The 2023 NHL Draft produced a wave of highly touted talent, with players expected to become franchise cornerstones. Among them, Leo Carlsson, selected second overall by the Anaheim Ducks, has already begun to justify the high expectations placed upon him. But how does Leo Carlsson 2023 Draft Class Comparison to his peers—Connor Bedard, Adam Fantilli, and Will Smith—in this early stage of their NHL careers?
Ducks Centre Carlsson Performance So Far
The great news is, Leo Carlsson has embraced his role in Anaheim’s rebuild, showcasing his versatility as a two-way centre. Through 18 games this season, Carlsson has tallied 6 goals and 4 assists for a total of 10 points, with an average time on ice (TOI) of 17 minutes per game. His ability to contribute in all areas of the ice has been crucial for the Ducks as they navigate a challenging season.
On the other hand, Carlsson’s defensive maturity sets him apart from many young players. While his offensive numbers are not as flashy as some of his peers, his responsibility in his own zone and his ability to read the game provide Anaheim with a steady presence in the middle.
How Carlsson Stacks Up Against His Peers
The following table offers a side-by-side comparison of Carlsson’s performance with other top picks from the 2023 NHL Draft for the current 2024 season:
Player | Team | Games Played | Goals | Assists | Points | Avg TOI (min) |
Leo Carlsson | Anaheim Ducks | 18 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 17 |
Connor Bedard | Chicago Blackhawks | 20 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19 |
Adam Fantilli | Columbus Blue Jackets | 19 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
Will Smith | San Jose Sharks | 17 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
Breaking Down the Numbers
Connor Bedard, the first overall pick, has been the most dominant offensive player among this group, leading in assists (12) and points (15) through 20 games. Adam Fantilli, selected third, has contributed three goals and six assists for a total of nine points in 19 games, showcasing his two-way game for the Columbus Blue Jackets. Will Smith, chosen fourth overall, has had a quieter start, recording two goals and two assists in 17 games for the San Jose Sharks.
While Carlsson’s six goals and four assists for 10 points in 18 games are close to equal in comparison to Bedard, it’s important to contextualize his role on the Ducks. Unlike Bedard, who is Chicago Blackhawks’s primary offensive weapon with an average time on ice (TOI) of 19 minutes, Carlsson is tasked with a more balanced role, averaging 17 minutes of ice time while contributing on both ends of the rink. His defensive responsibilities and adaptability underline his value to Anaheim’s broader rebuild strategy.
The Intangibles: What Stats Don’t Show
Leo Carlsson: A Team Player
Carlsson’s greatest strength may be his hockey IQ. His ability to adapt to different roles, combined with his calm and calculated decision-making, has allowed him to stand out in areas that don’t always show up on the scoresheet. He has been instrumental in supporting Anaheim’s struggling defensive structure, often covering gaps and transitioning the puck effectively.
Connor Bedard: The Highlight Reel
Bedard’s offensive exploits have been a spectacle, often featuring dazzling plays that capture headlines. However, his defensive game is still developing. As well as his high ice time reflects Chicago’s reliance on him to drive the team’s offence.
Adam Fantilli: A Two-Way Force
Fantilli brings a balance of offence and defence, much like Carlsson. He has excelled in the faceoff circle and shown an ability to perform in high-pressure moments. Making him a key figure in Columbus’s lineup.
Advanced Metrics
Using advanced statistics offers deeper insights into Carlsson’s contributions:
- Corsi For Percentage (CF%): Carlsson has a CF% of 49.8%, indicating he’s nearly even in generating shot attempts versus allowing them while on the ice.
- Offensive Zone Start Percentage (oZS%) of 51.3% indicates that he begins nearly half of his shifts in the offensive zone. This suggests that the Ducks are utilizing him in a balanced role. Trusting him not only to create scoring opportunities but also to contribute defensively when starting shifts in less favourable positions.
These numbers are solid for a young player. Especially on a rebuilding team like the Ducks, where defensive struggles can skew individual metrics.
What Sets Carlsson Apart
Defensive Responsibility
Carlsson’s maturity in his own zone has been praised by Anaheim’s coaching staff. Unlike many young centres, he is trusted to play key minutes in all situations. Including penalty kills, where his awareness and positioning shine.
Versatility
Carlsson’s ability to play both centre and wing adds flexibility to Anaheim’s lineup. This adaptability allows the Ducks to adjust their strategy depending on matchups and injuries. A valuable trait for any rebuilding team.
Looking Ahead: Long-Term Potential
While Bedard’s offensive fireworks may dominate headlines, Carlsson’s steady development positions him as a cornerstone for Anaheim’s future. His balanced game, hockey IQ, and ability to adapt will likely lead to a long and impactful NHL career.
Carlsson’s numbers should improve as the Ducks continue to build around their young core. Players like Trevor Zegras, Mason McTavish, and Olen Zellweger will provide Carlsson with more support. Allowing him to focus on maximizing his offensive capabilities.
Conclusion
Leo Carlsson 2023 Draft Class Comparison may not yet match the offensive output of Connor Bedard or Adam Fantilli. Though his overall game and potential for growth make him an invaluable piece of Anaheim’s rebuild. His performance so far in the 2024–25 season demonstrates why the Ducks invested in him with the second overall pick. While the spotlight often shines brightest on goal-scorers, Carlsson’s all-around game is what will help Anaheim return to contention.
As the season progresses, the comparisons to his draft peers will continue. Carlsson’s unique attributes and contributions ensure his place among the NHL’s most promising young talents.
Main Photo: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images