NHL Final Analysis Central and Pacific Divisions

Edmonton wins the Draft Lottery

April 10, 2012 Comments (11) NHL, NHL Draft HQ

NHL Draft Prospect Profile #5: Matt Dumba


Drafted #7 Overall by Minnesota Wild

We continue through the lottery picks with our #5 ranked prospect, Mathew Dumba of the Red Deer Rebels.  Dumba is currently playing with Team Canada at the Under 18 World Championships taking place in the cities of Brno and Znojmo in the Czech Republic.

Born Jul 25 1994 — Calgary, ALTA
Height 6.00 — Weight 173 — Shoots R
2009-10 Red Deer Rebels WHL 6 0 2 2 4 -1 2 0 0 0 4
2010-11 Red Deer Rebels WHL 62 15 11 26 83 23 9 2 0 2 20
2011-12 Red Deer Rebels WHL 69 20 37 57 67 -6

Matt Dumba is a very talented, but very raw defence prospect for this year’s draft.   He’s a classic high risk/high reward prospect.  Offensively talented, Dumba has great skating, a tremendous slapshot, smart offensive instincts, makes great passes, and is clearly not afraid to join the rush or take offensive chances.  With 20 goals and 57 points this year, Dumba has shown that he can use these skills and translate them into being an offensive weapon.  Dumba is also a big hitter.  He loves to see a forward coming down his side of the ice with his head down, and will not hesitate to throw a hard, heavy hit, if he gets the opportunity.  He’s usually able to do so with great timing and deliver his big shots legally.

However, Dumba can definitely use some work in his own end of the ice.  He sometimes takes too many offensive chances or gets himself out of position looking for that big hit and his defensive game can sometimes suffer as a result.  He also needs to bulk up as he’s listed at 6’0 173 lbs.  He’s got decent enough height, but he certainly needs to add muscle to that frame if he expects to be able to continue to throw those hits at the next level.  More size and strength will also help him to contain the bigger forwards he’ll face in the pros.  He could also use some more time learning at the junior level, as his defensive positioning and decision making could stand to be improved.

As a July birthdate, Dumba is one of the younger players eligible in the draft.  For example he is 10 months younger than Ryan Murray who is our number 3 prospect.  For this reason we do believe that Dumba has the time to gain the bulk and defensive skills he will need to transition to the NHL.   He’s definitely got some maturing to do, both physically, and in polishing his game.  We do however think it is very likely he will play another season in the WHL, as we don’t think he will be NHL ready in time for the 2012-13 season.  That said, we do think he’s got a ton of potential to be a very good defenceman down the road.  If you are looking for an NHL comparable, we think that Dumba reminds us of another former Red Deer Rebels star defenceman, Dion Phaneuf now of the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Update: Matt Dumba continues to impress as he is putting together an absolutely brilliant tournament in the World U18 Championships.  He was the leading point getter in the tournament finishing with 5 goals and 12 points.

…and that’s the last word.

11 Responses to NHL Draft Prospect Profile #5: Matt Dumba

  1. B.Kerr says:

    Dumba was clearly Canada’s MVP at the Under 18 World Championships, helping the team to a Bronze Medal showing.

    He set a record for goals by a defenceman in the tournament with 5, and his 12 pts are the second most ever (behind Ryan Murray’s total last year).

  2. […] offensive upside as he doesn’t put up the huge offensive numbers of a Morgan Reilly or a Matt Dumba.  However one must remember that Murray is playing on one of the weakest offensive clubs in the […]

  3. […] however he doesn’t possess the absolute high-end potential of fellow draft class members Matt Dumba and Morgan Rielly.  He could stand to improve his stickhandling and his finishing ability if he […]

  4. […] Jaw Warriors of the WHL.  Rielly is an absolutely elite skater, and is in the conversation with Matt Dumba for the best skater in this draft class.  His speed is off the charts, he uses his edges […]

  5. […] Kings.  The WHL is absolutely loaded with great defensive prospects this year and Reinhart joins Matt Dumba and Morgan Rielly in our top 10 draft eligible […]

  6. […] draftee Duncan Siemens.  Thrower joins an impressive crop of WHL defencemen including Ryan Murray, Matt Dumba, Morgan Rielly, Griffin Reinhart, and Derrick Pouliot, in this years draft […]

  7. […] than a true power play quarterback, as he doesn’t have the offensive skills of guys like Matt Dumba, Morgan Rielly, and Derrick […]

  8. […] New York Islanders – Mathew Dumba The Islanders are an extremely difficult organization to predict.  However they go for the […]

  9. […] well, and was ready when called upon.  Murray was arguably Team Canada’s MVP (challenging Matt Dumba for the honour) as the team’s starting goalie in the IIHF World Championships.  Murray would […]

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