week 9 is here, which means it’s time to take a look at the best prop bets of the week. While most of the options on Underdog Fantasy could go either way, there are a few that stand out as easy choices that have a good shot at paying off.
Top Five Week 9 NFL Prop Bets
Dan Arnold: OVER 39.5 Yards
Hitting 40 or more receiving yards isn’t that hard when you’re the top option in a passing attack. Arnold has played four games with the Jacksonville Jaguars and saw five or more targets in three of them. Last week, Arnold had eight receptions for 68 yards on an impressive 10 targets.
It stands to reason that, as he gets more familiar with the offense, Arnold will continue to be a featured part of the offense. This high target share combined with the underwhelming options throughout the options makes him a safe bet to hit the over. As an added bonus, the Jaguars go up against a high-powered Buffalo offense, so they’ll probably be throwing the ball a lot.
Dalton Schultz: OVER 44.5 Yards
Dak Prescott is back, and he loves targeting tight ends. Schultz has always been the top tight end in this attack, and he should see an even higher target share with Blake Jarwin done for the season. As an added bonus, Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb are both battling through injuries, which could lead to even more work for Schultz.
AJ Dillon: OVER 43.5 Rush Yards
Even if Aaron Rodgers was healthy, AJ Dillon would have a good shot at hitting the over this week. Head coach Matt LaFleur enjoys using the 1-2 punch of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon, as Dillon has recorded double-digit carries in three of the past six games. However, with Rodgers out, the Packers will likely turn to the run game to protect Jordan Love. With Kansas City having the worst run defense in the league, Dillon appears to be a lock to hit the over.
Deebo Samuel: UNDER 73.5 Receiving Yards
Deebo Samuel has been one of the biggest breakout stars in 2021. However, he’ll have a tough time hitting 74 or more receiving yards in this one. For one, the wide receiver is battling injury and is a legitimate game-time decision. Even if he does play, George Kittle is also coming back, and the big tight end will eat into some of those targets.
Lastly, the 49ers are going up against the Arizona Cardinals, which means this one could get ugly, fast. If that happens, there’s a very real chance that Trey Lance takes over. Lance excels as a deep passer and runner, but isn’t the most accurate thrower in the world, which probably won’t help Samuel.
Marquise Brown: OVER 66.5 Receiving Yards
I don’t like taking the over this often, but the opportunity is just too good. Marquise Brown has transformed into a target hog this year, recording five or more looks in every single game and hitting 67 receiving yards in five out of seven contests. To make it even better, one of those sub-67 games came in Baltimore’s 34-6 slaughter of the Los Angeles Chargers, where the game got out of hand incredibly early.
Basically, if this game is even remotely competitive, then Marquise Brown should be able to hit the over on this one. The Minnesota Vikings are a solid team with a good offense that should be able to keep this from being a blowout. Yes, Rashod Bateman and Mark Andrews will get their share of the targets, but Brown should be the top option in this passing attack.
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