Let’s get to it. Home team in CAPS.
Green Bay -4.5 over DETROIT – That’s right, the spread has rocketed down to 4.5 for the Packers, and it could go lower by game time. Most of the week this spread was around 6.5 or 6. I am going to keep this simple. Green Bay has no lost yet. Detroit has not looked good since week 5 against Chicago. Since then they have lost to all three of the quality teams they have faced. I am reasonably sure you should never go against Aaron Rodgers for less than 7 points at this point, and I am more than reasonably sure Detroit is just an average team at best. To take Detroit here you really have to believe this is a horrible match-up for the Packers due to the Lions D-line and the crowd noise. I just see it as another opportunity where Rodgers will look to prove himself.
Miami +7 over DALLAS – I think this is close to the right spread here. Miami is playing really well and has been in every game they have played since their bye week. Dallas has the ability to explode offensively but you never know which team you are going to get. I thought Dallas was turning the corner with the blowout of the Bills but that just looks like it was an easy game now. I have to grab the full 7 here.
San Fran +3.5 over BALTIMORE – All three road teams on Thanksgiving? Yup. 3.5 is too many points here because I am not convinced that Baltimore is better than San Fran right now. And I really don’t like the match-up for Baltimore if San Fran can take their run away like they have to everyone else. As long as San Fran protects against the big play by the Ravens this game will stay low scoring and close. Definitely risky take the road team on a short week but 3.5 is alot of points in a match-up like this.
