ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/64-Finals
Nishioka – Struff: Time TBA
H2H: 2-1
Yoshihito Nishioka has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Miami, where he retired mid-match against Gaston in the opening round. His last clay court was in 2024. Last season in Rome, Nishioka lost in the second round against Dimitrov in straight sets.
Jan-Lennard Struff has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Estoril, Struff lost in the opening round of the Challenger tournament against Kecmanovic in straight sets. He struggled with his form this season. Last season in Rome, Struff lost in the second round against Tsitsipas in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Struff is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Nishioka has not played any competitive matches for almost two months, and he has not played any competitive matches on clay this season. Struff had solid results in Rome, and we expect him to dominate in this match.
That being said, Struff covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jan-Lennard Struff -3.5 games handicap @1.94 @bet365
Rinderknech – Gigante: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Arthur Rinderknech has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Aix en Provence, He lost in straight sets in the second round against Coric. Last season in Rome, he lost against Passaro in the opening round.
Matteo Gigante has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Mauthausen, Gigante lost against Trungelliti in the second round in three tight sets. A week before, the Italian won the Challenger title in Rome.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Gigante is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing in Rome and will have a crowd on his side. Just a few weeks ago, Gigante won the Challenger title here. We expect him to be confident coming into this match and win.
That being said, Gigante winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Gigante winning @1.62 @bet365
Thompson – Mpetshi Perricard: Time TBA
H2H: 4-0
Jordan Thompson has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Monte Carlo, where he lost in three sets against Tsitsipas in the 1/16-Finals. Last season in Rome, Thompson lost against Monteiro in the second round.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has lost five straight matches. His last win was around two months ago in Indian Wells. Last week in Madrid, the Frenchman lost against Navone in the opening round in straight sets. So far this season, he played three clay-court matches and lost all three in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Thompson is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Mpetshi Perricard struggled on clay courts this season. On the other hand, Thompson is way more experienced than Mpetshi Perricard at the Masters 1000 level. We believe his experience will prevail in this match.
That being said, Thompson winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jordan Thompson winning @1.62 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
