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Big 12 Week 12 Winners: Calm Seas or Storm Still Brewing?

Coaches want their teams playing their best ball in November. One would think that with more data points, the Last Word week 11 winners would be sharper. But for the second straight week, we posted sub-500 results across the board. Both against the spread and moneyline selections went 2-3. Totals were an abysmally low 1-4, and the lock never arrived either. However, the race at the top of the conference is heating up. Will that translate into plenty of chalk in the Big 12 week 12 winners? Or is there unforeseen chaos ahead? All lines are courtesy of FanDuel.

Season Results

  • Moneyline: 69-25
  • Against The Spread: 46-39
  • Totals: 33-52
  • Locks: 7-4

Big 12 Week 12 Winners: Calm Seas or Storm Still Brewing?

Arizona At #25 Cincinnati (-6.5)

How To Watch:
Date and Time: Saturday, Nov. 15th at 12pm  EST
Television:FS1

There are a few times when we are in a potentially precarious letdown/look-ahead situation this week. Cincinnati might be in one of the most vulnerable positions with BYU coming to town next week. But Scott Satterfield’s team is coming off a bye week. They are welcoming a quality Arizona team to Nippert for an early morning start (10am body clock start for the Wildcats). Cincinnati still controls its Big 12 destiny. If this game were on the road, Last Word would lean towards an upset. However, coming off a bye week and playing at home should keep the Bearcats focused and cover the touchdown spread.
Moneyline: Cincinnati ATS: Cincinnati Total 56.5: Over

Kansas State At Oklahoma State (+20.5)

How To Watch:
Date and Time: Saturday, Nov. 15th at 12pm  EST
Television: ESPNU

This Oklahoma State team is better. The big caveat there is they are no longer a smoldering pile of garbage competing for title of the worst team in the P4. They are just a bad team now. Both teams are coming off a bye week. Kansas State’s slim hopes of making a late-season run for a conference championship birth were dismantled by Texas Tech the last time we saw them. Avery Johnson is going to have a big game for the Wildcats. But Oklahoma State will score enough points against a sub-par Kansas State defense to keep it withing the number.                                                                       Moneyline: Kansas State ATS: Oklahoma State Total 51.5: Under

West Virginia (+11.5) At Arizona State

How To Watch:
Date and Time: Saturday, Nov. 15th at 1 pm  EST
Television: TNT

There is no more confusing line on the Big 12 week 12 winners slate than this game. If Arizona State has played a P4 team, they have played a one-score game (except for getting run over by Utah). While Arizona State is coming off a bye week, they are still playing out the rest of the season with Jeff Sims at quarterback. He has demonstrated that completing down field passes is not a strong suit. West Virginia’s mini winning streak hasn’t been the prettiest, but the team is performing better. In nine games, Arizona State has shown they cannot separate from a P4 team. So, the Sun Devils will survive the upset at home, but West Virginia should cover easily.                                                                                 Moneyline: Arizona State ATS: West Virginia Total 48.5: Under

UCF At #6 Texas Tech (-23.5)

How To Watch:
Date and Time: Saturday, Nov. 15th at 3:30pm  EST
Television: FOX

Joey McGuire’s team finds itself in pole position in the Big 12 standings. The biggest challenge to this team on Saturday is itself. As long as this team comes ready from the opening kickoff to keep any let down at bay, this one won’t be close. Moneyline: Texas Tech ATS: Texas Tech Total 47.5: Under

#13 Utah (-7.5) At Baylor

How To Watch:
Date and Time: Saturday, Nov. 15th at 7:00 pm  EST
Television: ESPN 2

Oddly enough, this is the third consecutive year these two teams have met. But this matchup in Waco is the first in which the result will matter in the conference standings. The Bears have struggled all year defensively, but more specifically against powerful running attacks. Utah would love nothing more than to physically squeeze the life out of this game by attempting 10 passes in this game. Could Sawyer Robertson play hero ball and cause potential issues to this Utah defense? Unlikely given the face the Baylor offensive line will struggle against Utah’s front. This one could very well be the game where the hot seat knob gets ripped off (although, no telling who would be making those changes given that athletic director Mack Rhoads took a leave of absence on Thursday). Utah by 21.                                                     Moneyline: Utah ATS: Utah Total 60.5: Under

Photo Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

TCU At 12 BYU (-4.5)

How To Watch:
Date and Time: Saturday, Nov. 15th at 10:15 pm  EST
Television: ESPN

BYU finds itself in a similar position as Cincinnati. However, their position is one of how will they respond. The Cougars where hit hard all game by Texas Tech last week, suffering their first loss. The good news for Kalani Sitake’s team? They are back in the friendly confines of Provo. BYU is also hosting a TCU team that has found more ways to lose games this year than win them. BYU has been nearly unbeatable, especially at night, at LaVell Edwards Stadium. BYU’s defense will be overwhelming to TCU’s offense. Quarterback Bear Bachmeier should look more composed at home. Lock up the Cougars to cover the four-and-a-half points.                                                                                                                     Moneyline: BYU ATS: BYU Total 52.5: Under

Main Photo: Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images

About Andrew McCleary

A native Texan, Andrew was baptized early on in the waters of college football. But when he witnessed Vince Young scampering into the end zone to defeat the USC Trojans in 2006, it was from his seat in the Rose Bowl he knew nothing could compete. He is a former college baseball player, proud Texas Tech graduate, and Air Force veteran. Andrew and his wife live in Maryland with their 4 kids and black lab. When not covering the Big 12, he can be frequently found tending to BBQ on his smoker on the weekends.