ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/64-Finals
Diallo – Giron: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Gabriel Diallo has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, the young Canadian surprised everyone by reaching the quarterfinals. Before Madrid, Diallo never succeeded on clay courts.
Marcos Giron has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Estoril, Giron lost in the opening round against Vukic in straight sets. Last season in Rome, Giron lost in the second round against Rublev in three tight sets. He has never made it past the third round here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Giron is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Diallo had a solid run last week in Madrid, but we believe he will be physically and mentally tired for the upcoming Masters in Rome. Giron’s experience will prevail in this match, so we expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Giron covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Marcos Giron +2.5 games handicap @1.81 @bet365
Djere – Etcheverry: Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Laslo Djere has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, the Serb withdrew from the second-round match against Medvedev. His last appearance in Rome was in 2023 when he lost in the fourth round against Ruud in straight sets.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, the Argentine lost in the second round against Musetti in straight sets. Last season in Rome, Etcheverry was stopped by Hurkacz in the third round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. We are not sure if Djere is fully fit for this match. On the other hand, Etcheverry played many clay-court matches this season. He is in bad form, but we believe this is the perfect tournament for him to showcase his best tennis and return to the winning runs.
That being said, Etcheverry winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tomas Martin Etcheverry winning @1.80 @bet365
Fearnley – Fognini: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Jacob Fearnley has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, the Brit reached the third round as a qualifier. This will be his debut campaign in Rome. Fearnley never succeeded on clay.
Fabio Fognini has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Mauthausen, Fognini lost in the opening round against Oberleitner in three tight sets. This week in Rome, Fognini has been granted a wild card.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fognini is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is one of the most experienced players in the draw this week. Fognini is the Italian legend and will have a packed crowd on his side. We believe he will give his best and keep this match tight.
That being said, Fognini covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Fabio Fognini +4.5 games handicap @1.90 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
