Today, it is Friday which means it is my turn to share my opinions and ideas which are leading me to set my 5-29-15 Daily Fantasy Picks. The values are based off of DraftKings and based off the contests that start at 7:05 PM EST.
Disclaimer: These picks are subject to change based on last minute line-up changes and weather.
The early data indicates that the Rockies-Phillies, Nationals-Reds, Red Sox-Rangers & Blue Jays-Twins games could be impacted by weather.
Matt Harvey, SP, New York Mets, $10,600
Harvey has pitched very strongly this season. He comes into tonight with a 5-2 record with a 2.91 ERA/3.07 FIP. He has also been a consistent source of strikeouts as he has a K/9 of 9.2. He has a strong chance of picking up the win tonight as he will be pitching at home (where he has a 2.33 ERA) against a Marlins squad whose season is going nowhere very fast.
Mike Bolsinger, SP, Los Angeles Dodgers, $7,200
The Dodgers have had issues filling out the back of their rotation and recently, Bolsinger has stepped up and filled in that void. He has been pitching very well lately and had 37.4 points against the Padres in his last start. Even though his 0.71 ERA is very unsustainable, his FIP of 2.73 indicates that he is capable of continuing to put up strong numbers. While his current K/9 of 7.82 isn’t at an elite level, his performance in the minors indicates that he is capable of having a K/9 north of 8 in the long term.
Buster Posey, C, San Francisco Giants, $4,200
Posey is on track to have another strong season offensively as he is hitting .303 with 7 HR. His performance has been very balanced as he’s hit well against lefties and righties and has hit at least .300 both at home and on the road. The Month of May has been particularly strong as he is hitting .341 this month.
This season Posey has a much higher AVG than the players priced at or above his level and his even splits helps avoid things such as Evan Gattis and his struggles against lefties (Gattis faces Carlos Rodon tomorrow) and Carlos Santana and his struggles on the road (the Indians play in Seattle this weekend).
Freddie Freeman, 1B, Atlanta Braves, $4,200
Freeman is on track to have another solid season as he is hitting .290 with 5 HR this season. He is going up against Tim Hudson who has struggled this season to the tune of a 5.04 ERA/5.09 FIP. Facing a struggling righty in Hudson bodes well for his value as he has hit slightly better against righties (.296 AVG 4 HR) than he has against lefties this season (.275 AVG).
Ben Zobrist, 2B, Oakland Athletics, $4,100
The Yankees are starting Chris Capuano who has had a rough 2-start stretch since returning (7.36 ERA/5.30 FIP). For my lineup tonight, I am taking advantage of this as Zobrist is the first of 4 Athletics players in my lineup. Another factor giving Zobrist an advantage is that historically, he has hit much better against lefties.
Miguel Cabrera, 3B, Detroit Tigers, $4,900
In DraftKings, Cabrera still maintains 3B eligibility. Cabrera has shaken off the early injury issues he had in the pre-season and is hitting .333 with 11 HR and a 178 wRC+ this season. With the Tigers playing in Anaheim this weekend, this could setup Cabrera to have a huge game as he is hitting .370 with 7 HR in 94 PA on the road this season.
Marcus Semien, SS, Oakland Athletics, $3,800
There have been no two ways around it; Semien has struggled defensively this season. However, defense doesn’t count for anything in Fantasy Baseball and Semien has shown he can hit major league pitching as he is hitting .286 with 6 HR this season. With Semien facing Capuano at home, this bodes well for his value tonight as he is hitting .326 against lefties and .307 at home this season.
Josh Reddick, OF, Oakland Athletics, $4,500
Reddick has had a strong start to this season as he is hitting .308 with 7 HR. With the Athletics playing at home, this works to his advantage as Reddick is hitting .407 at home this season.
Billy Burns, OF, Oakland Athletics, $3,200
Burns has had a chance to get playing time in May and he has taken advantage of this as he is hitting .293 and has 7 SB. Burns has also hit well at home as he has hit .323 in Oakland this season.
Cameron Maybin, OF, Atlanta Braves, $3,100
Maybin has provided some unexpected offense for the Braves this season as he has 5 HR , is hitting .261 and has a wRC+ of 124. Maybin has done most of his damage against righties this season (.289 AVG 3 HR in 103 PA). With the Giants starting a struggling righty in Hudson, this bodes well for Maybin’s value tonight.
All statistics found on fangraphs.com
All statistics through 5/27/15