ATP Australian Open 1/16-Finals
Paul – Davidovich Fokina: 23.01.2026 02:30 CEST
H2H: 4-0
Tommy Paul has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Paul defeated Kovacevic in the opening round easily in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints. The American defeated Tirante in the second round in straight sets as well.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Davidovich Fokina demolished Misolic in straight sets. He offered and saved four breakpoints. The Spaniard defeated Opelka in the second round in five tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Paul is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated in both matches this week, and we expect him to go deep this year at the Australian Open. Last season in Melbourne, Paul demolished Davidovich Fokina in straight sets. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow as well.
That being said, Paul winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tommy Paul winning @1.50 @bet365
Tiafoe – De Minaur: 23.01.2026 09:00 CEST
H2H: 1-4
Frances Tiafoe has won three of his last five matches. This week in Australia, Tiafoe defeated Kubler in the opening round in straight sets. In the second round, the American defeated Comesana in four sets easily. Last season in Melbourne, Tiafoe lost to Marozsan in the second round in five tight sets.
Alex de Minaur has won four of his last five matches. This week, the Australian defeated McDonald in straight sets easily. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. In the second round, de Minaur turned the match around against Medjedovic after losing the opening set 6-7. Last season at the Australian Open, de Minaur lost to Sinner in the quarterfinals in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Tiafoe is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. De Minaur should be a slight favourite; however, Tiafoe enjoys playing at the Grand Slam level and has dominated in the opening rounds. We expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Tiafoe covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Frances Tiafoe +6.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Bublik – Etcheverry: 23.01.2026 10:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Alexander Bublik has won four of his last five matches. This week, the Kazakh defeated Brooksby in the opening round in straight sets. In the second round, Bublik defeated Fucsovics in straight sets. Last season in Australia, the Kazakh lost to Cerundolo in the opening round in straight sets.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry has won three of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Etcheverry defeated Kecmanovic in the opening round in five tight sets. Fery had no chance against the Argentine in the second round. Last season in Melbourne, Etcheverry lost to Giron in the second round in five tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Etcheverry is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He had great crowd support in the second round and dominated against Fery. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match close, even though Bublik is in great form.
That being said, Etcheverry covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tomas Martin Etcheverry +5.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
