Week 5 is in the books and we’re already in bye week season. One of my favorite parts of mid-season is the fantasy football frenzy. One of my favorite aspects of fantasy football has become playing on DraftKings. Every week is like a new puzzle to figure out. Whether you are more of a cash game player or a tournament player, each presents a unique challenge. Let’s take a look at my favorite Week 6 DraftKings plays.
Week 6 DraftKings Plays
Week 5 Recap
It’s always good to be completely transparent and demonstrate accountability. That’s what I like to do with everything I do and that goes for fantasy football as well. Whether it’s bold takes or DraftKings recommendations, I always like to keep track of wins and losses. It’s not only good for the readers to know, but also helps me learn from mistakes moving forward.
For full transparency each week I'll recap my suggested #DraftKings plays to see if they hit the 2.5x we generally shoot for each week in cash builds!#FantasyFootball#NFL#NFLTwitter#DFS@BlazedRTs@MyFantasyLeague@LastWordOnNFL
— ✴️®️ob Norton✴️ (@norton0723) October 11, 2021
Looking back at Week 5, it was slightly worse than Week 4. This week 56% of my recommendations hit the 2.5x value we look for in cash game lineups. This time the running back group led the way with an 85.7% success rate. Meanwhile, the wide receiver group brought up the rear this week with a 37.5% success rate. It was still another week in the profits. The cash build won all seven double-ups and went 17-9 in H2H’s. We’ll look to do even better with the picks and keep profiting in the Week 6 DraftKings plays.
- Week 5 – $341 → $495 ($154 PROFIT)
- Year Total – $1,473 → $2,101 ($628 PROFIT)
Week 6 DraftKings Plays
Lamar Jackson (BAL) – $7,400 v LAC
Luckily Lamar Jackson was on the Monday night game so the pricing already came out. Otherwise, he would likely have been at least a few hundred dollars more expensive. Jackson put up 45.9 DraftKings points in that game. He has not scored less than 20 DraftKings points in any game this year, despite some bad touchdown luck so far too. The Baltimore Ravens have thrown more this year which has helped and then he’s also still running just as much. The Los Angeles Chargers are a tough defense but Jackson is pretty much matchup-proof at this point. This game also has one of the higher combined totals at 51 total points. Jackson looks like a great play once again.
Lamar Jackson tonight 🤯
🔹 1st QB in NFL history to complete 85% of passes in 400-yard game
🔹 Highest comp % in a 40-pass game in NFL history (86.0%)
🔹 Franchise-record 442 pass yards
🔹 Overcame largest deficit of his NFL career (19) pic.twitter.com/7cvqpkAK4f
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) October 12, 2021
Taylor Heinicke (WFT) – $5,800 v KC
Who would have thought that we’d be recommending Taylor Heinicke as a great play in Week 6? That’s real-life right now. Heinicke finally had a dude game last week. Before that, he had scored at least 23 DraftKings points in three straight games. Heinicke has a similar mentality to Ryan Fitzpatrick in that he’s a gunslinger that will try to make things happen. He also can run a little bit. Heinicke has 25 carries for 127 yards and a score on the ground so far this year. That combination of skill and play style makes Heinicke a much better fantasy quarterback than he is a real-life quarterback. The matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs is the best you can get. The Chiefs defense allows the most DraftKings points to quarterbacks on the year. Keep an eye on the status of Terry McLaurin though because if he sits, that downgrades Heinicke a bit.
Others to Consider: Patrick Mahomes (KC) – $8,300 @ WFT, Joe Burrow (CIN) – $6,300 @ DET, Matthew Stafford (LAR) – $6,700 @ NYG
Jonathan Taylor (IND) – $6,600 v HOU
Here’s another case of a game getting priced before a monster game on Monday night. Jonathan Taylor put up 34.9 DraftKings points last game and is simply underpriced this week. The Houston Texans haven’t given up a ton of points to running backs so far but they are just a bad team with a bad defense. The combined total of this matchup is only 43.5 points but the Indianapolis Colts are ten-point home favorites in this one so the game script certainly looks ripe for Taylor to have another monster game.
Jonathan Taylor had a career-high 116 receiving yards vs Ravens
FEED HIM 🗣️ pic.twitter.com/NN8i6XtJWa
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) October 12, 2021
Khalil Herbert (CHI) – $4,600 v GB
Khalil Herbert already saw 18 carries last week while splitting with Damien Williams and now Williams has been placed on the COVID list and will miss this game. It wouldn’t be surprising at all to see Herbert with another 15 or more carries and soak up some targets too. That’s just too much volume to ignore for this cheap regardless of the matchup. Speaking of the matchup, the Green Bay Packers aren’t a great matchup but aren’t anything to fear either. They are middle-of-the-road when it comes to DraftKings points allowed to running backs. With such a high touch floor at such a cheap price, Herbert makes for one of the best Week 6 DraftKings plays on the main slate.
Darrel Williams (KC) – $4,900 @ WFT
It’s looking like a great week to spend down at running back. Darrel Williams makes it two running backs that are priced under $5,000 that should see a near workhorse snap and touch share including pass game involvement. Any time you can get a lead back with a chance for an 80% snap and touch share on the team with the highest implied total on the slate, you take that and you don’t think twice. As if there needed more convincing, the matchup against the Washington Football Team is a great one. They’ve allowed plenty of DraftKings points to running backs this season and this game has the highest combined total on the slate. Lock and load Williams into lineups of all shapes and sizes.
Others to Consider: Kareem Hunt (CLE) – $6,200 v ARI, Joe Mixon (CIN) – 6,400 @ DET, D’Andre Swift (DET) – $6,300 v CIN, Darrell Henderson (LAR) – $6,000 @ NYG
Davante Adams (GB) – $9,000 @ CHI
Davante Adams is coming off his best game of the year and getting a bump in price. He’s still worth it, especially with plenty of big names not on the main slate this week. Not only that but he should be affordable with all the value at running back this week. This game doesn’t have a high combined total but Adams just has such a ridiculous target share that it doesn’t matter. In his last three games, he’s seen 16, 11, and 18 targets. On the season he has an insane 37.9% target share. He also has a 26.7% share in the red zone. Adams said it best himself, he’s just built different.
Tee Higgins (CIN) – $5,300 @ DET
Tee Higgins made his return from injury last week. He didn’t light up the stat sheet by any means with only 8.2 DraftKings points but a closer look shows some encouraging signs moving forward. He saw seven targets in his first game back from injury. Higgins has established himself as a go-to guy for Joe Burrow. Rookie Ja’Marr Chase has been the wide receiver making headlines but Higgins has been a main weapon in his own right. This week’s matchup against the Detroit Lions is extremely enticing. The Lions haven’t allowed many points so far to wide receivers but that’s mostly because they’ve been getting run all over so far. This secondary is not good. The game is in Detroit, in a dome which should boost the passing game on both sides. The combined total also currently sits at 47.5 and has a close spread which is ideal for a potential shootout environment.
Red zone target share leaders through five weeks:
47% – Najee Harris 🤯
42% – DK Metcalf
41% – Zach Pascal
39% – Cooper Kupp
38% – Marvin Jones
*36% – Jamison Crowder
*33% – Tee Higgins
32% – Keenan Allen, Amari Cooper
31% – Justin Jefferson 👀
30% – Darren Waller
— Jacob Gibbs (@jagibbs_23) October 14, 2021
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) – $4,200 v CIN
There aren’t many value options at wide receiver that are popping out this week. Amon-Ra St. Brown is one of the few that look to be in a great spot. The Lions have suffered some injuries to their receiving corps and the rookie looks to have emerged as the top target. St. Brown has now seen eight targets in back-to-back weeks. He’s turned those into 13 receptions for 135 yards in those two games. This week’s matchup is a good one against the Cincinnati Bengals. Cincinnati is not a good defense. This game has a nice game environment as well as the Lions are playing at home, in a dome, and are slight underdogs as well. Both of those things should help boost passing numbers, helping St. Brown’s chances at another solid week.
Others to Consider: Terry McLaurin (WFT) – $7,100 v KC, Brandin Cooks (HOU) – $5,800 @ IND, Tyler Boyd (CIN) – $5,400 @ DET, Robert Woods (LAR) – $6,100 @ NYG, Jakobi Meyers (NE) – $5,500 v DAL
Travis Kelce (KC) – $7,000 @ WFT
This is probably the cheapest Travis Kelce will be all season. On top of that, this slate has the most value running back options we’ve seen so far too. On top of that, Tyreek Hill is limited and may not play (or may play at less than 100%). Add it all up and Travis Kelce should likely be a great play and probably very popular as well. This matchup is a great one as well. Washington’s defense is a far cry from what it was last season. While they haven’t been leaking DraftKings points to tight ends, they have been one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL this year. Kelce is not your normal tight end. He’s basically a wide receiver and is priced below where he should be as a wide receiver.
Ricky Seals-Jones (WFT) – $3,000 v KC
On the other side of that game is another great play at tight end this week. Ricky Seals-Jones has taken over the role that Logan Thomas held after Thomas got injured. Seals-Jones played 99% of snaps last week and is running a ton of routes. That’s exactly what we love to see in terms of usage for a tight end. The tight end can’t score DraftKings points if they aren’t on the field running routes. This week’s matchup against the Chiefs is a juicy one. The Chiefs have allowed the second-most DraftKings points to tight ends so far this year. As mentioned before, this game has the highest combined total, and Washington should be trailing and throwing early and often. Seals-Jones is a great play regardless but if Terry McLaurin happens to sit, he makes for one of the very best Week 6 DraftKings plays.
If Terry McLaurin doesn’t play…
Ricky Seals-Jones WR1 👀
— Jarad Evans (@PFF_Jarad) October 15, 2021
Others to Consider: Mark Andrews (BAL) – $5,200 v LAC, Hunter Henry (NE) – $3,900 v DAL, Darren Waller (LV) – $6,600 @ DEN
In terms of choosing a defense/special teams, it’s the last spot I fill in every week. It’s pretty random but there are a few areas to gain an advantage. I look to target the heavily favored teams as they usually are playing with a lead. This forces their opponent to throw it more often which can help lead to extra sacks and turnovers and hopefully a touchdown. Another aspect to target is turnover and sack-prone quarterbacks. My advice is to fill out the rest of your lineup first and then pick your favorite D/ST out of the remaining money.
My Tentative Cash Game Lineup
- QB – Lamar Jackson
- RB – Darrel Williams
- RB – Khalil Herbert
- WR – Davante Adams
- WR – Keenan Allen
- WR – Robert Woods
- TE – Ricky Seals-Jones
- Flex – Kareem Hunt
- DST – Detroit Lions
Make sure to tune in next week to see the results from my Week 6 DraftKings plays and to see the best picks for Week 7. Best of luck to everyone and let’s all enjoy some football and win some money!